I don't know why people around here are freaking out about the polls

[WI_DEM]

it's not like they have been awful.

NBC National poll has Obama up by four-points
AP/GFK has Obama up by one-point
You Gov has it tied (last week Romney was leading by one-point)

Ras and Gallup tracking are pretty much what they have been for months (with some flucuation at times) with Romney up by two-points--Ras is Ras and Gallup under polls minorities.

State polls are not terrible either in most cases:

Wisconsin which is Ryan's home state, sure they got a bump, but today Marquette University's poll still has Obama leading by three points.

A PPP poll of Virginia has Obama up by 5-points and in a three way race with Virgil Goode the president wins by 8.

RAS (of all people) gives Obama a 14-point lead in New Mexico

Survey USA has Obama up by two-points in Nevada

Sure, there were two discredited polls out of Florida and Michigan by the same pollster who tried to tell us that Florida is going to Romney by 14-points!

Obama is up by 29-points in New York, 37-points in Vermont and 16-points in Massachusetts.

Sure there is a new Florida poll giving Romney a 3-point lead, within the margin of error, but Obama doesn't need Florida to win as long as he gets states like Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Nevada.

The polls will give Mittens a boost after his convention, but it will be short-lived and then Obama will have his convention. Then there will be debates.

Take a deep breath. It's not that bad, really. For Gawds sake McCain was leading Obama in most polls after he picked Palin and had his convention in 2008.

[still_one]

1. A couple of clowns came out in Colorado today saying if economy stayed the same, Obama loses. The

reason their premise does not hold this time is because everything is not equal

The repugs have declared war on Women, Social Security, and Medicare.

They are NOT going to win on that platform plan and simple

That is the reason the economy isn't the only factor, also not including that it was republican economic policies that caused the economic collapse that we are in today

[WI_DEM]

4. so people take their word as gospel?

[still_one]

5. don't know, but there were several threads here freaking out about it. I'm not, I think we win

[GallopingGhost]

2. I must be weird

I don't start poll-stalking until after the debates.

[graham4anything]

3. f the media

why is it that the media (all rightwing, there is NO democratic media, even though the media lies and says it is democrat...but why is it that when Romney has a 1 percent lead, he is called the leader, yet when Obama leads by 4, it is a tie?
A 4% national vote means way over 350 electoral votes.

Obama has this clinched, when election day comes, there are going to be saying it was a surprise.

Why does it have to be like this?

btw- Florida is going to be democrat, what self-respecting senior will vote for Romney?

remember- Rasmussen, Gallup and all the others take phony &...and sure, if you interview 100 rightwing extremists, Romney will win ...d'oh

and the path to 270 is impossible for Romney to achieve.

[woolldog]

6. Because the trend since the Ryan nomination

has been distinctly pro-Romney. It's extremely troubling and even Nate Silver is writing about this now.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/22/aug-22-keeping-score-on-a-busy-polling-day/

We're losing right now, imo.

[Tx4obama]

8. Romney is NOT winning, so we can NOT be losing.

It takes 270 electoral votes to win and Romney isn't going to get that many.

[woolldog]

11. Have you heard the lies Romney is

telling? He has unlimited money to convince people his lies are true. The American electorate is stupid. And GOP is energized and their turnout is going to be high. Walker recall high. If we don't have a cushion of 4-5 points were losing.

[Lasher]

7. Obama has been slightly ahead since October.

That's in the popular vote.

RCP Average

Right now Obama leads Romney by 126 electoral votes.

Election Projection

[Tx4obama]

9. Here's a link to a LIST of map LINKS :)

Here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/125175126

Obama's looking good on all the maps

[Lasher]

13. Good resource, thanks.

Bookmarked.

[regnaD kciN]

10. What I find odd is that both Nate and DKos fail to mention the NBC/WSJ poll...

...which is the most favorable one for the President. Ignore that poll, and a case can be made that today's results were favorable to the G.O.P -- with it included, I don't see how anyone can reach that conclusion.

[PlanetBev]

12. I'm looking forward to the post-Akin polls

It's been the talk all week long and reminded Americans what Romney and Ryan believe. I'm hoping it widens the gap even more between Obama and Romney with women voters.

Even if there's a post convention bump, that platform will only be a reminder. The bump will last twenty minutes before they crater.

[Ashleyshubby]

14. Your statistics are wrong

Yougov had Obama ahead by 3% in the most recent poll before the last one showing a tie. You said Romney was ahead by 1%. Typing the correct information would lean things towards a freak-out.