Sanders leads in NH, Biden & Harris tie for 4th place

[bluewater]

New Hampshire
Jun 29-Jul 4, 2019
C+ Change Research

Sanders... 26%
Warren.... 24%
Buttigieg.. 14%
Harris...…. 13%
Biden...….. 13%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/

My Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result should be over emphasized, especially this early.

[mobeau69]

1. Biden's problem is that he's getting too much exposure.

And there's another debate coming right up. Yikes!

[thesquanderer]

15. It's a problem if the more you're seen, the more your numbers drop (n/t)

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. Change Research "Online Poll".

[bluewater]

3. 538 has it on their site, take it up with them.

OP has the link to 538 where the poll is from.

Here it is again:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/new-hampshire/

[Tarheel_Dem]

4. They include a lot of bad polls on their site, hence the rating. Aren't you least bit skeptical of a

poll with a C+ rating, when there are so many others that aren't subject to manipulation by one's supporters?

[bluewater]

6. The polls are what the polls are.

The OP gave 538's C+ rating.

Trying to spin that into a "junk" "click-bait" poll is just unseemly, I trust 538, not cutesy gifs of monkeys.

Attempting to minimize poll results that reflect badly on one's candidate is understandable, but ultimately pointless.

More polls are coming, I am sure that trends in the standings will become very clear.

[Tarheel_Dem]

7. I wouldn't be surprised to see that Mike Gravel has taken the lead in the next "Change Research" ...

poll.

[thesquanderer]

17. They weed out the worst polls, the ones with F ratings. C+ is more like average.

And they're not manipulatable, or they would be getting F if they were mentioned at all. Go ahead, try to manipulate the next Change Research poll if you think you can, try to find a way for you and your friends to get included.

A C+ poll may not be as presumed accurate as an A+ poll, but with these numbers, it would have to be way, way, way off for the basic message of Biden substantially trailing Sanders and Warren to not be true, off by an amount very unlikely for even a C+ poll.

[TheCowsCameHome]

5. This was totally expected.

Another worthless poll.

Come back in a year or so, when it might mean something.

[HerbChestnut]

9. In a year?

When the primary is over?

[calguy]

8. I'll start taking polls seriously after the Christmas holiday season.

[Sneederbunk]

10. Since the New Hampshire Primary is Feb 11, I would agree this is an early poll.

[Thekaspervote]

11. NH is mr sanders turf. He won the 2016 primary and will probably win the 2020 as well

[Agschmid]

14. I don't love the poll, C+ rating and all but if Biden lost NH...

He’s in a tough spot.

[Thekaspervote]

12. Here's a new ntl' poll just out. You probably already saw this one, but in your

Previous posts you said you were anxiously awaiting new polls

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287198430#post1

[bluewater]

13. Posted an OP on it!

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287198468

It's a great A rated national poll that shows the FRONT RUNNER only at 26%, that's below his national polling average of 27 %

Warren had a strong showing in second place with 19%, ~5% higher than her national polling average.

Thanks for bringing it up!

[thesquanderer]

16. Biden at below 15% would mean no delegates.

Unexpected. Yeah it's just one poll, and it's early... but I'm still surprised to see it.