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magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 10:16 AM Feb 2016

Reuters/Ipsos confirms dead heat in national polls!

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSMTZSAPEC253J02S1

Exclusive: Presidential hopefuls Sanders, Clinton in dead heat - Reuters/Ipsos poll

Clinton leads Sanders 48 percent to 45 percent among Democratic voters, according to the poll of 512 Americans, conducted Feb. 2-5 following the Iowa caucus. The poll has a credibility interval of 5 percentage points.

Democrats had been supporting Clinton by more than a 2-to-1 margin at the beginning of the year. Sanders has narrowed that lead considerably over the past several weeks.

There is still a wide gap between the two in name recognition nationally. Nearly a quarter of Democrats and two-fifths of Independents say they are still not that familiar with Sanders. In comparison, Clinton has almost total name recognition among voters.


There's still room to grow!!!! ~25% still not familiar with Bernie, versus total name recognition for Hill!!!!

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Reuters/Ipsos confirms dead heat in national polls! (Original Post) magical thyme Feb 2016 OP
He'll never break 10%. He'll never break 20%. He'll top out at 30%. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2016 #1
! MuseRider Feb 2016 #2
And, he'll drop out before New Hampshire! Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #3
Cause after all, his support is 'shallow'. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2016 #4
but, but Nate Silver says.... TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #9
Poor Nate. wilsonbooks Feb 2016 #11
He'll have to go back to online poker. n/t TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #12
That's great news, but it needs to be confirmed with some larger polls. BillZBubb Feb 2016 #5
yes and no Rosa Luxemburg Feb 2016 #8
Yes, 5%. Yuuuge! nt Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2016 #10
When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Feb 2016 #6
Yeah, but Hillary is going to lose NH by only 15 points, beating all expectations they set for us corkhead Feb 2016 #7

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
1. He'll never break 10%. He'll never break 20%. He'll top out at 30%.
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 10:19 AM
Feb 2016

Funny, he doesn't seem to keep getting stuck where Clinton fans thought.

Don't worry, though, I'm sure he'll top out by 60-70%.

MuseRider

(34,119 posts)
2. !
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 10:27 AM
Feb 2016
Indeed!

I was pretty excited by the Q poll yesterday now I can be excited and relax a bit since there is another. Movement is in the right direction and movement is strong and fast. This is what we have been expecting, there have been no real plateaus just slower points of time when his movement was always up and hers down.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
4. Cause after all, his support is 'shallow'.
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 10:33 AM
Feb 2016

Yeah, funny that. I'm sure we'll have the same old PUMA holdouts after he gets the nomination that we saw in 08.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
5. That's great news, but it needs to be confirmed with some larger polls.
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 10:50 AM
Feb 2016

The margin of error has to be fairly large on that small a sample.

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