Iowa State Fair Poll Results - 2015 presidential results.

[Ed Suspicious]

https://sos.iowa.gov/statefair.html

I don't know if it's over yet, but Iowa is starting to feel the Bern!

Hillary leads Bernie by right around 5 percentage points as we speak.

:closing_the_gap:

[TM99]

1. An 8 vote difference means

this is basically a tie. Yes, Clinton has nothing to worry about in her coronation!

I see that Trump is the winner thus far on the GOP side but Carson is 2nd. I have said from the beginning that he is someone to watch out for. He polls very high in these types of straw polls.

[SoapBox]

2. But, but, but...

All those GLOWING articles being posted...she had applause and standing ovations!

Just give The Queen her crown now!



Hmmm...seems that they forgot about the other candidates getting cheers and standing ovations...her PR team must have hustled to get all those comments out of unbiased...Politico.

[LiberalElite]

3. Now it's only 3 points

https://sos.iowa.gov/statefair.html

[retrowire]

5. 2 points at the time of this post. n/t

[retrowire]

4. no it's not over yet! :)

Bernie has yet to speak 2pm on the soap box.

[Divernan]

6. SANDERS - 46.44 % - HRC - 46.86% HAH!

As of 12 NOON, Eastern Time, the Inevitable, Entitled One's lead is 1/5 of One Percent!

And when push comes to shove, how many of the 5.44% O'Malley's voters will go to Bernie vs. HRC?

2
D Lincoln Chafee 1 0.42%
3
D Hillary Clinton 112 46.86%
4
D Martin O'Malley 13 5.44%
5
D Bernie Sanders 111 46.44%
6
D Jim Webb

[PowerToThePeople]

7. He just took the lead!!

116/115

#FeelTheBern

[Divernan]

19. BERNIE - 47.70%; HRC - 45.94% (1:15 p.m.) Whoo hoo!

Party Candidate Votes Percent Chart
2
D Lincoln Chafee 1 0.35%
3
D Hillary Clinton 130 45.94%
4
D Martin O'Malley 13 4.59%
5
D Bernie Sanders 135 47.70%
6
D Jim Webb 4 1.41%

[PowerToThePeople]

21. BERNIE - 47.31%; HRC - 44.91% (1:27PM Central) !!

D Lincoln Chafee 5 1.50%
D Hillary Clinton 150 44.91%
D Martin O'Malley 17 5.09%
D Bernie Sanders 158 47.31%
D Jim Webb 4 1.20%

[retrowire]

8. At the time of this post, Bernie has surpassed Hillary by 1 vote. :D

Gap closed. Maybe not permanently, but Bernie has yet to speak at 2PM. Things shall change.

[LiberalElite]

9. aaaa hA - I didn't know

he hasn't said a word yet. bwahahahahaha

[retrowire]

10. He's 2 points ahead now.

I know this poll isn't all that serious, but it is kinda fun.

If we were to take this poll as a petri dish of the Iowan voter, we have to admit that Iowa is split evenly between trying to decide if they like Bernie or Hillary.

And of course Donalds got the majority vote for Republicans, but... Is anyone else totally bewildered as to why the hell Ben "Brainz" Carson is their second best choice?!

Donalds an egomaniac, but Ben is a freaking nutbar.

[PowerToThePeople]

11. 3 now. oh, now 4.

#FeelTheBern

[LiberalElite]

12. The others theres' a

teeny bit of sense to it but Carson - no way. I do not get that one. But then, trying to find sense in the GOP contest is an exercise in futility.

[retrowire]

13. Who is allowed to vote in this fairground poll? Kids?

Because I wouldn't be surprised if some trolls got involved just for the lolz.

[LiberalElite]

14. Here's how the Iowa "Corn Caucus" works:

http://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/08/14/432136126/looking-for-kernels-of-truth-in-latest-iowa-poll-maybe-not

-snip-
There are highly scientific polls, with careful attention paid to sample size and demographics.

There are robopolls where computers make the calls and interview those who pick up the phone.

There are those cable TV polls where viewers are asked to "call this number and tell us who you like."

And then there's the Corn Caucus, sponsored by WHO-TV in Des Moines, every presidential election season at the Iowa State Fair.
-snip-

[retrowire]

16. That explains it. lol

"Fairgoers line up. Each is handed a single kernel of corn, which he or she deposits into the jar of his or her choice. Then the next person does the same. And so on.

No ID required. No need to prove that this isn't your third time through today."

The article goes on to mention that it's meant to be fun, and get people talking about the election.

Either way, so far, it somewhat resembles reality regarding the race between the democrats. The republicans, not so much.

[LiberalElite]

18. Republicans have a tenuous relationship to reality anyway nt

[Divernan]

20. It wouldn't be "The Iowa Way" to vote 2x or otherwise cheat!

Cue The Music Man:
https://search.yahoo.com/yhs/search?p=The+Iowa+Way+Music+Man&ei=UTF-8&hspart=mozilla&hsimp=yhs-002

Lyrics to Iowa Stubborn
Townspeople:
Oh, there's nothing halfway
About the Iowa way to treat you,
When we treat you
Which we may not do at all.
There's an Iowa kind of special
Chip-on-the-shoulder attitude.
We've never been without.
That we recall.
We can be cold
As our falling thermometers in December
If you ask about our weather in July.
And we're so by God stubborn
We could stand touchin' noses
For a week at a time
And never see eye-to-eye.
But what the heck, you're welcome,
Join us at the picnic.
You can eat your fill
Of all the food you bring yourself.
You really ought to give Iowa a try.
Provided you are contrary,
We can be cold
As our falling thermometer in December
If you ask about our weather in July.
And we're so by God stubborn
We can stand touchin' noses
For a week at a time
And never see eye-to-eye.
But we'll give you our shirt
And a back to go with it
If your crops should happen to die.

[LiberalElite]

47. Or Ya Got Trouble

right here in River City. With a capital T and that rhymes with B and that stands for Bernie!

See:

[Divernan]

50. Absolutely!

[LiberalElite]

15. That may be true - Pataki got two votes

Tell me anyone in Iowa ever heard of the former governor of New York.

[PowerToThePeople]

17. =)

[Ed Suspicious]

22. 150 to 158 : Bernie as of right now.

[PowerToThePeople]

23. BOOM! post-soapbox surging!!

D Lincoln Chafee 6 1.50%
D Hillary Clinton 177 44.14%
D Martin O'Malley 19 4.74%
D Bernie Sanders 195 48.63%
D Jim Webb 4 1.00%

[Ed Suspicious]

24. The more we know about Bernie, the more we like Bernie. (unless you are simply a partisan)

[retrowire]

25. 20 point lead for Bernie after his soapbox speech.

BOOM.

[guillaumeb]

26. My wife voted for the butter cow as her first choice.

http://www.iowastatefair.org/fair-attractions/butter-cow/

[PoliticAverse]

29. I'm guessing the butter cow would only be...

a one churn president.

[retrowire]

30. NICE. LOL n/t

[Divernan]

32. Off to the Butter Cow Group with you!

[guillaumeb]

39. A very mooooving reply. And that is no bull.

I am not just trying to butter you up.

[FloridaBlues]

34. In the real world Iowa poll hill 50% bern 31%

[PoliticAverse]

27. I'm waiting for the results of the "Favorite Way to Eat Bacon" poll. n/t

[PowerToThePeople]

28. 50% !!!!

D Lincoln Chafee 7 1.56%
D Hillary Clinton 193 43.08%
D Martin O'Malley 20 4.46%
D Bernie Sanders 224 50.00%
D Jim Webb 4 0.89%

[Divernan]

31. HRC continues to drop - Bernie leads, 50% to her 42%

1
Party Candidate Votes Percent Chart
2
D Lincoln Chafee 10 2.08%
3
D Hillary Clinton 204 42.41%
4
D Martin O'Malley 21 4.37%
5
D Bernie Sanders 242 50.31%
6
D Jim Webb 4 0.83

[sabrina 1]

33. Now Bernie ahead of ALL candidates, from both parties! 9 points ahead of Hillary

Dem Party needs to get behind the ONLY candidate who can beat Republicans in the GE.

[Divernan]

35. Me & Snoopy, doin' our happy dance!

[retrowire]

42. Wait did he surpass Trump at some point while I wasn't looking?

Or are we excluding Trump because he's a joke anyways?

[sabrina 1]

43. Donald Trump is at approx. 27%, and Bernie is at 52%, Hillary at 40%

[Ed Suspicious]

36. Up by 10 points.

[Ed Suspicious]

37. This is a microcosm of his campaign.

[Divernan]

38. Who's that in my rearview mirror? Falling farther behind?Buh-bye, Hillary!

[retrowire]

41. Yes it is. And now he has a 72 point lead. Look at that. :D n/t

[LiberalElite]

48. as of 8:34

HRC 40.13

BS 53.61

And Pataki still has 2 -(see my post above #15 )

[retrowire]

40. Oh is that a 72 point gap with Bernie leading Hillary?

Yes it is.

And all it took was his soap box speech.

All he needs is to be heard and seen.

The people will do the rest.

Truth speaks volumes.

[Ed Suspicious]

44. 72 vote lead. About 13 points.

Percentage points.

[retrowire]

46. my bad, i didn't know the difference. Quite a gap though! :D n/t

[Live and Learn]

45. +1 Very true. Once they hear him, they support him. nt

[retrowire]

49. 81 vote lead. Bernie at 53.35 percent, Hillary at 40.42, Trump at 27.64

Aww yeaaaah...

[Divernan]

51. What's a Hillary to do? Have one of her rich donors dump 2700 kernels

Last edited Sun Aug 16, 2015, 10:52 AM - Edit history (1)

of corn in at once? Because those jars don't accept cash, checks or money orders. Or does she have a bus bringing in her unpaid interns from Brooklyn to vote? She's had all day to take action.

Seriously, the Clintons totally hate to lose. If the vote count changes by a large amount in her favor, and very quickly, I shall have my suspicions.

[Divernan]

52. HRC's "I'm melting! Melting!" moment.

I know this is an unscientific method of measuring voter support. But still, a very interesting and timely measure indicating the upward direction of increased Sanders support in Iowa. In days to come, following Bernie's victories in New Hampshire and Iowa, we can look back to this State Fair poll and observe this was a harbinger of the sea change in HRC's prospects, and not in a good way for her.