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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Wed Nov 18, 2015, 06:28 PM Nov 2015

HRC currently at 92% chance for nomination and 58% chance for presidency

Nomination:

HRC - 92%
BS - 7%
MOM - 1%


Presidency:
HRC - 58%
Rubio - 18%
Trump - 8%
Cruz - 4%
Sanders - 4%
Bush - 3%
Christie - 1%
MOM - 1%

Hillary's chances at the presidency is more than 3x better than her closest challenger.

http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016president

15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
HRC currently at 92% chance for nomination and 58% chance for presidency (Original Post) Godhumor Nov 2015 OP
I feel good about Hillary's chances too! NurseJackie Nov 2015 #1
Thanks for the post. Lovely to see riversedge Nov 2015 #2
That's only if people come out for her. zalinda Nov 2015 #3
Not only the hatred factor ibegurpard Nov 2015 #4
Only the ones on DU. 78% of Dems support her leftofcool Nov 2015 #5
Here's the facts of party affiliation zalinda Nov 2015 #6
You done convinced me...Hillary's ceiling is only 21% DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2015 #8
lol lalalalalalaaa Cha Nov 2015 #10
and a Big Rec. riversedge Nov 2015 #7
Here's to Hillary getting stronger.. thank you GH Cha Nov 2015 #9
impressive numbers all around ismnotwasm Nov 2015 #11
Another Data-Driven Prediction Alfresco Nov 2015 #12
I think anyone who really cares about beating the Rethugs would be pleased with the 58%. MoonRiver Nov 2015 #13
This is about as good as it gets. oasis Nov 2015 #14
Indeed! Alfresco Nov 2015 #15

zalinda

(5,621 posts)
3. That's only if people come out for her.
Wed Nov 18, 2015, 07:46 PM
Nov 2015

Hillary supporters don't factor in the hatred for Hillary and the Clinton dynasty. Many, many people will be staying home if she gets the nomination. To depend on just Democrats to vote her in, is really short sighted.

Z

leftofcool

(19,460 posts)
5. Only the ones on DU. 78% of Dems support her
Wed Nov 18, 2015, 08:14 PM
Nov 2015

They will come out to vote. I know that some wish it wasn't so.

zalinda

(5,621 posts)
6. Here's the facts of party affiliation
Wed Nov 18, 2015, 08:22 PM
Nov 2015

Republicans 28%
Democrats 30%
Independents 39%

Republicans including leaners 42%
Democrats including leaners 44%


http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

So, if 75% of Democrats are fine with Hillary, that means only about 21% of the vote is 'guaranteed' for Hillary. How does that make her a winner?

Z

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
13. I think anyone who really cares about beating the Rethugs would be pleased with the 58%.
Thu Nov 19, 2015, 09:59 AM
Nov 2015

I hear a lot of talk here that Hillary can't win the general. Well, these numbers should be reassuring to those who doubt her.

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