PPP: Obama has a 'modest lead' in MA!

[WI_DEM]

It's 55-39 and PPP calls it a 'modest lead'?? Sure I'd love it to be 60% or more, but come on! a sixteen-point lead is solid not 'modest.'

Obama holds modest lead in Massachusetts
PPP's newest Presidential poll in Massachusetts finds no change in the race from June. Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 16 points, 55-39. This would seem to suggest that Elizabeth Warren's poor numbers in our Senate release yesterday are more specific to her race than an indication of a general downward trend in the fortunes of Massachusetts Democrats.

Massachusetts voters simply don't think much of their former Governor. Only 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of Romney to 55% with an unfavorable one. They don't look back on his tenure as chief executive very fondly- 42% approve of the work he did in that job but 46% disapprove. And they don't really consider him to be a Bay Stater anyway- 23% consider him one of their own while 66% do not.

Romney can't match the Scott Brown formula for being successful as a Republican in a blue state. Where Brown leads Elizabeth Warren by 26 points with independents, Romney trails Obama by a point with them at 46-45. And Romney's 10% of the Democratic vote is half of the 20% Brown is earning right now.

Romney's not even the more popular member of the Republican ticket in Massachusetts. Paul Ryan's net favorability of -12 (37/49) is four points better than Romney's -16.

Even if Romney was well liked, Obama is pretty strong on his own merits in Massachusetts. 55% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 41% who disapprove, some of the best numbers we've found for him anywhere in the country lately.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/08/obama-holds-modest-lead-in-massachusetts.html

[bluestateguy]

1. 26%?

We never heard the end of the hand-wringing from the media about Al Gore losing his home state by only 4% in 2000.

[Tx4obama]

2. Three more 'modest' ones

Vermont: Romney vs. Obama
Castleton State College
Obama 62, Romney 25 Obama +37

New York: Romney vs. Obama
Siena
Obama 62, Romney 33 Obama +29

New Mexico: Romney vs. Obama
Rasmussen Reports
Obama 52, Romney 38 Obama +14


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

[aaaaaa5a]

3. Can anyone explain how Warren is losing there? Inexcusable! NT

[WI_DEM]

4. A lot of people were saying on Daily Kos that she is running a bad campaign

I don't know since I'm not from there, but that was a consensus. She certainly isn't getting independents. Obama leads by one-point with them while she is behind by 26-points. As of right now there looks to be a lot of ticket splitting in MA. Hopefully enough Dems will vote who will pull her over the line. I can't see how Dems win the Senate if she doesn't win in MA.

[bigdarryl]

5. And Warren is 5 points behind GO-FIGURE