2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDemocrats Return to Hillary Clinton
Heading into the second Democratic presidential debate, Hillary Clinton seems to be winning her party back.
Polls taken in the last two weeks show Clinton widening her lead over Bernie Sanders, as shes used sterling performances in the first Democratic debate and a marathon session before Congress to blunt the momentum Sanders had seized over the summer. When the two meet Saturday night in Iowa, the pressure this time will be on Sanders: Can he sharpen his contrast with Clinton without veering into the kind of negative attacks that he repeatedly promised to avoid?
Clinton has benefitted from a number of developments in the last monthand not all of them her own doing. Vice President Joe Bidens decision not to seek the nomination deprived establishment-minded Democrats of another alternative to the former secretary of state. And the dubious choice of House Republicans on the Benghazi committee to have her testify for 11 hourswhile harping on emails from Sidney Blumenthalplayed to her advantage by allowing her campaign to portray her appearance as one of resilience and grace under fire rather than the long overdue reckoning for a dithering diplomat.
Still, Clinton deserves some of the credit. Her campaign was understandably mocked when it informed The New York Times that Clinton would suddenly become more spontaneous, warm, and funny. But the plan seems to have been executed well. Her appearances on late-night talk shows have been filled with smiles and not-too-cringe-worthy jokes, and despite getting lower ratings, Clintons cameo on Saturday Night Live won stronger reviews than did Donald Trump's recent hosting gig. When Clinton has stumbled, such as when she laughed in response to a man saying he wanted to strangle Carly Fiorina, it has been overshadowed by news from the increasingly bizarre race on the Republican side. On the whole, a more joyful Clinton has replaced the halting, defensive candidate of the spring and early summer.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/11/the-democrats-return-to-hillary-clinton-ahead-of-second-primary-debate/415893/
MADem
(135,425 posts)Let me grab my pen!!!
riversedge
(70,239 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)msrizzo
(796 posts)You beat me to it.
riversedge
(70,239 posts)new facts and information becomes available
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Are executing a winning strategy. She went on a listening tour, gathered information and then she started giving her agenda. She still takes time to listen. She is doing great.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)As I have said her and her husband are the greatest counter punchers since Gentleman Gene Tunney and the Brown Bomber:
I hope she goes after the GOPU.
riversedge
(70,239 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)GOPU
Fearless
(18,421 posts)riversedge
(70,239 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)Bernie is polling at his all time high and rising.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)If the VT independent loses the primary I will give away the $500. 00 I won to charity. I am not interested in filthy lucre or pecuniary gain. If Bernie wins I will give the person who takes the wager $500.00 to do with as he or she pleases.
Fearless
(18,421 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)My gf gives 10% of her salary to charity, like the Bible says.
Jarqui
(10,126 posts)2016 Campaign Advertising
http://www.p2016.org/ads1/paidads.html
Hillary for America
"Together" (Nov. 3, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"The Same" (Oct. 26, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Admits It" (Oct. 6, 2015 - TV ad, national cable) >
"Overnight" (Sept. 28, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Get Ahead" (Sept. 25, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Every Child" (Sept. 13, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Stretched" (Sept. 9, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Reshuffle" (Aug. 19, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Family Strong" (Aug. 4, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
"Dorothy" (Aug. 4, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
pro-Clinton: Priorities USA
"Games" (announced Oct. 21, 2015 - TV ad, cable in IA, NH, SC, NV and DC) >
Verses:
Bernie 2016
"Real Change" (released Nov. 1, 2015 - TV ad, IA and NH) >
Hmm
Money spent on ads (only to mid Sept - I'm sure it's worse now)
http://time.com/4067965/hillary-clinton-campaign-ads/
The Clinton campaign has bought and aired nearly 5,500 TV ads this year through Monday targeting voters in the early presidential caucus and primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire, according to a Center for Public Integrity analysis of data from Kantar Media/CMAG, an advertising tracking firm.
Such a number accounts for nearly one in four TV ads aired so far during the 2016 presidential race by any source, Democrat or Republican.
Bernie's just spent his first $2 mil on ads this months - 10 months after Clinton started - that ran the first 10 days of this month in NH & IA. You look on the date of Hillary's adds - big push since August in the same two states IA & NH.
These people are not all entirely stupid. They spend gobs of money on ads because they feel ads influence voters.
So there's a case to be made that she's buying the nomination or she's certainly buying a few points because it's a close to a one way conversation without Bernie.
She knows Bernie has to win NH & IA so she's trying to bury him there.
What are YOU Bernie supporters prepared to do about it? If he's going to have a chance, you have to help fight back.
He's got a good story but with her ads, everybody's talking Hillary in the states that matter most right now.