2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMichael Tomasky on What Will Happen When Romney Gets Desperate
I dont know if team Romney should be panicking just yet. Convention bounces have been known to fade; its not every week that Barack Obama is going to get Bill Clinton to give a barn-burner of a speech on his behalf that outdraws the NFL game on the other channel. In my view its not so much that the fundamental nature of the race has shifted as that it has solidified: Obama spent months being mostly just a little ahead, and now hes a little more ahead than that. Lots of people have been writing in the last couple days about the larger Obama lead. But no one has yet turned attention to the consequences of that change: that Romney and Paul Ryan are likely to run the dirtiest campaign weve seen in a long, long time.
Go back in time a few months. The Romney theory, bruited by his aides and accepted by much of the media, was that all he had to do was talk about the economy and hed win. There was no way an incumbent president sitting on these kinds of economic figures could possibly be reelected. Unemployed, underemployed, not even looking anymore, wrong direction
no question that they are all bleak figures. All Romney had to do was keep talking about them, and as they say in the East End, Roberts your fathers brother.
This job was supposed to get even easier when Romney tapped Paul Ryan for veep. Ryan was the man with the plan, the Republican Brain, the guy who actually knew budgets and fiscal policy, the Republican who could slice right through all the Democratic pettifoggery and actually beat the Democrats at their own game of talking all those numbers. Ryans presence on the ticket made the economic choice that much more stark, the argument went, and hed win over the serious-minded moderates.
Well. Its exactly one month after Ryans selection was announced, and his reputation has gone nowhere but down. Hes a liar and his famous numbers actually make no sense at all because theyre intentionally misleading. So now he looks less like a serious budget person than a drunken back-bencher who has to be elbowed awake to cast a vote.
Read more:
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/11/michael-tomasky-on-what-will-happen-when-romney-gets-desperate.html
louis-t
(23,295 posts)Blame Obama for 9/11? Blame him for there being no WMDs in Iraq? Blame him for the next hurricane, or landslide, or earthquake, or....
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)That is far to charitable ... the more accurate descriptor would be:
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,414 posts)I'd say that he's been pretty desperate from the get-go. The REAL question IMHO is what will happen when he gets REALLY desperate! He's been playing the "Cadillac Queen" angle for awhile and seems to be sticking with it fact-checkers be damned and now he's started a new Obama anti-God angle though I don't know how far that's going to take him. I think that they pushed the anti-God angle with the debate over the birth control coverage and Obama has remained relatively unscathed by that. The conventions were a disaster for Romney and a boon for Obama, so really now all they have to hold on to are the debates and a torrent of campaign ads to convince people that we should dump Obama for him. I don't want to prematurely call the election for Obama yet just because it hasn't happened yet and it will depend largely on turnout, I'm just not seeing how/where he significantly pulls ahead in the polling.
Mike Daniels
(5,842 posts)when Romney and Ryan have both tried to state that they are not beholden to the anti-women rights planks of the Republican platform.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)With Rove's lack of a heart, and Adelson and the Koch Bros lack of morals, but shitloads of money, you have to wonder what they have planned next. Paying someone off to show up Gennifer Flowers style?
NJRick1006
(62 posts)If he continues to fall further behind, I expect to hear really horrible racist speeches to come from both he and Ryan. The right-wing media (Fox news/Newscorp stations) will give the comments some "legitimacy", or try to "soft-soap" the comments. This could even happen at the debates or immediately following the debates.
Mopar151
(9,989 posts)They're gonna give bashing "Obamacare" another shot, and keep harping on the economy.
EdwardKingSolomon
(60 posts)Isn't he already desperate?