2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHRC currently at 92% chance for nomination and 58% chance for presidency
Nomination:
HRC - 92%
BS - 7%
MOM - 1%
Presidency:
HRC - 58%
Rubio - 18%
Trump - 8%
Cruz - 4%
Sanders - 4%
Bush - 3%
Christie - 1%
MOM - 1%
Hillary's chances at the presidency is more than 3x better than her closest challenger.
http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016president
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)riversedge
(70,242 posts)zalinda
(5,621 posts)Hillary supporters don't factor in the hatred for Hillary and the Clinton dynasty. Many, many people will be staying home if she gets the nomination. To depend on just Democrats to vote her in, is really short sighted.
Z
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)The "meh" factor.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)They will come out to vote. I know that some wish it wasn't so.
zalinda
(5,621 posts)Republicans 28%
Democrats 30%
Independents 39%
Republicans including leaners 42%
Democrats including leaners 44%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
So, if 75% of Democrats are fine with Hillary, that means only about 21% of the vote is 'guaranteed' for Hillary. How does that make her a winner?
Z
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)D
Cha
(297,323 posts)riversedge
(70,242 posts)Cha
(297,323 posts)ismnotwasm
(41,989 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)vs gut feelings or hunches
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)I hear a lot of talk here that Hillary can't win the general. Well, these numbers should be reassuring to those who doubt her.
oasis
(49,389 posts)The name "Madam President" has a wonderful ring to it.