2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHonestly---I don't give a shit if you vote for Hillary.
I do know that if you lobby folks here to not vote for her after she wins the nomination---- your life-expectancy on DU will be shorter than a Lovebug on I-95.
There will always be people who will take this position either out of conviction or just a plain hissy fit.
I sincerely believe that there's not enough of you to make a dent in a err Lovebug's ass.
So yell---scream---stomp your foot---whatever---because seriously, I personally don't give a fuck.
redgreenandblue
(2,088 posts)brooklynite
(94,698 posts)...if Clinton is 1) above 50% and 2) not falling, that means there isn't a lot of room for Sanders to take the lead.
redgreenandblue
(2,088 posts)The last months have seen strong fluctuations and there are still months ahead. I would say the end-result is unpredictable.
Based on the current numbers I would guess the odds of Hillary winning vs. Bernie winning to be 2 to 1.
Not bad for a guy that a year ago no one had heard of.
(I understand odds are always a tricky thing if you cannot repeat something under identical conditions. I mean odds in a Bayesian sense.)
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)randys1
(16,286 posts)who I want to be the nominee"
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Or was that a joke?
brooklynite
(94,698 posts)Her problem was she never got her numbers over 50%. Except for that short period in Aug-Sept, she's never been below 50% this time around:
Add to which, she's learned the lessons of ignoring Caucus States and won't make the same mistake again. And she'll have the financial resources to hire the ground staff to turn those expressions of support into actual votes.
WillyT
(72,631 posts)brooklynite
(94,698 posts)...she's smart enough to learn from her mistakes.
cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory?
Aerows
(39,961 posts)You can spin that up, down, smash it all around, but it was a strategy that failed to get her elected.
I guess this point is where I just throw my hands up and say "Proceed, Madame Secretary".
We have got to get more Democratic candidates into office.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Bernie got a bit of bounce from Biden dropping but it wont be nearly enough to catch Hillary who got a bigger bounce.
Its not settled but the fat lady is warming up!
tularetom
(23,664 posts)One might be forgiven for getting the impression that you protesteth too much.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)
about whether or not another person actually votes and in someone growing weary of hearing about it. It's a mistake to confuse the two or to draw conclusions by conflating the two.
I feel the same way as the OP. The so-called "conscience voters" whose "vote is not for sale" are merely seeking attention and having a tantrum. They're feeling fearful and helpless and frustrated. They are likely seeking validation from other like-minded individuals, or they want to regain some sense of control by engaging with others who feel obligated to try and talk them down.
Ugh. What a waste of time to indulge their vanities. Why reward bad behavior? It only encourages more of the same. At its most base level, that type of behavior reminds me of a toddler having a fit at the candy rack of the grocery store. They know they've lost the battle, yet they persist because the parent gives them attention.
It doesn't matter that the attention is negative, it's attention and that's good enough. The child "forced" the parent to do something, to respond, and that's apparently all they need to feel as though they're in control of an uncontrollable circumstance.
So, when a frustrated toddler threatens to hold their breath until they turn blue in the face, I say LET THEM (for all the good it will do). At least when they pass out, they'll be quiet.
trumad
(41,692 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Sometimes it reminds me of those photos that people post on Facebook, the ones entitled "Reasons my Son is Crying".
because he wants to fly to the moon.
because he found out I have a name other than Mommy.
because a fly landed near him.
because I wouldn't let him play in the washing machine.
because I wouldn't let him take a bath in his Halloween costume.
because he found a deformed gummy bear.
because Daddy shaved his mustache.
because Bernie isn't going to be the Democratic nominee.
peace13
(11,076 posts)...you do remember when Hill refused to concede for weeks, failing to show up for press conferences that she set up. Her success was holding the Dems hostage until she could get her act together and arrange for her own future before coming out and admitting that she lost to Obama. I wouldn't be mocking anyone for crying. I am sorry that my memory is not short and that I believe words and actions mean something. If Hillary supporters want to grow the ranks of her supporters they need to treat people who are not quite there yet as though they matter. Just saying...
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)I have no doubt that they'll find the comfort and validation and attention that they desire. It just won't be from me.
randys1
(16,286 posts)Dem2
(8,168 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)mcar
(42,371 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Hekate
(90,773 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Tipperary
(6,930 posts)Exactly.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)trumad
(41,692 posts)To whom may I ask?
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)trumad
(41,692 posts)You Bernie supporters crack me up.
Anyone is your answer?
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)if you want more specificity
imo hillary will lose to
trump
rubio
carson
kasich
she has a chance against
bush
christie
graham
she has a better chance against
paul
fiorina
i refuse to consider huckabee as a serious contender. the likeliest gop is carson, trump, rubio or kasich, all lf whom would win against hillary.
better?
trumad
(41,692 posts)You are seriously telling me that.
Look---I know you love Bernie---I get it.
BUT do yourself a favor--- whatever you are smoking is not good for you. Stop it now before it is to late.
Hillary will lose to Ben Carson---oh you Bernie supporters are just so cute.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)he is a wacko, but he comes off to the other wackos as sane. and he could split the aa vote if conservative poc decide to break that way.
it is unlikely he will make it to a ge but he has no baggage, she has tons.
but if you insist,....
Ben Carson Would Be Hillary Clintons Toughest Opponent WSJ/NBC News Poll
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/11/03/ben-carson-would-be-hillary-clintons-toughest-opponent-wsjnbc-news-poll/
Carson DESTROYS Hillary Head-To-Head In New Poll
http://dailycaller.com/2015/11/04/carson-destroys-hillary-head-to-head-in-new-poll/
trumad
(41,692 posts)You just used an extreme right wing shit rag to make your argument?
Like I said---you Bernie supporters are so cute.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)i included it for the ct inclined cuz i knew the dc would upset some. frankly, i think polls are meaningless esp at this stage but some seem to like them.
trumad
(41,692 posts)And the Rupert Murdoch rag...the WSJ?
You funny
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)i provided a couple of links only because someone suggested i was smoking something for havin the opinion i had.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Doubledee
(137 posts)or accurate either. Long, long way to go in this contest and this hissy fit between those who support her and those who support him is just truly silly.
If you havent got anything to say the best thing to do is not say it.
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)So nanny nanny boo boo to you too.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)Hekate
(90,773 posts)I keep wanting to post "Neener, neener, neener." But I have mature restraint.
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)mmonk
(52,589 posts)Be honest. Otherwise, why the op?
trumad
(41,692 posts)I don't give a fuck what a few random people are going to do with their vote.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Getting 80% of the Democrats, far less voter turnout than Obama, and not getting any votes from Indys or Republicans sure ain't going to do it.
trumad
(41,692 posts)Like I said---a dent in a lovebug's ass.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)But, shouldn't be a surprise with this party.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)based on Republican-friendly media and pollsters? Because I don't see where you're getting your numbers.
However, there is definitely ZERO chance that Sanders will get the nom, and when Obama and Biden begin campaigning for Hillary Clinton - IF she's the nominee - and awaken the Obama Coalition, there's is even less chance than that, that a Republican will win the White House.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)And two, polling at this point for the GE doesn't mean shit.
Hillary has far too many things to overcome if she is the nominee. She will lose.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)And two, polling at this point for the GE doesn't mean shit.
We finally agree on something! So...why the gloom-doom that Hillary Clinton won't win the presidency? You contradict yourself here, unless, of course, you believe the Republican mantra that she's going to jail, to which I respond with .
Hillary has far too many things to overcome if she is the nominee. She will lose.
Right. Just like people around here were proclaiming that President Obama had gone and done it by not getting single-payer through, Teapublicans winning the U.S. House, and Obama's prospects of getting re-elected was next to nil.
Uh huh.
I sure do hope you'll be around after November 8th next year. I really do, Dawgs.
trumad
(41,692 posts)Dawgs
(14,755 posts):rofl: :rofl: :roll: :laughing: :chuckle: :laughing: :rofl: :roll: :bounce: :headphones: :7 :chuckle: :laughing: :rofl: :roll: :rofl: :laughing:
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:rofl: :rofl: :roll: :laughing: :chuckle: :laughing: :rofl: :roll: :bounce: :headphones: :7 :chuckle: :laughing: :rofl: :roll: :rofl: :laughing:
:rofl: :rofl: :roll: :laughing: :chuckle: :laughing: :rofl: :roll: :bounce: :headphones: :7 :chuckle: :laughing: :rofl: :roll: :rofl: :laughing:
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Smilies didn't work---but I like this more.
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)Dawgs
(14,755 posts)But tell me. How many Republicans will vote for her? How many Indys are excited about voting for someone that many see as a liar, dishonest, and untrustworthy?
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/poll-liar-frequently-word-hillary-clinton/story?id=33361629
How has the voter turnout among Democrats been in the last two elections with the establishment candidate on the ticket?
How will someone with high disapproval's (>50%) do in a national election?
How will someone who doesn't create enthusiasm do when excitement among voters is already really low?
How?
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)But keep up with the rw memes. At some point this won't be tolerated here.
http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016president
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)primary winner because, well, we haven't had our primaries yet, have we?
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)The faux drama of these "announcements" about not voting for her, is not only tiring, it clutters up the board. I spend half my time on DU-P trashing these idiotic threads or putting the proclaimers on ignore. What a waste of time, but it's the only way to unclutter the board and find real information (like how high Hillary is rising in the polls, lol!).
trumad
(41,692 posts)I'm leaning more to the hissy fit aspect of it.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)I've now been topped in that category by the DU-P proclaimers!
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)I use them to purge trolls.....its my own personal pan pizza delivery!
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)The pizza man cometh!
voteearlyvoteoften
(1,716 posts)trumad
(41,692 posts)Rare sighting for sure.
Response to trumad (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)With only 91 posts (as of this writing), and a fairly new account, and taking into account that top GOP strategists are flooding message boards, twitter-feeds, and FB pages with #gobernie and #feelthebern, it's getting more difficult to separate the wheat from the chaff.
And what the heck do you mean, "Clinton trolls"? Just in case it slipped your mind, this is the DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND, she's a DEMOCRAT, and her supporters are DEMOCRATS. So dial down the use of "trolls" when referring to her DEMOCRATIC supporters, okay?
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)In the heat of the moment, and in the eagerness to quickly post a reply, it could be that the phrase "Clinton trolls" was inadvertent. If so, it's definitely a clue regarding the writer's mindset, and possibly of the writer's habitual and instinctive way of referring to Hillary Clinton supporters. I have to wonder, what kind of person is it that would being using such a phrase with such regularity that it accidentally slips out? Where would this type of phrase be commonplace? What are we to make of that?
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)The stronger Hillary Clinton becomes, the more of these "new posters" we'll be seeing popping up on DU.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)aikoaiko
(34,183 posts)I think its pretty clear that there are both Bernie and HRC supporters trolling each other.
Hekate
(90,773 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)tazkcmo
(7,300 posts)Being "banned" from DU is a pretty pathetic deterrent. After all, there are plenty of sites that aren't owned by HRC supporters.
trumad
(41,692 posts)You bash the nominee?
If Bernie somehow pulls a Virgin Mary miracle and wins the nomination--- I think any member who bashes him should be banned as well.
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)Erstwhile predecessor: )
trumad
(41,692 posts)Better?
Cha
(297,513 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)CaliforniaPeggy
(149,681 posts)On Thu Nov 5, 2015, 09:41 AM an alert was sent on the following post:
Honestly---I don't give a shit if you vote for Hillary.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251769041
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
Pure meta, disruptive trollery.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Thu Nov 5, 2015, 09:46 AM, and the Jury voted 0-7 to LEAVE IT.
Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Disruptive trollery from trumad? I don't think so. Leave it alone. And if it is meta, the hosts will lock it.
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Leave Trumad alone. He fought for our nation and now he is fighting for our party!
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Lame alert.
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.
I was Juror #2.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)I don't give a shir about you or your opinions either.
Agreement is good.
frylock
(34,825 posts)You hit the nail on the head.
HomerRamone
(1,112 posts)and you expect all of the rest of us to eagerly support what you wish is "inevitable" after all the posts like this?
aikoaiko
(34,183 posts)trumad
(41,692 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)trumad
(41,692 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)I don't know if people could bare the shame of trumad's disapproval.
Cha
(297,513 posts)one_voice
(20,043 posts)Cha
(297,513 posts)I most certainly did!
Spazito
(50,439 posts)Hey Spazito.. I just posted this Vid of Hillary on Jimmy Kimmel last night that you might like..
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110725412
She's great.. talks about emails.. lol
mcar
(42,371 posts)And please keep it away from my car.
prayin4rain
(2,065 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)prayin4rain
(2,065 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)joshcryer
(62,276 posts)But they will almost certainly not even break 1% much less make the 5% to get national funding.