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n2doc

(47,953 posts)
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 09:15 AM Aug 2015

3 reasons Bernie Sanders is now the Democratic front-runner

By H.A. Goodman,

In 2008, Hillary Clinton lost the Democratic nomination to then-Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.). In 2015, another senator is giving the Clinton campaign a headache; however, this election cycle has an additional cast of characters that normally isn't a part of any presidential rivalry. Because of a federal judge, the FBI and Justice Department investigations, and an energized base of progressive voters throughout the nation voting for Sanders, it's evident Clinton has lost her status as the leading presidential candidate for Democrats. Although many Democrats still won't admit the obvious, below are three reasons why Sanders has become the new Democratic front-runner in 2016.

1. Within a surprisingly short time period, increased name recognition and an energized base of Democratic voters have allowed Sanders to compete and even surpass Clinton in various polls.

Sanders formally announced his run for the presidency on May 26, 2015. Since then, Clinton's lead in nationwide polls has dwindled. This paradigm shift has been fueled primarily because of scandals, Clinton's inability to answer questions in a forthright manner, and the energy exhibited by Sanders's supporters. Furthermore, CNN cites a recent Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll that reports Sanders ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire. Even when acknowledging that Clinton still leads Sanders in various other polls, CNN writes that "polling has also shown Clinton's vulnerabilities as voters question her honesty and trustworthiness." Echoing CNN, Quinnipiac University issued a report in July titled "Clinton In Trouble In Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds." This Quinnipiac poll explains that Sanders now performs as well, or even better than Clinton, in various scenarios:

In several matchups in Iowa and Colorado, another Democratic contender, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, runs as well as, or better than Clinton against Rubio, Bush and Walker. ...

Clinton gets markedly negative favorability ratings in each state, 35-56 percent in Colorado, 33-56 percent in Iowa and 41-50 percent in Virginia.

'Hillary Clinton's numbers have dropped among voters in the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. She has lost ground in the horserace and on key questions about her honesty and leadership,' said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

True, there is a poll among Democrats where Clinton still has a wide lead, however, this poll doesn't ask voters about "honesty." Whenever a poll is narrowed down to issues like trustworthiness, then data from Quinnipiac University's Swing State Poll and CNN's findings illustrate that voters in swing states (Democrats can't win the White House without winning a majority of swing states) simply do not trust Clinton.

more

http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/251860-3-reasons-bernie-sanders-is-now-the-democratic-front
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3 reasons Bernie Sanders is now the Democratic front-runner (Original Post) n2doc Aug 2015 OP
The American people want a New Deal. I want a New Deal. PatrickforO Aug 2015 #1
I think Bernie just may be a better deal than the New Deal. merrily Aug 2015 #2
Big Bernie fan, but I don't think you can just make up your own criteria for 'front-runner'. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Aug 2015 #3
"I'm expecting that in maybe late October or so." merrily Aug 2015 #4
I didn't write this, but note today's NH poll n2doc Aug 2015 #5
Anywhere else other than NH? Doingto Aug 2015 #6

PatrickforO

(14,592 posts)
1. The American people want a New Deal. I want a New Deal.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 09:27 AM
Aug 2015

For years I've been hoping for a real populist, one who, instead of wasting money on $300 haircuts actually talks about the issues I care about and has concrete plans to deal with those things. Now, we've got Bernie Sanders who is the real deal. Bernie's Real Deal is a New Deal for the 21st Century.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
2. I think Bernie just may be a better deal than the New Deal.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 09:46 AM
Aug 2015

More and more, I suspect that the reaction of the likes of FDR and Joe Kennedy to Black Tuesday and the Bonus Army was guided AT LEAST as much by what had happened in Russia after World War I, when the military joined the peasants, as it was by compassion for suffering Americans. I don't think Bernie is worried about a revolution that might jeopardize the billions he plans to leave his estate.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
3. Big Bernie fan, but I don't think you can just make up your own criteria for 'front-runner'.
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 09:51 AM
Aug 2015

When he passes her in national polling, I'll happily call him the front runner.

I'm expecting that in maybe late October or so.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
4. "I'm expecting that in maybe late October or so."
Tue Aug 25, 2015, 10:16 AM
Aug 2015


From your keyboard to the voters' ears, but remember: Bernie has not been paying for polls; Hillary has.

My guess is that the internal polling is both more meaningful and less positive for Hillary than the polls to which we've been getting treated. Just a guess.

Her match ups against Bush, Rubio, et al. in some states cannot be terribly comforting to Democrats right now, either.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

If the Party really wanted to win next November, it would start throwing it's weight behind the candidate who is energizing Democrats.

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