New CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom Poll. Top tier is tightening.

[mobeau69]

Overall, 24% say they favor the former vice president, with 16% backing Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 15% Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and 14% South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg. California Sen. Kamala Harris rounds out the five over 5% with 7% support.

Biden has regularly been above 30% in national polling since announcing his candidacy in April, with his nearest competitor trailing by double-digits. But there hasn't been high-quality polling in Iowa since his entry to the race.

Beyond Biden's lower overall support, the poll also suggests some warning signs for him beneath those numbers. His supporters are less apt than others to say they are "extremely enthusiastic" about him (29% vs. 39% for backers of all other candidates, and 43% among those backing his nearest competition in Sanders, Warren or Buttigieg). He also remains the best-known candidate in the field, suggesting he has less room to grow than other candidates who Iowa's Democratic caucusgoers are still getting to know.


https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/08/politics/iowa-poll-2020-biden-sanders-warren-buttigieg-harris/

Mayor Pete is right in the mix!

[madaboutharry]

1. That is some good news for Mayor Pete!

[mobeau69]

4. Yep. Doesn't surprise me though.

Go BOOT EDGE EDGE!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

16. Me neither, been sayin' the same thing for a couple days now... and catchin' he'll for it, but...

the numbers don't lie. Biden had a bad week in the news and the polls are now starting to reflect his downward slide... though modest, it's still noticeable.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[uawchild]

25. Sanders 16%, leading the Progressives over Biden 45 to 24% !

Congrats to you and your candidate! Sanders 16% led all progressives and gave a hefty contribution to the great progressive showing in Iowa!

Progressives 45, Biden 24 !

This shows the appeal of progressive candidates speaking out for progressive issues in Iowa!

This is a strong indication that the majority of the delegates will be going to progressive candidates, not Joe.

Nice job!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

27. Thanks, but don't let the Biden supporters hear you say that...

you'll get slammed!!

Anyway, good luck to your candidate... I like him too!!

Just like these two better...


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[uawchild]

18. Great job by Pete and Liz!

Congratulations to you and your candidates!

The showing by the progressives in this poll is impressive.

Some people want to just compare Biden 24 to Sanders 16 but don't realize its not a two person race yet.

All told progressives got 45% to Joe Biden's 24%, that means the majority of delegates would be going to progressives, not Joe.

And the trend line is heading in the right direction, big time!

[mobeau69]

20. The trend is your friend

in equities picking and politics!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

28. It sure is!!

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[highplainsdem]

2. Top tier in that Iowa poll is Biden alone. Second tier is Sanders / Warren / Buttigieg.

Biden's as far ahead of that second tier as the second tier is ahead of Harris and everyone with less support.

Buttigieg IS doing well there.

[mobeau69]

6. Ahead right now but it's far from over.

Beyond Biden's lower overall support, the poll also suggests some warning signs for him beneath those numbers. His supporters are less apt than others to say they are "extremely enthusiastic" about him (29% vs. 39% for backers of all other candidates, and 43% among those backing his nearest competition in Sanders, Warren or Buttigieg). He also remains the best-known candidate in the field, suggesting he has less room to grow than other candidates who Iowa's Democratic caucusgoers are still getting to know.

[Celerity]

3. go go Pete!!!, here is the full poll link BTW

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/06/07/top2_ia_saturday.pdf

[Peacetrain]

5. This is really good for Biden.. it is his first Iowa Poll as a candidate..

We had seen him take off locally.. but not sure what it was going to look like state wide.. and what we are seeing locally is playing state wide.. Warren looks good.. Buttigieg is looking very good.. Sanders is good.. Harris is back a ways.. and everyone else is in the tank.. very exciting..

[mobeau69]

7. LOL.

Beyond Biden's lower overall support, the poll also suggests some warning signs for him beneath those numbers. His supporters are less apt than others to say they are "extremely enthusiastic" about him (29% vs. 39% for backers of all other candidates, and 43% among those backing his nearest competition in Sanders, Warren or Buttigieg). He also remains the best-known candidate in the field, suggesting he has less room to grow than other candidates who Iowa's Democratic caucusgoers are still getting to know.

[Kahuna7]

8. The previous poll by this pollster on 3/6, had him with a 2 pt advantage, so 8% is better than 2%.

[Peacetrain]

9. I have been on pins and needles for the last month waiting for this poll to come out

[mobeau69]

13. Can't find it. Can you post a link please? TIA

I looked at several earlier polls and they all show Biden with a much larger lead.

[Kahuna7]

40. Check Real Clear Politics for this specific pollster. nt

[mobeau69]

42. Thanks anyway. I can't find it either.

It would be an old poll before Biden was even in the race so rally a moot point at this stage. I did see several other polls in April and they all showed him with much larger than 2 point leads.

[still_one]

10. Iowa is a caucus state, and so representative of the country

[mobeau69]

15. They picked Obama.

And, BTW, have looked at Joe more than once before.

[still_one]

19. Well I guess with that logic, Bill Clinton losing Iowa, he should not have won the nomination.

[mobeau69]

22. No but the fact that Iowa uses a caucus system

makes the people of Iowa's preferences irrelevant is ludicrous. But you know that.

[still_one]

31. The caucus is discriminatory against people with mobility issues, or cannot be there in person

it is not particularly Democratic with people knowing how other people are voting

Any states preferences are representative for that state. Extrapolating them to the rest of the country is not valid

Views of people in Iowa are not necessarily reprentative of the rest of the country

[JI7]

23. Iowa wasn't in play that year becsuse Tom Harkin was running

so it wasa going to go to him.

Clinton didn't win new hampshire but did better than people may have thought so turned it into a victory with the "come back kid" line .

[still_one]

32. Iowa represents the views of Iowans, and is not necessarily the views of the entire country

That was my point, and the fact it is a Caucus, it does nothing t necessarily represent the plurality of Iowans, since it is discriminatory against those who can’t be there in person

[karynnj]

30. In 1992, Clinton did not even bother with Iowa, because Harkin was the favorite son

Expected, as he did, to win.

[redstateblues]

34. If Pete can't solve his diversity problem Super Tuesday will spell doom for him

[uawchild]

11. IOWA POLL: Progressives 45, Biden 24 !

Congratulations to Liz and Pete and all their supporters, both closed TONS of ground on the two leaders!

This clearly shows the appeal of progressive candidates in Iowa.

It gets more interesting every day.

[Kahuna7]

12. Keep hope alive?

[uawchild]

14. Sure, Biden still has a chance.

lol

It's progressives 45, Biden 24.

In the long run, when the field narrows to 3-4 candidates, it means progressives will be getting the majority of the delegates.

[targetpractice]

17. Smartest thing I've read all day...

You should be on TV, uawchild. Thanks for helping me feel better about things.

[uawchild]

21. yeah, its not Biden versus Sanders, its a 4-5 way race for delegates!

Progressives are looking good!

[redstateblues]

35. How is Cory doing so far?

[uawchild]

37. Cory is trying to hang in there lol

Last edited Sun Jun 9, 2019, 02:17 PM - Edit history (1)

He only has an outside shot at VP or perhaps a Cabinet post to be honest.

It's becoming clear the Elizabeth Warren is going to be our nominee, but it's too soon to bail on Cory.

He want's to stay in the top tier of debates to get a national audience for his issues like mass incarceration of minorities, the plight of the urban poor and the failed so-called war on drugs that has led to the mass incarceration of minorities and the resultant voter suppression of minority communities.

In any case, we'll all be on the same side in 2020, right? If Warren gets the nomination, Biden supporters won't be dead-enders and hold that against her.

Cheers!

[BannonsLiver]

45. The poster is actually a Sanders supporter.

The tell is here if you look closely.

[Indygram]

24. A tweet from someone canvassing on the ground today during events where candidates were

Link to tweet

Doesn't quite match the polls other than where Warren is concerned.

[Fiendish Thingy]

26. Once the debates start in two weeks, Biden will fall

His support may fall quite dramatically, IMO.

[mobeau69]

29. The fall will be determined to a large extent by the makeup of his card.

[redstateblues]

36. I doubt it. The single digit candidates are putting way too much hope on the debates.

The debates have very low ratings. Most of them have already pulled out their bags of tricks

[JI7]

38. i think debates mostly matter if someone does horribly like Marco Rubio repeating the same lines

but primary debates don't matter much overall. Obama didn't win any of them . he didn't do badly but didn't stand out in any way. so many other things count more.

[Fiendish Thingy]

44. Obama went from almost unknown to household name because of the primary debates Nt.

[JI7]

46. no, Obama's fame started 2004 convention

he wasn't unknown at all by that time

[Fiendish Thingy]

43. Low ratings or not, the MSM will cover the debates well and pounce on any gaffes

They will play sound bites endlessly.

[LibFarmer]

33. Biden actually INCREASED his lead from the previous poll by the same outfit

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/06/08/iowa-poll-biden-democrats-2020-1358156

Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading the crowded Democratic presidential field in Iowa, with Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders in a tight secondary grouping alongside South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg in the third poll of the first-in-the-nation presidential nominating state.

The new Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom survey of likely Iowa caucusgoers released Saturday shows that although Biden's support registered at 24 percent — a fall of 3 percentage points from the last poll — he has stretched his lead to 8 percentage points over Sanders, from 2 percentage points in March.

Sanders and Warren registered at 16 percent and 15 percent respectively, with Sanders' support decreasing by 9 percentage points. Sanders narrowly lost the 2016 Iowa caucuses to Hillary Clinton.

Buttigieg made a strong debut at 14 percent, or 1 percentage point behind Warren. Sen. Kamala Harris remains steady at 7 percent compared with the last Iowa poll. Former Texas Rep. Beto O'Rourke dropped 3 percent and is now at 2 percent. Sen. Amy Klobuchar registered at 2 percent, with Sen. Cory Booker at just 1 percent.

[Skya Rhen]

41. Thanks for this - Reading Comprehension 101...

[NYC Democrat]

39. At this rate Liz is on track to surpass Bernie and become THE Progressive choice

I think especially after the debates we'll start to see that. COME ON LIZ.

Really great showing for Pete too, which is nice since he's my 2nd.