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2016 Postmortem

TroyD

(4,551 posts) Fri Aug 31, 2012, 01:52 PM Aug 2012

Gallup - Obama (+1) for the 3rd day in a row

Just checked Gallup's Daily Tracking poll which is released at 1:00 pm.

Obama is ahead for the 3rd day in a row (although that may change once the Romney 'bounce' filters through).

GALLUP [Obama +1]

Obama - 47

Romney - 46

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Gallup - Obama (+1) for the 3rd day in a row (Original Post) TroyD Aug 2012 OP

The MOE is 4% - don't bother until Nov 1. HopeHoops Aug 2012 #1

It's a seven day rolling average. RDANGELO Aug 2012 #2

Small bumps TroyD Aug 2012 #3

+1 ddavis195600 Aug 2012 #4

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)

1. The MOE is 4% - don't bother until Nov 1.

Reply to TroyD (Original post)

Fri Aug 31, 2012, 01:54 PM

Aug 2012

RDANGELO

(3,433 posts)

2. It's a seven day rolling average.

Reply to TroyD (Original post)

Fri Aug 31, 2012, 02:21 PM

Aug 2012

Mittens could have gotten a small bump and it wouldn't have moved the numbers. All the indications I have seen so far is that if there is a bump it is going to be a small one.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

3. Small bumps

Reply to RDANGELO (Reply #2)

Fri Aug 31, 2012, 02:22 PM

Aug 2012

Nate Silver says he thinks both nominees may get only small bumps this year.

But that probably hurts Romney more than it does Obama since Romney is the challenger and is less well-known who needs to introduce himself to voters.

ddavis195600

(23 posts)

4. +1

Reply to RDANGELO (Reply #2)

Fri Aug 31, 2012, 02:27 PM

Aug 2012

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