New Primary Poll Shows Texas is Beto Country

[liskddksil]

UT Tyler Center For Opinion Research (7/24-7/27 Field Dates)

Beto O'Rourke 38%
Joe Biden 19%
Bernie Sanders 13.5%
Warren 9%
Kamela Harris 7.5%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20190730_TX.pdf

[George II]

1. He should run for Senator again next year. He came very close last year.

[liskddksil]

2. We have several excellent candidates running for Senate in Texas

Beto at the top of ticket will help that candidate over the finish line. If we put Texas in play we won't need to worry as much about the Ohio. Why should Beto drop out when he is in the top 5 nationally in polls today (Harvard/Harris).

[dalton99a]

3. And Beto wouldn't push MJ Hegar out of the race

That's not how he operates.

[Indygram]

4. That would be dumb. Texas has more delegates than the early 4 states combined

And Beto could easily sweep all of them since Independents can vote in the Democratic primary.

[George II]

5. Based on that poll, he'd get 2/3 and Biden would get 1/3. I don't think O'Rourke is above....

....15% in any other state (maybe a few). He's at 2.8% nationally, 1% in Iowa, 1.35 in New Hampshire, 2.5% in Nevada, and 1.8% in South Carolina. That means going into Super Tuesday he'll have zero delegates.

I like the guy, was rooting hard for him against Cruz, and think he'd give Cornyn a run for his money.

[essadaw]

6. Mj is a great candidate already running!

She is my favorite of the candidates running and it irks me to always see her discounted when people try to push Beto to challenge her.

Our best chance of taking the Texas senate seat is for the presidential campaign to put resources and time into Texas, which Beto will do as our nominee.

And if those asking for Beto to run for Senate are so positive on his chances, then they should be equally positive of his chances for winning Texas as presidential nominee--which would be game over for Trump. Everyone could go to bed early on election night.

And it is also interesting how everyone is so 'concerned' about Beto and the Senate but not about Warren in Massachusetts with a Republican governor who would appoint until the special and Republican Scott Brown being elected as senator from Mass not so long ago.

[dalton99a]

15. There is an orchestrated attempt to quarantine Beto in Texas

For example: Just in the last two weeks - from the Washington Post alone -




It's a freaking anti-Beto jihad. Why? And why him only?

[customerserviceguy]

7. It's hard to believe

that even in a Texas-only poll that Castro is way down there.

[Indygram]

8. He probably would have been maybe 5% if not for his debate stunt

Texans know that Beto and Julian's twin worked together on legislation to protect asylum seekers. He will never be forgiven. Texas loves Beto.

[customerserviceguy]

9. That was a stunt?

You're conflating Castro's schooling of O'Rourke on the debate stage (a legitimate debating tactic) with the dirty trick that Harris pulled on Biden?

[liskddksil]

10. Castro failed the test. His attack on Beto was misleading and his proposed policy

of repealing section 1325 (which many other candidates signed onto including Warren and most of the night 2 candidates from the June debates) would easily brand Democrats the party of open borders.

There's a reason most Texans are supporting Beto and not Castro. Beto showed up in every one of Texas's counties and took the chance on that Senate race that the Castros's didn't.

[customerserviceguy]

11. And in the end

Harris' position on busing was the same as Biden's, wasn't it?

Both Castro and Harris got noticed, while both of their targets sunk in the polls. I guess they really should be conflated, I stand corrected.

[liskddksil]

12. But now we are essentially back to pre-1st debate polling averages

Beto is at 3-4% in multiple national polls released in the last 2 days and Castro is back at 1%. Similar situation for Biden/Harris.

[customerserviceguy]

13. True

However, any money raised right after a debate is for keeps. If the candidate spends it wisely, then the bump becomes a trend, if not, then it was just a bump.

[liskddksil]

14. that is true nt

[essadaw]

16. Castro is not well liked in Texas

And his misleading attack during the 1st debate didn't play well in Texas. Beto and Julian's brother worked together in Congress on a legislation proposal to revise 1325--Beto is very familiar with 1325. If Castro has a different policy position, fine (though I don't agree with Castro on his idea) but it was BS for him to use his likely pre-planned zinger that Beto didn't do his homework. Beto knows immigration likely better than most other candidates and has a very comprehensive immigration plan.

[Gothmog]

17. Texas will be a battleground state

[Gothmog]

18. Beto has a good night

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