Bullshit: Romney ahead in Michigan poll of "most likely voters"

[Marzupialis]

Look at this new poll. http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/link/581519/presidential-and-senate-poll-for-the-general-election

In Realclearpolitics it's listed as likely voter, but the sample is "most likely voters".
In other words, this Fox commissioned poll is a fraud. Excerpt:

"The population surveyed consisted of a sample of traditional Michigan high participation
registered voters and voters that fit Michigan General Election voting patterns. The majority
of these voters have participated in a significant majority of the available primary and general
election and odd year municipal and county elections in Michigan since their registration.
Additionally, our call file does allow for random moderate and low participation voters to be
included in the sample. Our call file was randomized to allow for the maximum range of
participation and randomization"

http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/link/581519/presidential-and-senate-poll-for-the-general-election

In fact, a poll we discussed here (Mitchell Research) conducted AFTER this August 13th poll has Obama up by 5%.

[mim89]

1. can't wait til this election is over

I really don't remember feeling this way in 2008, but this time around, I just can't wait to get this over with lol.

[speedoo]

2. Worthless poll, unless you want manufactured "evidence" that Ryan helps Romney.

Just read the questions.. Blatant bias.

[JoePhilly]

4. The US auto industry is larger then Detriot, dope.

And yes ... putting money in off-shore accounts creates jobs right here in America ... everyone knows that!!!

I hope they let you stay a little longer ... you are hilarious.

[Paulie]

5. Sorry

[JoePhilly]

6. Awe ... its so much fun to mock the crazies. I miss him already.

[Paulie]

7. Feel free to continue mocking.

I'm sure he'll be back.

[chknltl]

8. Did he pay for his pizza?

Doncha just hate it when they come here, spill a bunch of fox noise all over the place then run out the door with a stolen pizza? Now how is that fair?!!!1

[Marsala]

9. Nate Silver already assigned that firm a house effect of R+11(!)

So this actually shows Obama is up by 6... if the poll is worth anything at all.

[WI_DEM]

10. never heard of this pollster.

[TroyD]

11. Problems with the poll

I'm going to discount the MICHIGAN poll for 2 reasons, even though it's supposedly by a Democratic-leaning firm:

1. All other recent Michigan polling has shown Obama ahead, including from Republican-leaning pollsters

2. This pollster (Baydoun/Foster) even has Hoekstra (R) ahead of Stabenow (D) in the Senate race despite the fact that no other pollster all year has shown him ahead of her:

Observe at the following link:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/mi/michigan_senate_hoekstra_vs_stabenow-1817.html