Michigan Polls

[BernieforPres2016]

Last edited Tue Mar 8, 2016, 12:51 PM - Edit history (1)

I thought it might be interesting to put up the latest polls for Michigan going into the primary and compare them with the results afterwards. Only the Michigan State poll has it close, projecting 52-47 Hillary. The other polls all have double digit margins

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-michigan-presidential-democratic-primary

I am hopeful these polls are wrong and that Bernie can pull off a win today. I suspect it will require a big voter turnout among young people that the polls have not anticipated.

[MrMickeysMom]

1. This shows how much the Clintons will push lies in every market they can possibly twist...

They lie and they lie and they lie again.... And then, they lie some more. And, then, they take a break and lie some more.

And for desert..... LIES.

And when they dream at night, it isn't of a fair playing field for the people they lie to. It's so they can win.

And WE ALL LOOSE.

May every lie bounce off those who the Clintons take aim and may the truth shine through.

[dana_b]

2. I am so confused by the polls

hose in the more southern states are usually close to correct and Hillary wins big. The, like Maine the other day, it shows that Bernie is 20 points down and he ends up winning!! HOW does that happen?? Why are some of the polls so off?

[Funtatlaguy]

3. I hope so too

But, some colleges in Michigan are on Spring break, I was told.

[Bob_Roony]

5. BUt

The students are mostly locals. They would still vote unless they really have enough money to go on vacation which I doubt. Students are poor.

[BernieforPres2016]

6. I believe I read most schools (including UM and MSU) are on break next week

[Bob_Roony]

4. Remember

by 2013, 41% of US households rely on cell phone and have no landlines. The % is much higher for those 18-44 (the group that vote heavily for Sanders). 66% of those 25-29, 60% 30-34 and so on. The least are those in 64+ (14%) who vote heavily for Clinton, and the same for those 45-64 (31%). By law, cell phone can't be autodialed.

[BernieforPres2016]

7. I agree, and have no idea how pollsters deal with those issues

I suspect these polls aren't accurate which is why I thought they would be worth looking at before and after.

[BernieforPres2016]

8. One other thing pollsters have to deal with is that many with land lines won't pick up the phone

I am one of those. I look at caller ID and if it isn't somebody I know I don't answer 90% of the time. I think pollsters make multiple efforts and then call another number, but the people who won't answer calls from pollsters could vary from the ones who will.

[SoapBox]

11. Our house is the same...

Don't know the number, we don't touch it...and 99% of such calls are then hang ups, so we don't know where the heck they are coming from.

Maybe it's back to the snail mail flyers.

[Autumn Colors]

9. Many people won't answer an unknown #

Whether it's on a cellphone or a landline with caller ID

[angstlessk]

10. Not only that, but in Detroit...

...if you have some person knocking on your door with GOTV intention...most will not open their doors.

Too many home invasions from people pretending to be 'official'