YouGov poll finds Biden with 50 percent of black vote

[Scurrilous]

<snip>

"Half of black Democratic primary voters say they plan to support former Vice President Joe Biden in the party’s presidential nominating contest, according to an Economist/YouGov poll released Thursday.

The 50 percent figure represents an outsize share of support among a crucial and highly sought-after Democratic voter bloc. Biden’s closest competition among black voters was Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who trailed in a distant second place with 10 percent, according to the survey.

In third place was Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), who is of Indian and Jamaican descent, with 7 percent support, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) are tied for fourth among black voters, at 4 percent each.

Biden, who served as vice president under the first black president in U.S. history, has consistently polled well with black voters, who make up a key voting bloc for Democrats. A previous Economist/YouGov poll released last week showed the former vice president with 45 percent among those voters."

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/448470-yougov-poll-finds-biden-with-50-percent-of-black-vote


The Economist/YouGov Poll

June 9 - 11, 2019 - 1500 US Adult citizens

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/b0wzlf9avh/econTabReport.pdf#table.146

[Iliyah]

1. Was this done on line?

USA Blacks will support the Democratic primary winner. Biden is their first choice because he was VP along side with Pres O.

USA Blacks do have much respect for VP Biden.

[Scurrilous]

10. Panel Methodology

https://yougov.co.uk/about/panel-methodology/

[marlakay]

17. I have been doing their polls for at leasy

10-12 yrs. They always ask what party you are then if you are strong or regular democrat.

This makes me realize they know from many past polls what you are already so how can they do it fairly?

[Bhkylib]

2. Biden will win the nomination if he continues his high support amongst black voters

All this talk about surging Warren, Pete, etc. doesn't matter as long as Biden has a stranglehold on the African American vote.

[Hortensis]

14. Holding steady now, but I'm expecting

it to drop, perhaps very considerably, during the primaries if support rises for other candidates, and then, if Biden becomes the nominee, rise substantially again. By then Obama will be campaigning for our nominee also.

[Cha]

3. Excellent!

The 50 percent figure represents an outsize share of support among a crucial and highly sought-after Democratic voter bloc. Biden’s closest competition among black voters was Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who trailed in a distant second place with 10 percent, according to the survey.

Mahalo, Scurrilous!

[Scurrilous]

9. ...

[customerserviceguy]

4. I'm surprised

to hear that it's that low at this time. Biden is very popular in SC with African-American voters, according to what I've heard from my small sample of them.

[Cha]

5. It's much better than

anyone else's.

[Hortensis]

15. Biden may be the closest to Obama in

legacy, and the greatest white hope they have in electability, but they waited for Obama to win the Iowa caucus and show he was viable before moving strongly to him from Hillary. That has to be happening again as many wait to see what happens with Cory Booker and Kamala Harris.

Black support for Biden is most encouraging for me for showing common purpose with large blocs of other voters and its suggestion that large numbers would turn out for him in the general election if Biden is our nominee. I suspect it also means large numbers, particularly women, would turn out for any of our possible white nominees. It’s not just about liberal principles and progressive economics, but tremendously about defeating the Republicans.

[customerserviceguy]

24. One other factor helped Barack Obama

and that was when Oprah Winfrey declared that he was the real deal. Since one of her proteges is still nominally in the running, she can't come out for Booker, or Buttigieg, or anybody else. But if that happens, then watch out.

[flamingdem]

6. That number will probably stay solid

[LibFarmer]

7. President Barack Obama is revered in the African American community

and Joe Biden was President Obama's hand-picked right hand man.

[Gothmog]

8. I am not surprised by this

[Cha]

11. It's very encouraging,

though!

[Gothmog]

25. You can not win the Democraticnomination without support from this group

[Cha]

27. Thank Goodness! I love our

Democratic Base of the POC Community across the Nation!

[redstateblues]

26. Funny how the talking heads can only find POC that bash Joe

Lately it’s gotten very obvious to me that there is a disconnect especially on MSNBC

[Cha]

28. Ohhh.. Of course they do! M$M never

changex their f******* MO or stripes for anything!

[oasis]

12. Let's go with Joe!

[Turin_C3PO]

13. Black voters usually get it right.

If they trust Joe, we all should listen, IMO.

[empedocles]

30. Black voters may be, less easily distracted, and more directly,

[in a cultural and historical way], attuned to important survival issues.

[I was the legal counsel to a Black organization, with such concerns, for several years].

[Tarheel_Dem]

16. K&R

[Cha]

18. KICK!

[SMC22307]

19. Interesting that Bernie comes in with the next highest percentage. (n/t)

[JI7]

20. he is the only other one with same level recognition as Biden

so it's a pretty bad number for him .

[SMC22307]

22. Biden was beloved Obama's VP -- his name recognition is much higher than Bernie's.

It'll be interesting to see if Biden's numbers hold once voters are introduced to the many other candidates.

[Cha]

21. KICK!

[Cha]

23. K!

[Recursion]

29. HRC had the majority of AA voters until Iowa in 2008

Voters of color in general tend to decide later than white voters in the primaries, for reasons nobody really knows. (It may be as simple as the fact that IA and NH are lily-white.)

[JI7]

31. in Obama's case winning the mostly white state helped to make the case for electability

if Hillary had won Iowa she would have been the nominee in 2008 .

but Obama had also spend A LOT of time trying to win black voters starting early on in the primary season. so by the time he won iowa many were already familiar with him . If he had not worked hard to win over these voters even the Iowa win would not have been enough.

I think it will take the same to win the black voters from Biden. a candidate will have to work starting now to win black voters while at the same time they will have to either win or do well in iowa and/or New Hampshire. right now i think the ones who could possibly do this are Warren, Harris, and O'Rourke.