Nate SIlver/538 - Romney's likelihood of winning if election were held today: 8.4%

[brooklynite]

Current Obama projection for November:

80.6% probability of winning
51.5% vote percentage
315.4 Electoral Votes

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[riverbendviewgal]

1. beautiful

beautiful

[polichick]

2. Perhaps this country isn't completely insane after all!

[still_one]

4. Maybe not, but unless they can vote it won't matter. /nt

[polichick]

5. And unless they actually try to vote...

We still have a lot of people who don't even bother to vote in this country.

[still_one]

9. You are right and that is even worse

[a geek named Bob]

3. OH YEAH!!!

let's keep the pressure on...

[NRaleighLiberal]

6. Nate tends to do the updates around 9 PM - always look forward to them!

I am wondering if tonight's update will start to include a tad of Mitt's Libya kerfuffle.....

[jaysunb]

7. Nate is wrong...

Obama will get 347 EV's. N. Carolina will be in our column.

[RedSpartan]

8. Daaaaamn!