Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumMorning Consult: Biden Keeps On Keepin' On
Last edited Tue Jul 16, 2019, 09:03 PM - Edit history (1)
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"Joe Biden had the most to lose heading into the first Democratic presidential debate, and he took a significant hit. However, hes already begun to rebound, and no one else is getting much closer either. A report out from Morning Consults tracking poll shows the former VP still getting nearly a third of all support from Democratic primary voters, 32%.
Heres their graph over time with all candidates listed:
In this series, Biden lost almost all of his post-announcement bump after the debate. Thats still not putting him in any real danger of losing the lead, as hes more than ten points up on Bernie Sanders, who has barely budged since Biden got in the race. Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren benefited from strong debate performances, but their modest gains still put them nearly 20 points behind Biden and still trailing Sanders. At best, the race is looking as though it has developed three tiers, with Biden in a league of his own.
Of course, this is just one poll series. What about other national polling? The RCP average tracking graph shows a very similar picture with the main difference being bad news for Bernie:
In this aggregation, Biden appears to have lost a little more ground with primary voters, dropping below his pre-announcement floor, but also seems to be rebounding. Fifteen points below, though, Harris and Warren have caught up with Bernie for a tie in second place. Warrens numbers have been ramping up steadily since May, but Harris spiked after the debate, a clear signal to the field that attacking Biden on race will at least get you noticed."
https://hotair.com/archives/ed-morrissey/2019/07/16/morning-consult-biden-keeps-keepin/
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,778 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarheel_Dem
(31,235 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,821 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
wiley
(2,921 posts)and campaign for Senate, Governor, House and state legislative races. The latter are the absolutely most important and would truly benefit from those with a "celebrity" status.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Thekaspervote
(32,778 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
comradebillyboy
(10,155 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
VarryOn
(2,343 posts)He'll do...I just wish I was more enthused. Maybe when it's head-to-head, next summer, I'll be fired up!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,390 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,821 posts)Thereby, minimizing the results.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,821 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,323 posts)Somebody had to say it! Mahalo, Scurrilous!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Johnny2X2X
(19,069 posts)Love Harris, she would be the perfect candidate to take on Trump and Pence, if she can't be at the top of the ticket, Biden would be smart to pick her as a running mate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
musicblind
(4,484 posts)I thought she did great at the debates.
Good momentum for Warren, though.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)funny how that works...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden