Poll has Obama within three-points of Romney in Georgia

[WI_DEM]

49% Rmoney 46% Obama

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/BGAugustA.pdf

[still_one]

1. Women throughout the country should declare war against the republicans /nt

[freshwest]

2. +1

[Ashleyshubby]

3. This is an outlier

Georgia is a very red state. Obama is favorite to win the elections but he won't be this close in Georgia.

Plus the poll was commissioned by an anti-Romney website called bettergeorgia.com

go to bettergeorgia.com and see what's there. I am anti-romney too but i'm not a pollster.

[BlueStreak]

8. Not THAT much of an outlier

There hasn't been much polling because it was assumed GA was in the bag. But the earlier polls were in the 8% range. With all the nonsense going on in the Romney campaign and on the anti-woman, anti-Medicare front, it isn't at all inconceivable the numbers have moved closer than 8%.

That is 16 electors at stake and there is absolutely no way for Ryan/Romney to win if they don't win GA. So with a little more tightening, Ryan will have to spend a lot of time and resources defending this state.

They don't like Yankees in Georgia. That would certainly explain soft support for Romney. But would Ryan be considered a Yankee? He is certainly from the far North. Combine that with his plans do blow up Medicare and Social Security while forcing rape victims to carry the baby and you might have the movement indicated in this poll.

[Ashleyshubby]

12. Were the rape comments made before this poll?

or was the poll conducted after the rape comments were made?

I ask because you cite the rape comments as a possible reason why it's close.

[AndyTiedye]

16. Georgia is In the Bag Because of Diebold

Last edited Thu Aug 23, 2012, 01:09 PM - Edit history (1)

[Hoyt]

4. That sounds encouraging. Hope it holds and gets Obama supporters out.

[TroyD]

5. Which pollster is this?

Does it have a history as a reputable firm?

[BlueStreak]

6. This is potentially HUGE

Obama doesn't need to win Georgia, and hasn't spent any time there.

If there is movement it is probably because all this self-inflicted mayhem in the GOP.

If Georgia can be put on the table, that will be a real time of panic for the Ryan/Romney ticket. They cannot possibly win if they lose Georgia. So close polls in GA will force them to spend lots of time and money defending those 16 electors.

And if there is real movement in GA< that is a good sign for Northern Florida.

[CoffeeCat]

7. Obama needs to campaign in Georgia

This is great. Obama needs to campaign all over Georgia, and force Romney to spend time and money in a state that Romney assumed he had in the bag.

Obama should start running tons if tv ads, as well, in Georgia -- just to drive the Mittster batty.

[BlueStreak]

9. I don't think it will go down that way

Obama will not win GA. They never planned on that and I doubt they have much of a field effort.

Ryan/Romney has far more money available to spend, so it makes no sense for Obama to waste precious resources there. I bet the campaign will be looking for ways to try to tighten up the numbers on the cheap, with the idea of forcing Ryan to spend resources there they wished they could put in Ohio, Florida and elsewhere.

[longship]

10. Go Atlanta and Savannah!!!

And the rest of the state, too.

Don't elect Mitt. Every vote counts.

[davidpdx]

11. I'd be shocked if Obama comes close there

Sure some of the metro areas are more liberal, but the state overall will go red. He'll lose this one by at least 8 points (54/46% best case scenario)

[coalition_unwilling]

13. Will Georgia's women vote for rape? I would say that what's happened is that

the votes of Republican women in Georgia and other traditionally red states are fully in play now. That's why Romney and Ryan spent so much energy trying to get Akin to withdraw. His comments are one of those game-changing paradigm shifters.

If Romney and Ryan have to defend Georgia, they've already lost the election, whether they take Georgia by 4 or 8 points.

[davidpdx]

14. I agree if they have to divert money anywhere it will hurt them overall

Call me pessimistic, but I don't honestly think many of the Republican women are going to change their minds. Ideologically they are so stuck on the pro-life stance that it won't sway them.

The independents may swing in droves toward Obama in Georgia though which would make it a bit closer.

[coalition_unwilling]

21. Republican women don't actually have to vote FOR Obama. All they need to do is

not vote for rape (or vote 3rd party).

Romney\Ryan = Rape should be the subliminal (and possibly even overt) message EVERY DAY FROM TDOAY THROUGH NOVEMBER.

[Ashleyshubby]

15. Does Romney share Akin's view on rape?

That's important to know.

[coalition_unwilling]

19. Since he picked as his running mate a shithead who uses

the language 'forcible rape' in legislation he co-sponsored, Romney owes the American people an explanation of the differences between 'legitimate rape,' 'forcible rape,' 'illegitimate rape,' and other variants.

Right now, all Georgia's women need to understand is that Romney believes it's rape only if and when the woman protests loudly and suffers physical trauma.

[davidn3600]

18. Sorry but Republican women will never vote for Obama

I dont care how many times you blast Akin's words everywhere, it won't make a dent in the conservative female vote. Those women will never give Obama the time of day. They are like Ann Coulter, Sarah Palin, Michelle Bachmann, and Laura Ingraham. Try talking to them about this and you will understand what I'm saying. They will not flip. They are all against abortion anyway.

I live in Florida and I can't tell you how many times I see pro-life bumper stickers and license plates with women driving the car.

[coalition_unwilling]

20. Ah, but will they vote FOR rape (Romney\Ryan)? All that has to happen is for Republican women

to stay home and vote with their feet (by not voting) and their vote comes into play.

The trusim is that not voting (or voting 3rd party) is a vote for your opponent.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

17. I'm from Georgia originally, and tend to agree with Mudcat Saunders when he says

that the South is not necessarily a lock for the Republicans *in the long run*. Democrats write off many southern states because they believe that they are not competitive at all. It's not true. Many of them have growing numbers of blacks and Hispanics, while the white population is older and becoming more of a minority. In Georgia, the trend is the same: growing number of Hispanic Americans and increasingly more educated and racially-integrated areas.

I don't think it's far-fetched that Obama is close. Bill Clinton won GA in 1996 (even though his attack on gay marriage is probably what helped him).