** New ** Illinois Poll - Biden 36%; Sanders 15%; Warren 13%; Buttigieg 9%; Harris 9%

[Skya Rhen]

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a commanding lead in Illinois heading into the second presidential debate, according to a new poll. Biden has 36.1% of the vote, with Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in second place with 15.2%. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is in third place with 12.8%, while South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9.3%), and California Senator Kamala Harris (8.6%) round out the top tier of candidates.

The poll, conducted between July 26th-29th, of 1200 Democratic primary voters across Illinois, is part of The Illinois Poll, a semi monthly survey by Victory Research, an independent polling company based in Chicago. The poll has a margin of error of 2.83% and was conducted by live callers. Respondents answered on land lines (502) and cell phones (698). Victory Research has no client in the Presidential campaign.

Victory Research was the most accurate Illinois polling company for the 2018 gubernatorial election. The final Illinois poll of the 2018 Illinois Governor election published the day before the election showed Governor Prizker’s lead over former Governor Rauner at 16%. The actual margin of victory was 15.7%.

Biden’s lead is built on a very strong showing among African-American voters. More than half of African American voters (54.2%) choose President Obama’s running mate as their first choice for President, according to the poll. This is a 5-1 lead over the next highest vote getter among African-Americans.



https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20190730_IL.pdf

[Cha]

1. Good on Illinois.. For Biden!

Mahalo, Skya

[peggysue2]

2. Good News Day for Joe Biden!

Those numbers are impressive.

AGO4JOE2020

[Thekaspervote]

3. We always deliver... so so proud of our new gov and Chicago's new mayor

[highplainsdem]

4. K&R!

[Indykatie]

5. People Who Said AAs Only Supported Obama Because He Was Black Should Feel Silly.

Our Dem primary is also proving that women will not just automatically support a woman candidate. Those are 2 myths Biden's campaign is putting to rest. I'm a little surprised though that the totality of the 4 credible women candidates' polling is not higher. Go Joe!!!!!!!!!!!!