Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumClinton Delegate Lead Down to 194, Even as Dramatic Miscounting of Delegates by Media Continues
1,299 to 1,105.
Thats the insurmountable delegate lead Hillary Clinton has over Bernie Sanders.
And there are still 1,674 pledged delegates yet to be awarded in twenty primaries and caucuses to be held over the next two months; scores of up-for-grabs delegates yet to be decided via state and county Democratic conventions; and hundreds and hundreds of super-delegates to be wooed by both candidates in Philadelphia this summer with not a single one of them having officially committed themselves to anybody.
Thats the cold, hard truth the indisputable numeric data of the current election cycle but its not the story Americans are being told.
Why?
Well, put it this way: say what you will about Nate Silvers FiveThirtyEight.com for instance, that its projections for Bernie Sanders in primaries and caucuses have routinely been low, a fact which sits uncomfortably beside its penchant for publishing articles marginalizing Sanders and his supporters as quixotic but theyve consistently had the most accurate delegate counts for the Democratic Primary race.
And even they cant keep up with Sanders.
more
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/clintons-delegate-lead-do_b_9711160.html
RepubliCON-Watch
(559 posts)That would derail any viable campaign. Can't wait!!!
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)DE., MD. and when in CA....he'll trounce her. Oregon is Bernie's also - BIG TIME.
I can't wait either! That should shut the corrupt corporate owned MSM up! They won't be able to spin anything after Tuesday.
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
Basement Beat
(659 posts)I really didn't get back into DU since the Michigan election (where I vote) and I'm waiting for another huge upset. Heck if Sanders comes within single digits, this will be insane!
jillan
(39,451 posts)than Hillary does
We need this win.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
Cool.
And meanwhile 50,000 people are squeezing into a rally for Bernie in NYC this afternoon!
thereismore
(13,326 posts)Snarkoleptic
(6,002 posts)Personally, I want our first female President to be someone who is a populist change agent, but I'm prolly an outlier.
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)Sweet Freedom
(3,995 posts)LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)leftcoastmountains
(2,968 posts)sorechasm
(631 posts)This means that Clintons delegate lead has dropped by 24 in just the last two weeks, and in events barely covered by the media in four of the nations fifty states. If similar events were to occur at even a handful of the other 46 state party conventions, Clintons lead, even outside any remaining primaries and caucuses, could be greatly imperiled.
Seems newsworthy, doesnt it? Cutting 24 delegates off Clintons 200-plus delegate lead in just four states and 14 days, with two months left in the primary season, twenty primaries and caucuses left, and many states that have already held primaries and caucuses still planning to hold precisely the sort of county conventions that have already netted Sanders so many new delegates in so little time?
Apparently not.
So whats that new delegate count again?
1,299 to 1,105.
paulthompson
(2,398 posts)I just posted the below in the Primaries forum. We need to stay grounded in reality and not make up more favorable numbers:
I'm a Sanders supporter, but Green Papers has the best numbers. I just checked, and they have Sanders with a 41 to 25 lead in Colorado, which is a change of 2 delegates in Sanders' favor that happened yesterday. So when they say Clinton leads by 210 delegates, I believe them.
Still, this article has a good point that most media outlets are reporting bad numbers:
ABC: 244
Fox News: 244
RealClearPolitics: 244
CNN: 229
New York Times: 220
Check it yourself:
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D-PU.phtml
EDIT:
I just noticed that Green Papers hasn't changed their numbers in Nevada, and it's been widely reported that Sanders picked up two delegates there.
So it turns out that 538.com has the best numbers, and Clinton has a 206 delegate lead.
It looks like Seth Abramson was off by one in Colorado, off by two in Missouri, and didn't realize the 206 number already included the two delegate change in Nevada, so those got counted twice. So that's five, which makes a mistaken swing of 10 delegates. I'm not sure where he got the other delegate wrong.