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madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
Mon Nov 30, 2015, 11:34 PM Nov 2015

Learning the wrong lessons from 1984. DLC's “false cause fallacy” has harmed our party.

However the primary turns out..no matter who wins it...I have learned a lot more about our party's attitude toward those of us who question too much. There are many here who are in effect saying the primary's over, Hillary won. They feel there's really no need to continue, it's over.

At least the party leaders aren't holding press conferences saying that Bernie will never be president. It's getting close to that though.

Just as in 2004 those of us who question present Democratic policy are considered questionable members of that party.

That's a sad situation. It does not bode well for the party in the future. Where's the desire for new ideas, new people with fresh thinking?

The rhetoric from party leaders and from the Democratic think tanks has gotten old and stale. It all boils down to liberals can't win....that the only way we can win is to be more like the other party.

That is baloney.

From Salon earlier this year:

America’s anti-liberal myth. Why Dems learned the wrong lesson from 1984

Your calendar says it’s 2015, but it’s always 1984 in mind of the New Dems. These are the economically conservative Democrats that include centrists like the old Democratic Leadership Council, Third Way and financial sector-centric elected Democrats (plus Robert Rubin, the Rubin-launched Hamilton Project and associated advisers on the policy side). As always, they are again invoking 1984 to conjure images of a grave danger to Democrats’ ability to win elections in the form of ascendant progressive populism.

The New Dems’ scare story goes something like this: In 1984 Walter Mondale lost 49 states because he ran as a Super Liberal. Democrats would have kept losing if the New Dems had not formed to take control of and steer the party. In 1992 Bill Clinton ran as Centrist Man and Democrats started winning elections again. Now, economic progressives who prioritize other things before Wall Street’s approval are causing trouble. If these progressives Democrats represent the party it will again be banished to the political wilderness and forced to relearn the lesson of the ’80s and ’90s.

This premise is not only wrongheaded, in important ways it’s backwards. The temptation not to relitigate something that is, after all, over 30 years in the past is obviated by 1984’s continued role as the go-to cudgel against progressive Democrats. The New Dems’ reliance on the ’84 cautionary tale is illustrative of an under-appreciated dynamic in the struggle between the progressive/populist coalition and the Wall Street wing: there never really was a big, public “fight for the soul of the party” in the 80’s and 90’s.


This part sounds so familiar and true:

Forever 1984

As Democratic losses demoralized the party faithful, the New Dems’ shifted from trying to sell their agenda on the merits to claiming that their self-proclaimed “centrism” was the only way a Democrat could hope to win. (They were fond of stating the obvious truth that a candidate can’t do too much to advance anything good or help stop anything awful, unless they can first get elected — as if it was some kind of discussion-ender that proved their claim that only New Dems could win.) Unfortunately, their assertions were all too rarely challenged and quickly gained traction, prominence and, finally, conventional wisdom status. Challenging them now may be late but better late than never.


The False Cause Fallacy:

The “false cause fallacy” is From’s stock-in-trade. A bad thing happened and Al From was sad. His friends in the White House lost their jobs (which couldn’t have been a pleasant experience, but was not in and of itself proof of anything). When a good thing eventually happened it had to be due to what Al From had done in the interim. And what From was doing before the bad thing happened is irrelevant. That’s just science right there.


A fairly small group of men took over the party's platform in the late eighties. They had the wealth of corporations behind them so they would not need the ordinary folks in the party. They did not have to stand for anything that might keep them from winning.

Because of that policy most of us lost big time. They are still saying the same things that didn't work, still calling for us to be more "bi-partisan" and even more scarily..."post-partisan."

The latter means being just like the other party, beyond partisanship.

The primary is not over, no one should be pretending it should be over. There should be no inevitability factor for any candidate.
96 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Learning the wrong lessons from 1984. DLC's “false cause fallacy” has harmed our party. (Original Post) madfloridian Nov 2015 OP
Excellent post. Thanks! Luminous Animal Nov 2015 #1
You're welcome. madfloridian Nov 2015 #4
Oh yeah...and they're also asking us ibegurpard Nov 2015 #2
And today some are saying DWS will be a hero if she gets Hillary elected. madfloridian Nov 2015 #3
Kick FloriTexan Nov 2015 #5
You are so right. madfloridian Nov 2015 #6
I'm Kick'n too! SoapBox Dec 2015 #7
Well, the strategy failed in 2000, 2004, 2010 and 2014, but this time it's the only way to win!!!!! jeff47 Dec 2015 #8
In their minds it's still the right policy...even though it failed for years. madfloridian Dec 2015 #9
kudos...The old playbook is really stale.. Armstead Dec 2015 #10
The New Dems supposed vindication.... madfloridian Dec 2015 #11
Why does Pelosi begin the education of her freshman members with a seminar on Rubinomics? bvar22 Dec 2015 #88
So true, madfloridian... MrMickeysMom Dec 2015 #12
Dean preached this theme of building a farm team from the ground up.... madfloridian Dec 2015 #13
Yep. It was working and he was booted. nt SusanCalvin Dec 2015 #91
The DLC/DNC/3rdWayers don't value the enthusiasm and caring of the young, brilliant and progressives erronis Dec 2015 #52
I'm amazed, because those we're talking about are boomers, like me... MrMickeysMom Dec 2015 #78
Great OP as always. K&R blackspade Dec 2015 #14
This is why they gete away with not speaking openly and honestly passiveporcupine Dec 2015 #15
The worst thing is that they were so open about it. They said it out loud. madfloridian Dec 2015 #16
K&R! marym625 Dec 2015 #17
Yes. What the tell us things like "yes, we can" we should jwirr Dec 2015 #53
+1 marym625 Dec 2015 #74
K&R Paka Dec 2015 #18
Agree totally. madfloridian Dec 2015 #20
K & R !!! WillyT Dec 2015 #19
Walter Mondale was the establishment candidate supported by most of the superdelegates jfern Dec 2015 #21
Yep, which shows how wrong their message to us has been. madfloridian Dec 2015 #22
Right....except that you want us to vote for the "establishment" candidate. msanthrope Dec 2015 #29
You're kidding, right? Armstead Dec 2015 #43
are we supposed to forget he's been a Washington insider for decades? msanthrope Dec 2015 #57
He's been in Washington for decades...he's never been an insider. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #68
tell me again exactly how a white male senator is not an insider. nt msanthrope Dec 2015 #70
If you speak against corporate power, you are not an insider. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #72
If you vote to protect gun manufacturers from liability, you are an insider. msanthrope Dec 2015 #73
Bernie is Jewish...that's different than just being "white". Ken Burch Dec 2015 #75
your racial commentary is quite interesting. nt msanthrope Dec 2015 #76
It means he is part of a community with a history of being persecuted. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #83
" they wanted him to cast votes that would have guaranteed his defeat to a Republican" brooklynite Dec 2015 #96
Your comment sounds like floriduck Dec 2015 #59
Ahem.... on Election Day I will be wearing Sanders credentials if he gets the nomination. msanthrope Dec 2015 #69
Pardon the expression floriduck Dec 2015 #87
I do not think that word means what you think it means. Beartracks Dec 2015 #60
how does Bernie get the nomination without being the establishment candidate? msanthrope Dec 2015 #66
HRC is the establishment candidate. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #61
You are correct...but if Bernie wins the nom, then he is the establishment msanthrope Dec 2015 #63
No...he would have beaten the establishment. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #65
Kindly describe this process. Include, please, just how msanthrope Dec 2015 #67
Your arms are flailing. Armstead Dec 2015 #77
Indeed. my candidate is ahead in the polls. No Bernie supporter can answer my question. msanthrope Dec 2015 #79
Which cliched question in that recent flurry are you referring to? Armstead Dec 2015 #81
A Party coup to instill corporate lackies, aspirant Dec 2015 #23
Yes. madfloridian Dec 2015 #28
Great post! markpkessinger Dec 2015 #24
Nice post. madfloridian Dec 2015 #25
Good stuff! ibegurpard Dec 2015 #26
Thanks. So true. klook Dec 2015 #94
Advantages held by the conservative Dems. Money, choice of both parties to fund. madfloridian Dec 2015 #27
K&R. I wasn't even a toddler when 1984 happened. Betty Karlson Dec 2015 #30
That's good advice for the DLC DINO types. merrily Dec 2015 #32
Thanks, madfloridian. Every time the DLC cancer is exposed to sunlight, merrily Dec 2015 #31
lol madfloridian Dec 2015 #44
They get wings from my heart, Clarence. merrily Dec 2015 #45
Never, ever, forget that the DLC was founded and funded by the Koch brothers. Scuba Dec 2015 #33
And never, ever forget who chaired the DLC with the help of the KOCH BROTHERS' money - in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #40
Can you say "DINO"? Lieberman is the 'tell' for those with little analytic ability. Scuba Dec 2015 #41
Yes! Pretty much everyone on that list is and always has been a Dino! Lieberman is just the in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #42
Clintons were both founding members. I think Hillary was the only female founding member. merrily Dec 2015 #46
Head bang worthy! in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #47
I haven't wondered since I first found out about the DLC. merrily Dec 2015 #48
Samn Nunn helped recruit Clinton TM99 Dec 2015 #84
Kicked and recommended! Enthusiast Dec 2015 #34
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Dec 2015 #35
excellent article. I remember back in 84 after the election a discussion taking place on one of the Douglas Carpenter Dec 2015 #36
I'm glad the official narrative is being challenged HereSince1628 Dec 2015 #37
A Better Comparison would be the 1972 election... Herman4747 Dec 2015 #38
McGovern lost badly because the party regulars, for no good reason, cut him loose in the fall. Ken Burch Dec 2015 #58
Most people I know that are younger than 50 say that they are Independents. LiberalArkie Dec 2015 #39
^^^THIS^^^ Humphrey was boring and unfortunately was jwirr Dec 2015 #49
Proud 100th rec DirkGently Dec 2015 #50
Great post. 99Forever Dec 2015 #51
Should have gone with Gary Hart in '84 bluestateguy Dec 2015 #54
1984 is ancient history, politically. DinahMoeHum Dec 2015 #55
This paragraph about Walter Mondale totally destroys the "superliberal" myth: Ken Burch Dec 2015 #56
The "Democratic" part of "Democratic Leadership Council" is another FALSE marketing term! cascadiance Dec 2015 #62
some say "the only way we can win is to be more like the other party." FiveGoodMen Dec 2015 #64
Right on Populist_Prole Dec 2015 #86
I like Obama, but other than the very limited ACA which for many has merely entrenched JDPriestly Dec 2015 #71
..... madfloridian Dec 2015 #95
let's face the facts eh stupidicus Dec 2015 #80
This party is just getting started! And Bernie is the life of the party! Dont call me Shirley Dec 2015 #82
When Bernie wins Iowa the whole dynamic of the campaign will change! Bernblu Dec 2015 #85
Kick Agony Dec 2015 #89
they also forget DonCoquixote Dec 2015 #90
We got our asses handed to us in 1984. Major Hogwash Dec 2015 #92
and yellow stripes and armadillos. madfloridian Dec 2015 #93
 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
10. kudos...The old playbook is really stale..
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:40 AM
Dec 2015

And the results are obvious.both for the fortunes of the Democratic party and the nation

madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
11. The New Dems supposed vindication....
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:47 AM
Dec 2015

Last edited Tue Dec 1, 2015, 10:14 PM - Edit history (1)

The New Dems’ supposed vindication came when Bill Clinton won in 1992. But one could make a strong argument that Bill Clinton ran as more of an economic populist than the extreme deficit hawk Mondale or the windfall profits tax-repealing technocrat Mike Dukakis before him. It wasn’t until Robert Rubin, Alan Greenspan and people like conservaDem Lloyd Bentsen prevailed over Clinton’s earlier political advisers soon after the election that Bill Clinton became the Rubinite he is now remembered as in more progressive circles. Clinton would return to a more populist form to successfully run for re-election as the determined defender of Medicare, Medicaid, education and the environment.


http://www.salon.com/2015/03/14/americas_anti_liberal_myth_why_dems_learned_the_wrong_lesson_from_1984/

For years Pelosi made sure Robert Rubin had the floor all to himself in talking to Democratic house members.

From Greider at The Nation:
Same Old Same Old


So why does Pelosi begin the education of her freshman members with a seminar on Rubinomics? Robert Rubin, the Citigroup executive and former Treasury secretary, will appear solo next week before the party caucus to explain the economy. Pelosi has scheduled another caucus briefing on Iraq, but that includes five expert voices of varying viewpoints. Rubin gets the stage to himself.

When labor officials heard about this, they asked to be included since they have very different ideas about what Democrats need to do in behalf of struggling workers and middle-class families. Pelosi decided against it. This session, her spokesman explains, is only about "fiscal responsibility," not globalization and trade not the deterioration of wages and disappearing jobs. Yet those subjects are sure to come up for discussion. Rubin gets to preach his "free trade" dogma with no one present to rebut his facts and theories.


SO Rubin got the floor to preach his free trade agenda...all to himself. He once told Howard Dean that unless he supported NAFTA he could not help him in the 2004 primaries.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
88. Why does Pelosi begin the education of her freshman members with a seminar on Rubinomics?
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 08:23 PM
Dec 2015

...because she is one of Paulson's main co-conspirators in the biggest heist in the History of the World.

[font size=3]Paulson with Co-Conspirators after delivering the Extortion Note.[/font]


They all pranced in front of the TV cameras, patting each other on the back, and congratulating each other on "ignoring Special Interests", and claiming to have "Saved the Economy".

The "Saving of the Economy" sounds heroic, but it was entirely unnecessary.
What they "saved" were the jobs of some CEOs, AND the Quarterly Profits from their "portfolios".

People who were not "invested" in the Wall Street Banks got NOTHING,
but Nancy & her friends heavily invested in the Wall Street Investment Banks did GREAT.
You & I paid her Gambling Debts, so, of course, Nancy and Harry are grinning from war to ear. They just made a BUNCH of money.


MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
12. So true, madfloridian...
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:54 AM
Dec 2015

Look around and see how many young (although ill-equipped) persons politically in the farm team status of the Republican party. They are actively recruiting, which is something I've not seen fostered nearly the same way on our side.

Why has the Democratic party leadership overlooked this process? We have young, brilliant and progressive minds out there. We don't need incredible fund raising as much as we need mentoring what we should have been standing for all these years.

madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
13. Dean preached this theme of building a farm team from the ground up....
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:57 AM
Dec 2015

Last edited Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:23 AM - Edit history (1)

starting with school board members and city commissioners. He was so right about the other party doing it....we still are not.

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
91. Yep. It was working and he was booted. nt
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 11:14 PM
Dec 2015

I gotta start looking at the forum!! Blocking GD: P apparently doesn't work right on the tablet.

erronis

(15,303 posts)
52. The DLC/DNC/3rdWayers don't value the enthusiasm and caring of the young, brilliant and progressives
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:50 PM
Dec 2015

In fact they devalue these people (young and brllliant) who will one day inherit this planet. That's because these people will threaten the Establishment (DWS, HRC, 3rdWay).

There are a bunch of older dems who would welcome the new blood and new directions. Get out the broom and let's have a clean house!

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
78. I'm amazed, because those we're talking about are boomers, like me...
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:22 PM
Dec 2015

Some days... more recent days... I feel that I never aged to the point of acquiring a non-retractable, restricted mindset of the world. I'm heart-broken by those no longer taking the needed steps to world peace and evolution of the species... I'm looking in disgust at my own peer group.

Some of us, and some slightly older (Mike Malloy stands out in my mind) have never left that open-minded, curious state that presented itself to us sometime in the 60's. For me, it started happening at the very end of the 60's. We saw how we could somehow change the world (Crosby/Stills/Nash/Young), and although some of it was crazy, fuzzy, and dumb, we came back to a higher understanding of what a privileged group of young people were capable of doing in this world.

I understand the difference between those who sold-out and those who are still trying. That marks the difference between relating to power, or relating to future generations - the same people much young than we are now.

What happened to the rest of you? You became people I no longer recognize and refuse to support. You know damned well who you are, you selfish, greedy suckers of the air we all should breathe for GENERATIONS.

passiveporcupine

(8,175 posts)
15. This is why they gete away with not speaking openly and honestly
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 01:50 AM
Dec 2015

When campaigning.

They did not have to stand for anything that might keep them from winning.


We don't expect you to win on all your campaign promises. That is nigh impossible. But we sure as hell expect you to try. If you are just saying things to win votes but have no intention of follow through, them you are the wrong kind of dem for this country.

madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
16. The worst thing is that they were so open about it. They said it out loud.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 01:54 AM
Dec 2015
"Simon Rosenberg, the former field director for the DLC who directs the New Democrat Network, a spin-off political action committee, says, "We're trying to raise money to help them lessen their reliance on traditional interest groups in the Democratic Party. In that way," he adds, "they are ideologically freed, frankly, from taking positions that make it difficult for Democrats to win."


http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/1365

They got power over the party, but we keep losing elections.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
53. Yes. What the tell us things like "yes, we can" we should
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:03 PM
Dec 2015

always ask back "What can we do?" When they tell us they are going to change things we should always say "exactly what are you going to change?" Bernie has taught us a great lesson - make them tell us exactly where they stand.

I had one professor in college who said if he did not teach us anything else he wanted us to always ask "how do you know?".

I have been lead down the garden path too many times since 1980 because I have not asked the right questions. No more.

Paka

(2,760 posts)
18. K&R
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:01 AM
Dec 2015

There is no validity in the concept of "it's my turn" and the idea of "inevitability" has no place in a democratic system.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
29. Right....except that you want us to vote for the "establishment" candidate.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:58 AM
Dec 2015

You are advocating that we vote for a septugenarian, white, male Senator from a racially-homogenous state, and who voted against the Brady Bill multiple times.

Who will have to win the majority of superdelegates. Who will have to use the establishment fundraising and the party machine.

Or maybe you can tell me how a convention win happens without Bernie being the establishment.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
43. You're kidding, right?
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:38 PM
Dec 2015

"a septugenarian, white, male Senator from a racially-homogenous state"

Stereotype much? How about a mature Jewish guy whose relatives were killed in the Holocaust, who grew up in the financially stressed working class in Brooklyn in multi-ethnic New York, and got arrested for protesting segregation?

Doesn't sound quite so whitebread as your oversimplification.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
68. He's been in Washington for decades...he's never been an insider.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:32 PM
Dec 2015

Face it your "Bernie and HRC are pretty much the same" argument will never be credible. If you want to support the status quo candidate, that is your call. But don't pretend that there's no difference. That's silly and intellectually insulting.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
72. If you speak against corporate power, you are not an insider.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:38 PM
Dec 2015

If you fight for working people, you are not an insider.

If you oppose right-wing trade deals like TPP(with tribunals that allow corporations to overturn the laws passed by elected governments), you are not an insider.

If you challenge pointless wars, you are not an insider.

If you were supporting gay rights in 1974, you are not an insider.

You're only an insider if you go along with the status quo.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
73. If you vote to protect gun manufacturers from liability, you are an insider.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:41 PM
Dec 2015

See how that works?

Again perhaps you can describe just how a white male senator is not an insider into one of the most exclusive clubs in the world.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
75. Bernie is Jewish...that's different than just being "white".
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:47 PM
Dec 2015

None of the Christian kids Bernie grew up with had families who were targeted for death by the Third Reich. He wasn't an Episcopalian from Palm Beach, for goddess' sakes.

If you are on the left(and Bernie is to the left of HRC on 90% of the issues)conviction matters more than identity.

The only reason people are bashing Bernie on guns is that they wanted him to cast votes that would have guaranteed his defeat to a Republican in Vermont. He was as anti-gun as you can be and still get elected in a state like that.

It doesn't mean anything at all that HRC is female. Just electing a woman as president, by itself, is not a significant change, especially if the woman is a militarist and represents Wall Street. War and corporate power can never be feminist.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
83. It means he is part of a community with a history of being persecuted.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:50 PM
Dec 2015

It means he has at least as much sense of what it's like to be "the other" as HRC has(if not more, since HRC'S childhood was always economically luxurious).

It means he isn't defined by "white privilege".

There was nothing derogatory in what I said.


brooklynite

(94,601 posts)
96. " they wanted him to cast votes that would have guaranteed his defeat to a Republican"
Thu Dec 3, 2015, 03:36 PM
Dec 2015

In other words, do what's politically expedient, rather than stand on principle? You sure that's your final answer?

 

floriduck

(2,262 posts)
59. Your comment sounds like
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:20 PM
Dec 2015

what fair weather voters think. If you open your mind, you realize change happens when you try something different and better. And if you want to refer to Bernie's Brady Bill vote, then let's compare decisions for both candidates. My laundry list will run circles around yours. Any establishment candidate will follow the same path. Bernie's positions has already impacted Hill's position. In other words, he's a leader and Hill is a follower.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
69. Ahem.... on Election Day I will be wearing Sanders credentials if he gets the nomination.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:34 PM
Dec 2015

Unlike a fair weather voter, I am an election protection attorney for the Democratic side in every single election.

Welcome to DU. Perhaps you ought to familiarize yourself with the players before you condescend to lecture to us.

 

floriduck

(2,262 posts)
87. Pardon the expression
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 06:18 PM
Dec 2015

Whoop-de-doo! I don't really give a crap about your self-described volunteering. When you attack Bernie as an old white guy from a white state, don't expect to be welcomed by most. You see, I am more than capable of measuring a person's character from what they state. It sounds more like you're the condescending fool.

Beartracks

(12,816 posts)
60. I do not think that word means what you think it means.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:21 PM
Dec 2015

Just because "the establishment" may have a high ratio of what DUers routinely call "old' white males" does not mean that every older white male is part of the establishment, nor does it preclude women or younger folks from being part of the establishment. Think of the establishment more as the entrenched power brokers of the party, and get away from the demographic stereotypes.

================

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
66. how does Bernie get the nomination without being the establishment candidate?
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:30 PM
Dec 2015

Funny there's lots of replies but no ones bother to answer the question in my final paragraph.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
61. HRC is the establishment candidate.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:21 PM
Dec 2015

You can't be to the right of the other Dem candidates and take Wall Street money and be the anti-establishment candidate.

Bernie's race and gender are irrelevant, as are HRC's. Nobody is backing Bernie because they can't stand the idea of a female president. Besides, anything feminist in HRC's program is cancelled out by her militarism, because war can never again be feminist(nothing feminist happened in Korea, Vietnam, the Gulf War or Iraq/Afghanistan).

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
63. You are correct...but if Bernie wins the nom, then he is the establishment
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:28 PM
Dec 2015

Candidate. He doesn't get the nomination without the Democratic Party establishment.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
65. No...he would have beaten the establishment.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:29 PM
Dec 2015

Which needs to happen, since the establishment doesn't want this party to stand for anything(which is what being "centrist" means...having no strong convictions about anything).

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
67. Kindly describe this process. Include, please, just how
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:31 PM
Dec 2015

Bernie is going to win the nominating process at the convention.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
77. Your arms are flailing.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:09 PM
Dec 2015

You're going in so many directions at once it's hard to keep up with all the zigging and zagging.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
79. Indeed. my candidate is ahead in the polls. No Bernie supporter can answer my question.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:26 PM
Dec 2015

It is not I who is flailing.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
81. Which cliched question in that recent flurry are you referring to?
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:34 PM
Dec 2015

First you claim he is part of the establishment. Then he is such an outside he can never get elected or nominated. Then he's a white male so therefore he is automatically a conventional insider. But he's so weird there is no way he can get nominated. If he gets elected won't he be the establishment?

Sorry but you're giving me whiplash, and since you obviously care not for an actual answer to any of them , won't waste time trying to provide one.

markpkessinger

(8,401 posts)
24. Great post!
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:44 AM
Dec 2015

Here is an analysis of the same phenomenon I posted here in Dec. 2010. I submit that what was true then is even more so now.

The myth of the independent middle

Marist College has released a poll conducted from Dec. 2 through Wed. Dec. 8, the day the President announced his initial deal with the GOP on the Bush tax cuts, indicating that the President's approval rating has slipped still further. The deal with the GOP was, of course, exactly what most of the Beltway political pundits had been saying he needed to do following the results of the mid-term elections: move more to the right (the pundits calling moving to the center — more on that in a moment). This, they said, was how he could win back independent voters.

Well, folks, guess which group's approval of the President remained virtually unchanged as a result of his rightward capitulation: that's right, INDEPENDENTS. The ratings among independents were 39% favorable and 52% unfavorable. A month ago, the same group's ratings of the President were 38% and 54%, respectively. On the other hand, his favorable rating among Democrats dropped nine percentage points, from 83% to 74%, and among liberals from 78% to 69%, while his unfavorable rating among Democrats nearly doubled from 11% to 21%, and among liberals from 14% to 22%.

The fact that the President has realized no sudden boost of support among independents following his "move to the center" on the tax cut deal ought to (but probably won't) permanently put to rest the the notion being perpetuated by the D.C. punditry that the midterms were a vote "against the President's liberal policies.": Independents are not a cohesive political group -- they are all over the map, with some of them more liberal than most democrats and some more conservative than some of the hardest right GOP legislators. Many of them are not even consistently "left-leaning" or "right-leaning," but in fact lean different ways on different issues. Independents are simply unaffiliated with either of the two parties, for reasons which vary from person to person. Some are independent simply because they've never registered as members of a party. Others are unaffiliated because they lack confidence in either party. Thus, the suggestion that the President will win over disaffected independents simply by aiming for the midpoint between the current Democratic and Republican party positions on any given issue is absurd on its face. Senate and House Democrats now occupy what has historically been the center position in the American political spectrum, and the GOP has gone off a rightward cliff. So the President, by aiming for a mythical midpoint, succeeds no only in offending his core constituency, but by arriving at a place that is, in fact, pretty far to the right, he likewise fails to gain credibility with many independents.

Nevertheless, so much of the media continues to speak of independents as if they are a cohesive constituency whose preferences lie between Democrats and the GOP. Part of this, I think, may be a function of the one-dimensional, left-right visual metaphor we use to describe the range of political ideas in this country. In reality, political ideas are probably better plotted in three-dimensional space rather than along a uni-dimensional left-right axis. So I think we too often allow the left-right visual metaphor drive our thinking about the relationships of various ideological positions relative to one another, and thus find ourselves with no place left along our one-dimensional line in which to place independent voters except in the middle, between the two parties. But it simply is not a reflection of reality.

The message for the President in all this should be that if he were to actually feed, water, give adequate sunshine and talk nicely to the progressive constituency, and fight for progressive values, he would, in fact, bring a long a good number of those independents (not all of them certainly, but I bet it would be enough).

Read more: http://api.viglink.com/api/click?format=go&jsonp=vglnk_14489522442789&key=b716156ab5ecd7182fdbf9e72d749dcb&libId=ihn0feya0100deno000DAko4rjiel&loc=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.democraticunderground.com%2Fdiscuss%2Fduboard.php%3Faz%3Dview_all%26address%3D389x9757324&v=1&out=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mcclatchydc.com%2F2010%2F12%2F10%2F105105%2Fpoll-obamas-losing-support-romney.html%23storylink%3Domni_popular%23ixzz17t7OlgPz&ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&title=The%20myth%20of%20the%20independent%20middle%20-%20Democratic%20Underground&txt=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mcclatchydc.com%2F2010%2F12%2F10%2F105105%2Fpoll-obama...

madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
25. Nice post.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:03 AM
Dec 2015

This paragraph:

The message for the President in all this should be that if he were to actually feed, water, give adequate sunshine and talk nicely to the progressive constituency, and fight for progressive values, he would, in fact, bring a long a good number of those independents (not all of them certainly, but I bet it would be enough).


So much agree.

ibegurpard

(16,685 posts)
26. Good stuff!
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:14 AM
Dec 2015

It has gotten to the point now, however, where I look at that kind of stuff not as political miscalculations but as actual deliberate policy decisions.

klook

(12,157 posts)
94. Thanks. So true.
Wed Dec 2, 2015, 01:23 PM
Dec 2015

And every time you appease the Right on an issue that's important to the Democratic base, you piss off, dismay, and alienate your allies.

The strategy the cynical "pragmatists" and focus-group operatives are afraid to try is the one where you stay true to your principles and stand up for your supporters, unequivocally and consistently. This, for Bernie Sanders, is not a campaign strategy or a posture, but a way of life. This is why I support his candidacy.

madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
27. Advantages held by the conservative Dems. Money, choice of both parties to fund.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:22 AM
Dec 2015

Interesting paragraph from the Salon article in the OP.

The fight for the economic direction of the party that has only began in earnest in recent years is lopsided one. While there have always been a form of conservative Democrat, from the Bourbon Dems to Al Smith’s persona vendetta against FDR to Dixiecrats to “Boll Weevils” and Atari Dems to Blue Dogs and New Dems, they’ve never been this at odds with the Democratic voting and activist base — or the views of the majority of the country on a majority of major economic issues. The progressive/populist coalition is the result of the New Deal and Civil Rights Act. You can see a clear through-line in elected Dems from Hubert Humphrey to Tom Harkin to Sherrod Brown, Elizabeth Warren and Tammy Baldwin in the Senate and Xavier Becerra, Marc Pocan, Jan Schakowsky and Donna Edwards in the House. The other side of the proverbial battle comes down to big donors from the financial sector and those who see it as paramount. They have little voting or organizing constituency to speak of. They do have two things. The first is tons of money. The second is a choice between two major parties. The Legion of Hedge Fund Mangers tends to be socially liberal and elected Republicans who see the debt ceiling as an inviting hostage and government shutdowns are a fun thing to do make them nervous so maximizing their influence in the party that is not home to Louie Gohmert is an obvious play for them to make but that’s all it really is. Don’t expect the New Dems to admit any of this though. If a Democratic party more in line with its voters on economic issue can win (and it can) what’s the point of organizations like Third Way?
 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
30. K&R. I wasn't even a toddler when 1984 happened.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:24 AM
Dec 2015

The electorate from back then is now half dead and wholly changed.

New voters have come in, with concerns that weren't addressed in 1984. Update your worldview.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
40. And never, ever forget who chaired the DLC with the help of the KOCH BROTHERS' money -
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 11:14 AM
Dec 2015

Chairs

◾Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri (1985–1986)
◾Gov. Chuck Robb of Virginia (1986–1988)
◾Sen. Sam Nunn of Georgia (1988–1990)
Gov. Bill Clinton of Arkansas (1990–1991)
◾Sen. John Breaux of Louisiana (1991–1993)
◾Rep. Dave McCurdy of Oklahoma (1993–1995)
◾Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut (1995–2001)
◾Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana (2001–2005)
◾Gov. Tom Vilsack of Iowa (2005–2007)
◾Fmr. Rep. Harold Ford of Tennessee (2007–2011)

(Titles listed are those held at time of assuming chair)

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
42. Yes! Pretty much everyone on that list is and always has been a Dino! Lieberman is just the
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 12:18 PM
Dec 2015

worst of the bunch - more blatant with his RW ideology. He rarely tried to hide it.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

merrily

(45,251 posts)
46. Clintons were both founding members. I think Hillary was the only female founding member.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 01:52 PM
Dec 2015

Last edited Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:25 PM - Edit history (1)

This is from the wiki of Al From:

In 1998, with First Lady Hillary Clinton, From began a dialogue with British Prime Minister Tony Blair and other world leaders, and the DLC brand – known as The Third Way – became a model for resurgent liberal governments around the globe.

In April 1999, he hosted an historic Third Way forum in Washington with President Clinton, Prime Minister Blair, German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, Prime Ministers Wim Kok of the Netherlands and Massimo D'Alema of Italy.[18]

In November 1999, joining President Clinton, From moderated the first-ever live Presidential town hall meeting on the Internet.[19]


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_From

She was First Lady then, requiring Secret Service protection. So, I guess taxpayers contributed to the spreading of the DLC/Third Way gospel to "world leaders" and poodles like Blair.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
48. I haven't wondered since I first found out about the DLC.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:22 PM
Dec 2015

Amazing how many people still don't know about it.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
84. Samn Nunn helped recruit Clinton
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 05:49 PM
Dec 2015

but we are supposed to believe that Nunn forced Clinton to sign DADT as a compromise for something worse.

Douglas Carpenter

(20,226 posts)
36. excellent article. I remember back in 84 after the election a discussion taking place on one of the
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 09:42 AM
Dec 2015

major shows - it might have been "Meet the Press" or another similar show. The question was, "why is that issue by issue most Americans were closer to Mondale's positions than Reagan's but Reagan won 49 out of 50 states?" It was clear that Mondale being "too liberal" had nothing to do with it. After all, only a year or so earlier and for the two years before that - every single national poll showed Mondale crushing Reagan in a landslide. So, this idea that it was because of Mondale's relative liberalism is pure nonsense.

Also, though there is probably some truth to the notion that the Republicans were able for awhile to appeal to some religious and socially conservative working class Dems on some social issues. There is not a shred of evidence that they were losing Democrats because they wanted deregulation of Wall Street, supported out sourcing, were pro-insurance company and opposed programs to help the elderly, disabled and those needing help to get on their feet. Those economic issues are really the core of what the so-called "New Democrat" movement was all about. There is no evidence that holding those positions is popular. I suppose there might be some evidence that they may help attract the interest of major lobbying firms and big donors though.

Anyway great post, madfloridian.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
37. I'm glad the official narrative is being challenged
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 10:51 AM
Dec 2015

The tales of Olympian heroes rescuing the party is nonsense created by the victors of an internal power struggle that many didn't even realize was happening.

Democratic voters generally don't seem to recognize the contribution of the national economic geography surround the "jobs gone South"/Southern renaissance to their own party. The DLC arrived in the nick-of-time for it's good-ol'boy network of political elitists to take credit for the economic shift and to turn it into a political force.

For people that 'get' the historical context it's possible to understand how the creation of "Super Tuesday was indeed seen by southern politicians as a glorious victory in the 'battle for the heart and soul' of the Party.

Although at the time most of the democratic base simply saw it as reasonable balancing of the primary process. What it was for the New Dems was institutionalization of power for a coalition committed to overturning 'northeastern liberalism'.

In that sense it was a political victory of huge importance to New Dems, and like all victories it deserved a lionizing over-inflating narrative.

To this time that narrative has largely endured, perhaps progressive populism can reduce that over-inflation.

 

Herman4747

(1,825 posts)
38. A Better Comparison would be the 1972 election...
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 11:12 AM
Dec 2015

Walter Mondale was no "super liberal." More deserving of that name is George McGovern (and Bernie Sanders).

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
58. McGovern lost badly because the party regulars, for no good reason, cut him loose in the fall.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:18 PM
Dec 2015

McGovern had done nothing to them...all he was guilty of was winning the nomination in a fair and legitimate process. If they'd forced him out as nominee and imposed Humphrey instead, Humphrey would have lost overwhelmingly too, because of the bitterness that would have caused. Same with Scoop Jackson.

And the New Dems know it.

LiberalArkie

(15,719 posts)
39. Most people I know that are younger than 50 say that they are Independents.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 11:12 AM
Dec 2015

When I talk to them, I find that they agree with me on just about everything. So are they independent because they fill like they don't fit into any party? That is what an independent usually is. Probably correct. They are to the left of Republicans, but that are to the left of Obama also.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
49. ^^^THIS^^^ Humphrey was boring and unfortunately was
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:33 PM
Dec 2015

linked to the war machine that was fighting in Vietnam. Bill Clinton won because he disguised his message and most of us still thought we were voting for the party of FDR.

I want our old party back and I am going to vote for that to happen.

DirkGently

(12,151 posts)
50. Proud 100th rec
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 02:35 PM
Dec 2015

Republican Light (TM) sounds good to big money donors and no one else.

Want turnout? Give people a real choice.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
56. This paragraph about Walter Mondale totally destroys the "superliberal" myth:
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:14 PM
Dec 2015
By the time the 1984 cycle began Walter Mondale had already become more of a Jimmy Carter Democrat as Vice President, going from someone more in line with Congressional Democrats and a potential bridge to the member of Carter’s team dispatched to tell Dems what the Administration was doing. Mondale, who still believes his Robert Rubin-flavored deficit pitch was correct on the merits, ran a “new realism” campaign that came down to a noun, a verb and deficits and debt. He went so far as telling people who were more focused on a jobs deficit than a budget deficit that “the only way to get hope” for America was “to get these deficits down.” The Democratic platform underwent a real shift from 1976 and even 1980 under Carter to the bang-up job done in 1984. The convention issue of Congressional Quarterly declared it the “most conservative platform of the last 50 years.” The New Dems should love the national iteration of Mondale. In a number of ways he was their poster candidate.
 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
62. The "Democratic" part of "Democratic Leadership Council" is another FALSE marketing term!
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:27 PM
Dec 2015

... much like other organizations it and its spinoffs has tried to create like "Progressive" Policy Institute and the "Progressive" Coalition for American Jobs (another BS marketing ploy to push the NON-progressive TPP on us), that FALSELY use the term "progressive" to hide these organizations' true agendas, and to pollute the "progressive" term's meaning too.

This organization or those following it should not be allowed to call themselves "democratic" when they want to VIOLATE the core belief and name of this party to push an UNDEMOCRATIC process of anointing our party's nominee before a single vote has actually been cast.

DLC and Third Wayers! You INSULT us by saying that we are standing in the way of Hillary Clinton by wanting a DEMOCRATIC process to decide who represents us and not what corporate bought elites want to PUSH on us as "our selection". That is why the term "Democratic" as the name of our party is becoming a joke to much of our voting populace, and so many have left the party before Bernie has been helpful in bringing some of them back to participate in the primary process.

EARN our votes the way people who truly believe in the process of democracy should and THEN you can claim the right to lead us!

FiveGoodMen

(20,018 posts)
64. some say "the only way we can win is to be more like the other party."
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:28 PM
Dec 2015

Then, why fight them?

Just let the other party win if we're going to implement their policies anyway.

There's absolutely no point in BEING Democrats unless Democrats are UNlike republicans.

Populist_Prole

(5,364 posts)
86. Right on
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 06:08 PM
Dec 2015

It's about actual policy in governing, and its effect on us all. Not promotion of party as a brand, the existence of it, in and of itself.

Can't have sizzle without the steak.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
71. I like Obama, but other than the very limited ACA which for many has merely entrenched
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 03:36 PM
Dec 2015

a mediocre, overpriced and inaccessible health care insurance system and not making the 2008 recession worse than it was, very little has been accomplished on the domestic front against Republican do-nothingness for the past nearing eight years.

We who back Bernie Sanders are the voices of the future. Hillary is a remnant, a ghost of the past.

If Bernie loses in this primary, the United States as a force for progress, prosperity, compassion and liberal thought could disappear. Hillary is not strong enough or trusted enough to win a Democratic majority in Congress in 2018 or thereafter. Her ideas are half-measures that do not get to the core of the problem which is the necessity that Americans work together through their government to achieve the changes we need in our country -- in our physical and social infrastructure in order to succeed in the 21st century.

So much of what Hillary says is divisive. She is going to raise taxes on people earning over a certain amount but not on anybody else. Those are words of division and they mean that she wants to make employers pay for family leave. That's not going to happen.

Hillary wants the minimum wage raised to only $12. That does nothing to erase the division between those who cannot earn a livable wage (since $12 is not a livable wage) and their bosses who live in comfort and in some cases luxurye.

Then Hillary wants free college -- but only for those who are poor enough to qualify for it. Again, a divisive measure. Again, those very families that earn $250,000 per year or more are the ones who will be divided from the rest of us. They will be asked to pay the taxes that provide free college to the poor plus they will be asked to pay for their own children's full tuition. And I bet you that in her plan, the eligibility for free college will be a family income of less than $90,000 or thereabouts and not the $250,000 she used as the marker for her "no new taxes" sales pitch.

We do not need Hillary's divisive policy proposals. Let's have free college in state schools for all students whether rich or poor. It will save money because when you means-test a program like that, you have to hire a bunch of people to review the financial statements of families seeking the free tuition. Another level of bureaucracy will be created by Hillary's plan.

Hillary's proposals are, one after the other, divisive and difficult to administer. We have seen how that works with the ACA. All the levels of plans, the differences in coverage. Single payer is simpler, easier to administer and does not leave someone without the money to pay for healthcare. Bernie's plan is much better than the ACA.

I agree with the OP: Bi-partisanship, post-partisanship are just other words for Democrats playing nice and caving in to Republican ignorance.

Just one word will convince you that I am right: environment.

It is beyond time that we acquiesce to the right-wing with regard to the changes we need to make to save our environment.

Another word: trade.

Democrats need a strongly pro-American-worker trade policy. That doesn't mean that we have no trade or that we have outrageous import taxes. It means that we put American entrepreneurs, creative people and workers first. We don't view international corporations as having the same rights as voters within our country.

Bernie stands for progress. Hillary stands for capitulation to Republican ignorance.

Which way do we go?

Forward or backward?

 

stupidicus

(2,570 posts)
80. let's face the facts eh
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 04:28 PM
Dec 2015

the .com bubble crash failed to shatter the myth the BC admin had created about the efficacy of the turdway and its policy pursuits.

ANd all that BS will live on as long as they aren't labeled as the traitors to the New Deal cause that they are. That's all that the majority of the Clinton supporters have is the economy under his stewardship to crow about, when most of the credit for that isn't even his. If you put that on the scales oppositie of his many and glaring failures of the policy kind that he's had to apologize for (to clear the air for his Queen) he's on balance, a failure.

all because he leaned right, which is almost always wrong

DonCoquixote

(13,616 posts)
90. they also forget
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 09:44 PM
Dec 2015

that we had the congress during the times we lost the presidency. We will not win the congress using DWS plans.

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
92. We got our asses handed to us in 1984.
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 11:30 PM
Dec 2015

I'm tired of losing.
In 2014 Will Pitt said he was getting bombarded by DNC e-mails telling him that we were losing, and guess what, they were right!!!
Because the DNC tried the old "tired and worn out, down the middle-of-the-road" campaign shtick.
It failed, miserably.

Meanwhile, the Tea Party was rabid, pounding the tables, foaming at the mouth, and they wound up getting some of their conservative Congressmen replaced with even more conservative Congressmen!!
Why can't we do that, go farther to the left than we have in the last 30 years?

Because the inconvenient truth of politics is, the only thing that is in the middle of the road . . is roadkill!!

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