2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: Clinton drops 10 points in 5 days
Poll: Clinton drops 10 points in 5 daysBy Bradford Richardson * October 10, 2015 * The Hill
Hillary Clinton is dragging her feet into the first Democratic primary debate on Tuesday, dropping 10 points in less than a week, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday.
While Clinton enjoyed 51 percent support among Democratic voters in the polls Oct. 4 iteration, that number dipped to 41 percent support on Oct. 9.
Both Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Vice President Biden, who has yet to announce whether he will run for president, gained supporters from Clintons loss.
Sanders support increased from 24 to 28 percent over the same time frame, and Biden jumped from 16 to 20 percent support.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/256586-poll-clinton-drops-10-points-in-5-days
Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)Don't know what you're talking about, since you provide no link to illumine your rhetorical question.
Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)Last paragraph:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/10/us-usa-election-clinton-idUSKCN0S32NZ20151010
Always happy to help with the truth!
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)Last edited Sat Oct 10, 2015, 07:30 PM - Edit history (1)
the Reuters link didn't debunk anything, as it appears to be the primary source
article for Reuters own survey, that was reported in The Hill.
So I'm still in the dark about what point you are trying to make Mr. Sanders.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)thanks.
back at you with the hugs.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)that isn't favorable to Hillary to say how 'unscientific' it is, yet they accept polls with people who are NOT running in this race, as 'scientific', but only if they favor Hillary.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)She is a virtually unchallenged frontrunner in this poll.
ColesCountyDem
(6,943 posts)I see nothing in the article 'debunking' the poll.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/256586-poll-clinton-drops-10-points-in-5-days
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)just because "credibility interval" and bayesian statistics are not the same as "moe" and classical statistics doesn't mean the survey is "debunked."
Hill's numbers continue to drop, regardless of credibility interval or moe. Within each individual survey, her numbers drop. WIthin the 2 statistical models, her numbers drop.
Unless and until there is a sustained reversal in the trend that has persisted for many months now, her trend is downward under each statistical model.
Response to magical thyme (Reply #10)
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Fearless
(18,421 posts)Trajan
(19,089 posts)You said that last time too ...
Yet, apparently, it has not been debunked ...
There is bunk, alright, but it's not the poll ...
You are so gone, Mr. Fibber ....
No return ...
Time_Lord
(60 posts)The numbers will drop even further.
It will drop further when she does a very bad imitation of Bernie Sanders in the debates.
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)BooScout
(10,406 posts)Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)BooScout
(10,406 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)Good day.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)BooScout
(10,406 posts)I think Sabrina1 kicked it today. I moved on days ago.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)for months now? Debunk that if you can.
Sanders is trending up directly related to increasing Name Recognition. Hillary trends down for the same reason, HIS increasing name recognition. People now have a choice, period.
Treppo
(14 posts)PPP, Pennsylvania: Clinton leads with 40% to 22% for Bernie Sanders, http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/10/trump-carson-tight-in-pa.html#more
Response to 99th_Monkey (Original post)
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sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)WillyT
(72,631 posts)NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)Seriously, guys?