2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI saw something strange at Nate Silver's "538" Florida is slightly blue..
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/Nate projects that Florida has a 51.6 chance of going for Obama.
(I have to remember this is late July, still)
BumRushDaShow
(129,465 posts)I wouldn't rule it out completely... considering the fan club that he had when there last week!
Troy Cookin with Gas
(12 posts)Florida is looking strong 4 sure
zipplewrath
(16,646 posts)Obama will make it be one of the contested states. Win or lose, if Romney has to spend alot of time down here, it will hurt him. Obama doesn't need to win Florida, but Romney can't afford to lose it. If he has to spend alot of time down here it will hurt him in multiple ways. The things he'll have to say will hurt him elsewhere (alot of folks down here really like that the medicare "donut hole" has been closed). And the state basically moves as the central corridore moves. That stretch from Tampa to Daytona has a wide variety of people in it, but it is as much "midwestern" as it is "southern". He can't play to one stereotype, and that will play into his "this guy says anything to win" problem.
Stuart G
(38,445 posts)Check it yourself...
Maybe with the Ryan Plan,,it will go much higher for us...let us hope so..
gkhouston
(21,642 posts)Stuart G
(38,445 posts)hit the link, and scroll down...you will see the change in 6 weeks..
Clinton is down there today..according to posts at DU.