Gallup Election Review: October 2007

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PRINCETON, NJ -- The first official vote in the 2008 presidential primaries will be cast in early January, just a little more than three months away...

____Gallup’s 2007 national presidential polling strongly points to Clinton winning the 2008 Democratic nomination. Barring something unusual or otherwise unexpected, she is well positioned for the 2008 Democratic primaries. Obama has not been an insignificant rival: he came within single digits of tying Clinton for the lead at two points this spring. But he has recently lost ground and is now in the weakest position relative to Clinton that he has been in all year.

Clinton has led the Democratic pack in every Gallup Poll conducted between November 2006 and October 2007. For most of this time, Clinton has led Obama by a double-digit margin.

Clinton’s lead over Obama has expanded to nearly 30 points in Gallup’s latest poll ...

Importantly, two-thirds of Democrats who prefer Clinton for their party’s nomination say they are certain to vote for her in the primaries, a higher percentage than is found for supporters of the other Democratic candidates.

Clinton holds a commanding lead among nearly every major subgroup of potential Democratic primary voters. Some of her strongest showings are among women, nonwhites, those in lower-income households, those with less formal education, and Southerners.

Democrats also rate Clinton as the candidate most likely to defeat the Republican in the general election -- a key perceptual advantage given that primary voters are trying to distinguish among candidates with largely similar issue positions...


https://news.gallup.com/poll/102277/Gallup-Election-Review-October-2007.aspx

[saidsimplesimon]

1. It's to early for any candidate to declare

inevitability, imo.

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4. national horse race numbers in the final month before the 2008 Iowa caucuses

Dave Weigel @daveweigel Aug 28
One reason I don’t write about *national* horse race polls in the Trailer?

Here were the national horse race numbers in the final month before the 2008 Iowa caucuses. First number is Obama, second is Clinton.

[question everything]

2. As mentioned here recently, the Iowa convoluted caucuses were a major cause

for Obama winning Iowa and the subsequent coronation.

Clinton also had incompetent campaign team.

Still, we really should not rely too much on event from before "Social Media" took control of our lives (and will bring down civilization as we know it..)

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3. yep, Iowa

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

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5. .

[Andy823]

6. Yep, this race

is far from over and way too far for anyone to say only one candidate has the only chance to win against trump. Heck even Biden said when asked which other candidate could win against trump, "all of them"! I like Joe, and he was right.