NBC WSJ Poll: Heading into conventions Obama leads by four nationally

[WI_DEM]

(the same margin as he leads in the PPP/Daily Kos poll):

After Mitt Romney selected his vice presidential running mate, and just days before the political conventions kick off next week, President Barack Obama maintains his advantage in the race for the White House, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

A Democratic ticket featuring Obama and Vice President Joe Biden gets support from 48 percent of registered voters, and a Republican ticket of Romney and new running mate Paul Ryan gets 44 percent.

These numbers are only slightly changed from July, when Obama led Romney by six points in the survey, 49 percent to 43 percent, suggesting a minimal bounce for Romney (if at all) after this month’s Ryan pick.

In a smaller sample of voters living in 12 key battleground states – Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin – Obama leads Romney by three points, 49 percent to 46 percent.

That’s a narrower edge in these battlegrounds than the eight-point lead the president enjoyed in the June and July NBC/WSJ polls.

Looking inside the numbers, Obama continues to lead Romney among key parts of his political base, including African Americans (94 percent to 0 percent), Latinos (by a 2-to-1 margin), voters under 35-years-old (52 percent to 41 percent) and women (51 percent to 41 percent).

Romney is ahead with whites (53 percent to 40 percent), rural voters (47 percent to 38 percent) and seniors (49 percent to 41 percent).

And the two presidential candidates are essentially even when it comes to the swing groups of suburban voters, Midwest residents and political independents.

Twenty-two percent say Ryan makes them more likely to vote for the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, while 23 percent say he makes them less likely to vote for Romney; 54 percent say the pick doesn’t affect their vote either way.

That margin (-1) is compared with Joe Biden’s in 2008 (+8), Sarah Palin’s in 2008 (+9 percent), John Edwards’ in 2004 (+21), and Joe Lieberman’s in 2000 (+13).

Ryan’s numbers come closest to Dick Cheney’s in 2000 (+2).

Moreover, in the poll’s feeling thermometer, Ryan’s favorable/unfavorable score stands at 33 percent/32 percent.


http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/08/21/13399788-nbcwsj-poll-heading-into-conventions-obama-has-four-point-lead?lite

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

1. Obama beats Willard among blacks, 94 percent to zero

LOL

[rgbecker]

2. All this is wonderful, but let's see this poll.

In the states with the new Voter ID card requirement, what are the results of the polls which ask only those who actually have a Voter ID card?

Just wondering.

[Doctor_J]

7. Notice that the groups who favor the president are the ones

who are being systematically stripped of their voting rights. Thank God Eric Holder's on it!

[Doctor_J]

3. This is going to be ugly

Willard should be at his nadir - Akin, Ryan, Medicare fraud, offshore billions, tax evasion, wife who says she deserves to be queen, and Repukes getting ready to spend another billion dollars on ads. Willard's a mile ahead among seniors even though he and Ryan want to eliminate Medicare and SS. This is really, really, bad news, and it doesn't even factor out the voter purging which Eric Holder doesn't seem to want to do anything about.

My advice - look for a job in a different country. There is no hope left for this one.

[Marsala]

4. It's not ugly, it's just 2004 in reverse

Obama will win very narrowly but he will win. The real problem will be governing the country afterwards.

[flamingdem]

5. Let's hope that Akin stays in and we win MO n/t

[Doctor_J]

6. I don't remember Dem governors purging millions of Repuke voters in 2004

I must have missed that.

[Doctor_J]

8. Check this out

That’s a narrower edge in these battlegrounds than the eight-point lead the president enjoyed in the June and July NBC/WSJ polls.

That's right - Ryan, Tax Evasion gate, Caymangate, Akin, and the Olympic debacle have helped Willard.

And that doesn't include the massive voter disenfranchisement.

If you're not depressed, you're not paying attention

[Thrill]

9. The sad thing is. They haven't shown one plan where they would improve the economy

yet are running this close unreal.

[TroyD]

10. Not a big enough lead

It needs to go higher in the weeks to come.

Hopefully the latest Todd Akin/rape issue will awaken more voters, particularly women, that they can't sit on their hands in this election.

They have to get out and vote for Obama to prevent the government and Supreme Court being taken over by these sort of people.