LIKELY VOTER Harris X, Aug. 24-27: Biden 37%, Warren 13%, Sanders 13%, Harris 6%, Buttigieg 4%,

[highplainsdem]

Last edited Tue Aug 27, 2019, 10:00 PM - Edit history (2)

O'Rourke & Booker 3%, Yang & Steyer 2%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTS1IwxqkfvLgjNxeWUFLzw2Snm0B9frZlSyxVOEB0kHjKwQ-x_ll828rL4KpGvbKGE_bAd7Ezp9gLU/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0



538 is using the "definite voter" # from this Harris poll as their "likely voter" number, since the definite voter # is more likely to vote than the other two categories Harris has, and the definite voter category all by itself is 59% of the registered voters they polled. (Harris has likely and unlikely categories as well, but their unlikely voter category is only 11% of all the registered voters they polled. It would be nice if we had 89% turnout, but we don't, so I'm guessing that's why 538 is using the category which would correspond with a 59% voter turnout.)

As in yesterday's poll result, Biden does more than 10 points better with the voters most likely to vote than with those in the two less-likely-to-vote categories.

[George II]

1. If that were a state primary, Biden would once again get 100% of the delegates.

[Cha]

2. Ha! BS and EW are tied for 2nd.

Thanks, !

[Scurrilous]

3. Good news!

[Thekaspervote]

4. Whoa!! I was told earlier I better keep my smelling salts handy. Guess they were right,but not for

Reason given...hahahhaha!!!

[flamingdem]

5. Nice!

[oasis]

6. This poll makes sense. There's no stopping Joe. nt

[democratisphere]

7. Joe Biden rocketing ahead.

Glad to see legitimate polls.

[Princetonian]

8. Wow... 37% looks solid. "Likely voters" are the Holy Grail.

[Demsrule86]

9. K&R This looks very very good for Biden and this country!

We will show the orange menace the door...by God.

[LincolnRossiter]

10. Joe 11pts up on Warren and Sanders combined

Nice.