The Monmouth Poll showing Clinton with a 29% lead in SC was also rigged out the wazoo for Hillary.

[mhatrw]

Last edited Thu Feb 18, 2016, 08:52 PM - Edit history (5)

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/0d2797d9-672e-4af0-963c-4462f3db9b19.pdf

Of the "likely voters" included in the poll, 67% were non-white and 60% were female!

The numbers:

242 of the 403 polled were women (60.0%)

234 of 403 were black (58.1%)

just 134 of 403 were white (33.3%)

35 of 403 were other (8.7%)

[LiberalArkie]

1. Well bless their little "golden handcuffs"

[SheenaR]

2. I see 52% black

And all of the others you noted were the same ratio in 2008.

I'm all in for Bernie. But disagree.

[mhatrw]

3. 234 blacks to 143 whites

Look at the bottom of the last page.

234/(234+143) = 62%

Tell me, what was the highest percentage black turnout in SC history in Democratic primary that did not include Barack Obama?

For some reason, I wrote it down as 64% instead of 62%. Now fixed. Thanks.

[SheenaR]

4. Ok

i looked at the weighted percentages provided at the bottom.

We are on the same side. I'm not looking up anything. You can tell me what the number is.

[mhatrw]

5. I did not even see that, but I figured that out.

The percentages were for everyone polled. These numbers are for the likely voters they included in the polling!

234 blacks out of 403 likely voters = 59.1%

134 whites out of 403 likely voters = 33.3%

That also leaves 35 others = 8.7%

Thus the age skewing and the male/female skewing could be even worse than I reported since those numbers were also for everyone polled!

[SheenaR]

6. Good catch

We win Nevada (still unlikely) and throw every poll out the window because he will gain ridiculous momentum

[mhatrw]

7. They are trying to make Clinton victories seem inevitable to dishearten new primary voters. nt