NEW YORK: Quinnipiac poll (Obama +28), (Gillibrand +37)

[TroyD]

Thursday, September 13

~~~~~~~~~~

9/4 - 9/9 (1486 LV)

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PRESIDENT

Obama - 62

Romney - 34

~~~~~~~~~~

SENATE

Gillibrand (D) - 64

Long (R) - 27

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=1796

[aquart]

1. Yes. We are not a swing state.

[TroyD]

2. Hard to believe this was a state that voted Republican in the 1980's

But is now solidly Democratic.

New York polls are interesting because although it's not a state whose outcome is in doubt, it can be a gauge of how well Obama is doing relative to 2008 levels.

In 2008, Obama won New York by 27 points, so it appears that he is doing just as well as in 2008 right now.

[WI_DEM]

5. Heck even JFK won New York back in 1960 by only about 500,000 votes

compared to the 1.5-2 million votes Dems win NY by now. A lot of Rockefeller Republicans back then. In 1980, I think John Anderson cost Carter New York.

[longship]

3. Wow! New York is a blow out for the Republics.

Do they have any races in the positive?

[TroyD]

4. I think there are a few competitive House races

I think one of the vulnerable House Republicans is one of the guys who was with the naked group of GOP Congressmen in the Sea of Galilee scandal.