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Six points in Iowa, very doable!! (Original Post) Admiral Loinpresser Nov 2015 OP
I never thought it was over in Iowa Kalidurga Nov 2015 #1
Me neither. Admiral Loinpresser Nov 2015 #2
My early prediction was he wins by 5%. Kalidurga Nov 2015 #3
Doable? More like done deal. InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2015 #4
I agree, but only if Admiral Loinpresser Nov 2015 #6
Abso-fuckin-lutely!! InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2015 #8
Remember Robbins Nov 2015 #5
+1 n/t Admiral Loinpresser Nov 2015 #7
Bernie!! AzDar Nov 2015 #9
This is very interesting Rosa Luxemburg Nov 2015 #10

Admiral Loinpresser

(3,859 posts)
2. Me neither.
Sat Nov 14, 2015, 08:30 AM
Nov 2015

But I confess I got freaked out about some of these crazy polls with bullshit methodologies. Now I realize methodology is crucial to accuracy and the Bernie coalition is a challenge to measure, precisely because he is bringing in independents, Millenials and first time voters, who are all much harder to measure. Dewey defeats Truman, indeed.

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)
3. My early prediction was he wins by 5%.
Sat Nov 14, 2015, 09:03 AM
Nov 2015

I am thinking it could be 7% now. Not that it matters that much in the long run.

Admiral Loinpresser

(3,859 posts)
6. I agree, but only if
Sat Nov 14, 2015, 10:07 AM
Nov 2015

we keep up this great work. They have the CCM and all the rest of their evil Establishment entities allied against us with all that dark money and sleazy attacks. So let's redouble our efforts in Iowa!

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
5. Remember
Sat Nov 14, 2015, 10:07 AM
Nov 2015

at this point In 2007 Clinton lead Obama In Iowa.and she ended up coming in third.

In caucus you need enthusim to get out the vote.Young voters,Liberals,first time voters,independents and non dems,are all enthused
about Bernie.Check on social media and you will find women for bernie so it's wrong to think all women are for Clinton.

the problem with polls are they underpoll under 50 and the likely voter screen.2008 and 2012 show likely voters doesn't always
work.

I know Clinton supporters are going to call us like romeny and rove with our take on polling.

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