2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum@HillaryClinton up 3, BS down 3 - HRC Strong Against All Repubs
There is also a nice graph at link (which I am unable to transfer):
Tweet:
@HillaryClinton up 3, BS down 3 - HRC Strong Against All Repubs http://morningconsult.com/2015/09/poll-gender-gap-opens-after-trump-attacks-on-fiorina/ #Hillary2016
............Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton maintains a commanding lead. Clinton leads the Democratic field with 54 percent of the vote, ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who notches 24 percent. Former Maryland Gov. Martin OMalley and former Sen. Jim Webb (D-Va.) are far behind with 2 percentage points each.
Democratic Presidential Primary MatchupClintonSandersO'MalleyWebbChafeeOther/Don'tKnow7/27/20158/3/20158/9/20158/16/20158/30/20159/7/20159/13/2015020406080
Date Clinton Sanders O'Malley Webb Chafee Other/Don't Know
7/27/2015 59 16 1 3 1 19
8/3/2015 60 16 2 2 1 19
8/9/2015 56 19 4 2 1 18
8/16/2015 50 24 3 1 1 21
8/30/2015 52 23 1 2 1 22
9/7/2015 51 27 1 1 1 20
9/13/2015 54 24 2 2 18
Sanders does best among self-described liberals, among whom he receives 34 percent of the vote, while Clinton earns more than 60 percent of self-identified moderates. Clinton maintains support from almost two-thirds of Hispanic and African-American voters, a key portion of the Democratic primary electorate. She leads Sanders 50 percent to 29 percent among non-Hispanic white voters.
Among all registered voters, Bush performs best against Clinton. The poll shows Bush trailing the Democratic front-runner by just two points, 43 percent to 41 percent. Clinton leads Trump by a wider 44 percent to 40 percent margin..........
http://morningconsult.com/2015/09/poll-gender-gap-opens-after-trump-attacks-on-fiorina/
oasis
(49,393 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)riversedge
(70,246 posts)BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)They tried their best but the leader of the group, Gowdy, isn't providing them with new material. While I don't expect to see Clintons numbers go up much, they should drop at a lower rate now that people are really becoming aware of how shady this fake scandal really is.
The other item is Biden. It is clear from the graphs posted here that her decline in poles is almost at a one to one ratio with Bidens surge. No one has surged like he has and he is in a solid second.
Good news for Hillary as of late. Now maybe the media can move on and give a little air time to the guy with the best and most comprehensive policies, O'Malley. It would really be nice to see him poll around five percent or so before the debates. That way the media would have to give him time as it would then be a race for who is going to challenge Hillary. It would put him in a closet position to Sanders than That is Sanders to Clinton.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Gonna need more than one poll before knowing if the trend has ended.
We are also going to need to know if Biden is in or out. Once he announces, either way, numbers will change.
dsc
(52,164 posts)this could be an outlier. The rules of math don't change when we like the results.
riversedge
(70,246 posts)praise praise --'another Margaret Thatcher" over and over.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)hedda_foil
(16,375 posts)Does this publication do it's own polling or what?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The new Morning Consult survey polled 2,023 registered voters between September 11-13.
kenn3d
(486 posts)It would appear that this is a series of Morning Consult polls taken roughly weekly since July.
The Composite RealClearPolitics Dem Primary charting doesn't include any Morning Consult data.
The HuffPolster Dem Primary Composite chart (shown in Post 4 above) does include these Morning Consult data points.
FiveThirtyEight.com does not list Morning Consult amongst the over 300 firms in their Pollster Ratings list.
It is apparently an Internet poll... Perhaps others here know more about them and their polling methodology?
I would expect National polling to still be reflecting name recognition to a large degree, as most contenders have done very little campaigning beyond the early Primary states at this point.