Biden’s Very Personal Decision

[DonViejo]

First Read: “He’s never been as close to a 2016 bid, and yet he’s still far away: As for Biden, we want to share this insight about his decision-making process after reporting and gathering string as he mulls a 2016 bid. First, it’s a very personal decision for him — it won’t be based on metrics. He knows that the odds will be stacked against him, but he also knows that the minute he closes the door on a presidential run, he knows his political career is over, especially after leaving office in Jan. 2017.”

“Right now, he’s also open to a White House bid because in his previous runs (in 1988, 2008), there never was a demand by other Democrats (and the news media) for him to get in. But he also realizes that if he runs, he’ll be required to attack Hillary Clinton, and he’s never been comfortable attacking folks from his own party.”

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http://politicalwire.com/2015/08/26/bidens-very-personal-decision/

[big_dog]

1. it doesn't get more personal than this

[seabeyond]

2. interesting. nt

[big_dog]

3. South Carolina is the firewall, if Bernie wins there he gets a head to head showdown w/HRC

Biden must connect with working class voters there and in similar states

[seabeyond]

4. interesting again. thanks for sharing that. i did not realize. well, ....

tough climb with sc. good to know, appreciate.

[Warren DeMontague]

5. I suspect there was some sort of unspoken agreement between Biden and HRC

that barring some unforeseen potentially game-changing development, he would stay out in '16 for her run.

Which makes one wonder what, if any, potentially game-changing development Biden knows about.

[big_dog]

6. all of that just went out the window with the Warren meeting this weekend

Last edited Wed Aug 26, 2015, 05:17 PM - Edit history (1)

the only thing that's publicly changed is that Valerie Jarett is openly running Team Biden. Team O is looking to preserve legacy

[Warren DeMontague]

7. right, but I suspect something precipitated the apparent change in Biden's position

my hunch is that the party power brokers have less confidence in Hillary than they did a couple weeks ago.

[big_dog]

8. the big hollywood donors are talking about bolting HRC and going to Biden

Joe is the 'safety school' choice http://www.thewrap.com/hollywood-panic-hillary-clintons-email-scandal-has-some-donors-whispering-joe-biden/

[Warren DeMontague]

10. I really think her performance in Vegas spooked a lot of people.

That evasive dissembling stuff about "what, wipe it with a cloth?" etc. looked bad. I don't think you need to be a right-winger "out to get Hillary" to come away with that objective impression.

Don't try telling it to her fans on DU, though.

[HereSince1628]

9. I suspect there was some similar unspoken agreement between HRC and Warren

And I suspect it involves a promise NOT to support a closely aligned progressive independent, unless and until that progressive independent gains the nomination.

[Warren DeMontague]

11. you may be right.

there are more entangled alliances than pre-WWI Europe, I think.

[HereSince1628]

12. It is always messy when the sheep don't follow the shepherd