It's looking like Elizabeth Warren is the 2020 Democratic candidate to beat

[Quixote1818]

If she wins in Iowa and NH she will run away with it.


Business Insider


Former Vice President Joe Biden has been the frontrunner of the Democratic primary race to this point, but he's at risk of losing his spot at the top to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the progressive firebrand senator.

Warren is the only candidate in the Democratic field whose support and favorability has surged over time while Biden's has decreased, even among groups that disproportionately support him.

Biden's support in Morning Consult's weekly Democratic primary survey has fallen by three percentage points since mid-March while Warren's has doubled in the same timeframe.

In Monmouth University polling alone, Warren's net favorability has increased by six percentage points since May while Biden's has decreased by a full 19 percentage points.

And while many pundits have questioned Warren's "likability" since her first run for office in 2012, she currently has the highest net favorability rating out of the entire Democratic field at +54.

More: https://www.businessinsider.com/elizabeth-warren-becoming-candidate-to-beat-2019-8

[Green Line]

1. Monmouth poll?

[OilemFirchen]

3. ...

[NYMinute]

49. wishful thinking as well nt

[zentrum]

2. Hope so!

[TwilightZone]

4. The Monmouth poll shouldn't be used as a basis for conclusions.

Even Monmouth has acknowledged the poll is faulty and an outlier.

[DownriverDem]

5. Biden

can win the Electoral College which is state by state.

[Green Line]

6. Agree

Last edited Mon Sep 2, 2019, 08:43 PM - Edit history (1)

I don’t think Warren can, the liberal Senator from Mass will not play well in the rust belt.

[DrFunkenstein]

86. You Mean The Former Republican Okie?

The one with the populist message of sticking it to the fat cats?

[doc03]

7. I think Biden is the only one that can win the

EC. A far left candidate will not win in the rust belt states we need.

[Bradshaw3]

35. She is NOT a far left candidate

That is a RW talking point. Her positions are supported by voters and she will win the EC.

[calguy]

59. She is most definitely far left

Slightly to the right of AOC. She plays well here on DU but that's because the fine folks here on DU are further left than the general population.

[redstateblues]

95. Just saw a poll on Hardball showing Warren tied with Trump in WI

Biden is up 9. I don’t think Warren can win the rust belt and so so far the numbers bear that out

[Bradshaw3]

99. Yes becaus a poll 14 months from the election is written in stone

I've posted before about how front runners in the last 50 years rarely win the Democratic nomination. But those facts aren't taken seriously by people like you while any poll showing Biden ahead now means he will without a doubt win the nomination and the general. Funny how that works.

[mapol]

118. It's possible that you're correct about the possibility of Biden being the only one who can win,

and that Elizabeth Warren would not win in the rust belt states. In the event that Biden does win the POTUS Election, however, I could live with a Biden Presidency. I'd rather have Biden as the POTUS than another term with Donald Trump any day, if worst came to worst.

[SteveDallas]

8. It's about turnout!

I have already seen traces of Biden supporters saying that Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada don't matter for various reasons and the race REALLY begins in South Carolina. However, IF Warren wins Iowa and then goes on to win New Hampshire, it shatters Joe's whole electability argument. Much like happened in 2008, Clinton was up double digits in South Carolina UNTIL Obama won Iowa, then she fell and never recovered. She was no longer inevitable and people felt more free to vote their conscience.

Further.. I don't understand this concept of Biden as the one who can win.

It really seems like almost ANYONE can beat Trump EXCEPT for Biden, who will not inspire turnout.

Trump is wildly unpopular, but his base will show up anyway. But, people will still need a reason to vote other than "Not Trump" if you are asking them to spend hours in line, take a day off work or whatever other hurdles they have to jump. Not enough people are going to do that for Biden.. his record doesn't support that type of devotion. His plans won't inspire people to show up. Seriously, what's the message? "Nominate me so we can go back to the way things were, you remember, when you didn't show up to vote before?"

Warren, Sanders.. THEY will inspire people to stand in line because you can look at their plans and see tangible reasons to stand in line. Student debt cancellation alone will bring out MILLIONS of voters who will happily spend the day waiting to vote. Medicare for All, highly popular.. again, something people will be willing to stand in line for.

You want to risk this GIFT of an election? Promise people incrementalism and more of what they decided to stay home from in 2016.

[Thekaspervote]

10. Those are your opinions and you certainly entitled to them

EW polls at 2% with the AA voting block, no one can win the general without them.

Biden polls at 53% Quinnipiac
Another poll WSJ/NBC 46%

More at the link

https://thegrio.com/2019/08/01/joe-biden-top-choice-black-voters-quinnipiac-poll/

[SteveDallas]

17. I didn't realize he was doing that poorly with the AA vote.

To be barely above 50% given his name recognition is a really bad sign, especially given his name recognition. Clinton had a larger share of the black vote in in the 2008 primary. https://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/10/17/poll.blacks.democrats/ "Among black registered Democrats overall, Clinton had a 57 percent to 33 percent lead over Obama."

This shows the immense lack of enthusiasm for Biden and why he can't win in a general election. People WILL NOT stand in line for him.

[Green Line]

19. Oh please

If Warren is the nominee, welcome to 4 more years of Trump

[SteveDallas]

22. Don't see how that logically follows.

The ONLY thing that loses to Trump is low voter turnout. That's just a fact. Look at 2016 as evidence. Clinton was up by 8 points in Wisconsin going into election day, but they had record low turnout in democratic areas and the state is lost.

Biden has a major enthusiasm gap. We've done this before. We did it in 2004 and lost. We did it in 2016 and lost. Do you really need it to happen 3 times to figure out that people aren't going to stand in line just to vote AGAINST someone? They want something to vote FOR and there is nothing in Joe Biden's history to vote for.

Sorry, but reality is you go with ANOTHER Iraq War voter you are going to lose another close election due to low voter turnout among democrats in key states.

[Thekaspervote]

30. No he does not have an ethusiasm gap.. that's just in your opinion

[SteveDallas]

38. It also shows up in the polls.

nt

[LanternWaste]

44. As a standard, or merely an aberration?

And if the former, can you supply us with the objective analysis illustrating precisely it as such?

Or is it simply another opinion, like... 2+2=7?

[SteveDallas]

53. a standard.

Despite 100% name recognition and being the VP of a very popular recent president, he has been unable to crack 35% in any poll. I know there is the excuse of it being a "20 person race", but it is actually a 4-6 person race, not unlike many others we have had in the past. (mostly a 4 person race in reality with Biden, Warren, Sanders, Harris, being the only real contenders). The fact that so many people have currently chosen "not Biden" is quite remarkable.

Another poll out today (https://www.investors.com/news/elizabeth-warren-joe-biden-sanders-democratic-race-biden-vs-trump/) shows how weak his support has become. I am sure how some will say this is just ANOTHER outlier, but I wonder how many OUTLIERS does it take to create a trend?

It is hardly opinion to point out that the VP of a very popular president SHOULD be walking away with this nomination and not struggling to maintain a lead and already dismissing the relevance of early states.

[DrFunkenstein]

87. You Could Also Do a Head Count at His Rallies - You Want People To Spend Hours Caucusing in Winter?

The guy is a living vice president. Not too many of them.

You'd think there'd be a little more draw.

[Thekaspervote]

51. RCP average of all the polls today shows Biden with a 13.5% lead up 2 more pts

[SteveDallas]

58. Yes, it is a very VERY weak lead given his name recognition. nt

[Thekaspervote]

63. No it isn't a weak lead... it's a commanding lead ...see links below

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-holds-commanding-lead-among-south-carolina-democrats

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-holds-commanding-lead-for-democratic-nomination

https://www.courthousenews.com/biden-holds-on-to-commanding-lead-in-crowded-race/

https://www.ibtimes.com/democratic-debates-biden-holds-commanding-19-point-lead-warren-second-2809638


https://www.floridadaily.com/joe-biden-holds-commanding-lead-in-florida-primary-according-to-new-poll/

[SteveDallas]

66. Yes, very weak lead.

Trotting out a bunch of VERY OLD polls really doesn't help your position all that much.

Here is the most recent:

https://www.investors.com/news/elizabeth-warren-joe-biden-sanders-democratic-race-biden-vs-trump/ Biden +4

Is that now the 4th "outlier"??

One wonders how many outliers it takes to create a trend?

[emmaverybo]

81. Thank you for introducing some objectivity.

[Eliot Rosewater]

32. Not if everybody supports her.

[Thekaspervote]

36. A 51% percent poll number with AA voters is enviable.....historically 50% + poll is what's shown

Can and will win an election

As far as Clinton’s numbers in 2016, that is correct but they stayed home.

Black Democratic voters in PA admit they stayed home in 2016 are now ready to support Biden

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287253331

No lack of enthusiasm here!!

[emmaverybo]

82. Good point about PA.

[Demsrule86]

68. You candidate is at 2%. He is doing great.

[SteveDallas]

72. Hardly.

He is well behind other candidates with similar name recognition at the same point in the primary process.

Very poor showing so far by Biden.

[Thekaspervote]

90. Certainly entitled to your opinion

Here’s another opinion with some real political clout

If you care to look... are not!!

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287264862

[Demsrule86]

107. I would bet most candidates including yours would be more than happy to have such support.

[Bradshaw3]

37. You keep repeating a false meme

As I responded to you in another thread, Warren won the same percentage of AA voters as Hillary did in 2016. The polls now include two AA candidates and Obama's running mate. Those numbers will change as others drop out. To imply that AA voters will not vote for her is ridiculous with no factual basis. Yet you keep repeating it while saying Biden supporters are not unfairly attacking Warren. You can prove the latter is true, in your case, if you stop using this false attack.

[True Dough]

57. THIS! n/t

[Thekaspervote]

64. See link below.. far from false. I am not attacking EW.. stating facts from various sources

http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/elizabeth-warren-is-struggling-to-draw-black-voters.html

It’s not surprising that Warren isn’t that strong among black voters. She is, for all her “populism,” a former Harvard professor representing a very white state. Her following is disproportionately college-educated, higher income, and self-consciously progressive — people who are sometimes called “wine track” voters (despite her professed affection for beer). Black Democrats are significantly less likely to self-identify as “progressives” than white Democrats.

Indeed, the one-dimensional nature of Warren’s support is holding her back in places like South Carolina, where, according to a new Post and Courier poll, she is leading Biden among white voters but running a weak fourth among black voters, leaving her a bit behind Sanders overall.

As far as candidates dropping out here’s a break down of how that plays out


Morning Consult's polling of voters' 2nd choices indicates no one can catch Biden by other

candidates dropping out or fading, simply because he does better or almost as well as any other candidate when voters are asked who their second choice would be.

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/


Sanders supporters, when asked for their 2nd choice:
Biden 30%, Warren 27%, Harris 7%

Warren supporters, when asked for their 2nd choice:
Sanders 23%, Harris 20%, Biden 19%

Harris supporters, asked for their 2nd choice:
Warren 28%, Biden 23%, Sanders 12%

Buttigieg supporters, asked for their 2nd choice:
Warren 22%, Biden 20%, Harris 17%


So, if any of these candidates dropped out or drastically lost support, apparently Biden would pick up approximately as many of their supporters as his nearest rivals would.


And in case anyone's wondering about Biden supporters' 2nd choice:
Sanders 26%, Warren 19%, Harris 13%

More st the link!

[Bradshaw3]

76. Counted votes are facts, polling and analysis are not

You and others keep painting Warren as someone who WON'T get black votes. That is ludicrous and is certainly an unfounded attack. You are being disengenuous at best.

[Thekaspervote]

92. I want to remove the illicit prez.

Here’s a poll out just today.

No being disingenuous by posting polls and facts

You can take a look.... or not

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287264850

[Demsrule86]

108. AA voters that I have worked with for years...are to the right of EW...they just are.

[Bradshaw3]

115. Older ones probably; not younger ones

Also, your experiences are just just anecdotal.

[SteveDallas]

60. They SAID they would vote in 2016.

SAYING you will vote is one thing.

Standing in line to do it is another completely.

[George II]

11. Iowa and New Hampshire represent two tiny (population-wise) almost all-white states....

Certainly not representative of the United States as a whole.

[SteveDallas]

18. No state is.

However, they will decide momentum and if Biden doesn't win them, he will lose South Carolina b/c it will shatter his only remaining talking point, which is this myth of him being more electable.

[Thekaspervote]

39. SC is the bellwether for the AA vote. No one has won an election without this voting block

Last edited Thu Sep 5, 2019, 02:59 AM - Edit history (1)

Biden 51%
Warren 2%

https://www.courthousenews.com/biden-way-ahead-of-democratic-rivals-in-south-carolina/

[dem4decades]

31. I agree, if Iowa is the holy grail why does it vote Republican?

[JudyM]

15. Staying open minded but hearing Joe talk, it's largely generalizations (like today) and looking

to the past. The other candidates are talking nuts and bolts programs and future-focused fixes. Joe’s vision keeps referring to the past. Too much is broken to go back, IMO. We need bold fixes and new initiatives and ideas.

[Demsrule86]

69. Programs that have no chance of ever being enacted. Biden actually wants to do something.

[emmaverybo]

84. For one, Joe wants to protect Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. We can not wait for the

revolution to protect existing safety net which Trump and Republicans want to gut.

[Demsrule86]

112. I think this is for someone else...I support Biden.

[emmaverybo]

114. You give intelligent and well thought out support. Think I was adding to the "do-able" point you

made, my point being that adding new, untested, politically and financially cost intensive plans could divert from the threat we face to Republican plans for us—to gut the safety net.

Biden has said he is committed to protecting these programs.

[DrFunkenstein]

91. If You Ask $250K For Your House, Nobody is Gonna Pay $300K

Republicans have pulled the center far to the right by consistently pushing for extremes, then "settling" on what they wanted in the first place.

If you look at the state of the environment over the last 5 years, you'd understand that we're not in a position for baby steps.

[Demsrule86]

113. They can pull right because the country is with them...center left country. We have moved right so

we are barely center left...Look at the Senate and state governments...we pull left with no support...you have to hit the middle again first.

[treestar]

43. Those states are very white

why do they matter more than the others do? A delegate is a delegate.

[brewens]

56. We got the people that would vote for any Democratic party candidate and the anybody but Trump

voters last time and it wasn't enough. I think Trump got a lot of people that were convinced Hillary wouldn't do much for them but thought Trump would or might anyway.

I think voters need to hear that we can have what the wealthy have had for so long, a government that does good things for us with our tax dollars. The looting has to stop. Too much of our tax money goes right to the top.

[Champion Jack]

89. Agreed

[highplainsdem]

9. That journalist is both using a Monmouth poll that was recognized as an outlier for days before

this article was written (and that Monmuth's director had admitted was an outlier by the itme the article in the OP was published), and saying Warren is "surging" when her numbers have been creeping up slowly for months.

A Harris X poll I posted about this weekend used the words "inching past" to describe Warren finally doing better than Sanders among likely voters in their poll.

Warren is slowly, quite slowly, gaining more support from the progressive bloc of the party that Sanders had dominated earlier this year. She now has roughly the same amount of support he does (she's in 2nd place in some polls, he's in 2nd place in others), which is definitely better than having about a quarter of that bloc of support, as she did earlier this year.

But there's no real sign yet that she'll ever overtake Biden.

And she hasn't been doing as well as even Sanders, let alone Biden, in the polls of different candidates in match-ups against Trump.

[emmaverybo]

85. Not yet a sign. No basis--yet--to contend that Warren will be our nominee. I think she is a

good enough candidate without the hyperbolic and false claims.

Supporters should be able to address what would make her the best president of all other candidates.

[Blue_true]

12. I agree that Warren is likely to be the nominee.

As the article pointed out, if she wins Iowa and New Hampshire, I think it's all over for the rest.

If she continues to dominate debates, she could end the prinary race before voting even starts.

[Demsrule86]

13. No it isn't and I doubt she wins either...two white states? When she polls badly with AA voters...no

That would be a recipe for disaster in the general which I do not believe she can win.

[Green Line]

14. She won't win the general

[Demsrule86]

28. She won't though you and I vote blue no matter who...political suicide.

[JI7]

16. AA would vote for her in the General

[Green Line]

20. Nope

[JI7]

23. yes they would. AA would vote for any democrat that wins the nomination

others should do the same and something as simple as that would help to fix many problems in this country.

[Demsrule86]

26. That is not neccesarily true...you can't just say that and nominate someone whom they don't support

and say basically take it or leave...they will leave it in numbers that will cost the general. We need enthusiasm in the AA community to win.

[Bradshaw3]

40. They did in Mass so you have no basis for that opinion

In 2016, Warren won re-election with the same percentage of AA voters as HRC.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/4-things-elizabeth-warrens-last-election-can-tell-us-about-2020/

This "AA voters won't vote for Warren" seems to be the latest smear Biden supporters are using against Warren and it is absurd. Obama's former running mate and two AA candidates are in the race. She has been warmly received at AA events and will get the same percentage of those votes, or more, than HRC did in the general. This really smells of desperation by Biden supporters.

[Thekaspervote]

65. No one has said AA voters won't vote for her!! Her polling numbers are not there, those are facts

And no one is smearing her.

Sticking to the facts

[Bradshaw3]

75. Wrong, plenty of posters on this thread are inferring that

Facts? I posted facts. You and others are making claims without facts. That is smearing.

[Thekaspervote]

88. I pointed out that yes, part of one of your post was fact. You then went on to add your opinion

Without saying so.

That isn’t a smear.

[Thekaspervote]

94. One more thing, if you think you are being smeared and hurt, there's a way to deal with it

Click the abuse alert button.

If someone is smearing you the DU adm will take care of it for you!!

[Bradshaw3]

100. The admins don't moderate

I never said I was smeared, so I'm beginning to think you have a reading comprehension problem.

[Thekaspervote]

104. See your post #75 which uses the word smearing. Yes admin does moderate

Here’s what they have to say

No personal attacks or flaming
Do not personally attack, insult, flame, threaten, bully, harass, stalk, negatively call-out, ascribe ugly ulterior motives to, or make baseless claims about any member of this community. Do not post in a manner that is hostile, abusive, or aggressive toward any member of this community.
Why we have this rule: Civility begets quality discussions. Democratic Underground members are highly passionate about politics which means discussions can get heated -- but they don't need to get nasty. There's no reason why a community of intelligent adults who agree on a majority of political issues can't have a conversation without insulting each other or resorting to other anti-social behaviors.

[DrFunkenstein]

93. Clinton Held a 24 Point Lead With AA Voters Until Obama Won Iowa and Then HE Had a 28 Point Lead

"There's been a huge shift among African-American Democrats from Clinton to Obama. African-American Democrats used to be reluctant to support Obama because they didn't think a black man could be elected. Then Obama won Iowa and nearly won New Hampshire. Now they believe," said Bill Schneider, CNN senior political analyst.

"Obama's lead over Clinton among black men is more than 50 points, and among black women, once a Clinton stronghold, Obama has an 11 point advantage," said CNN polling director Keating Holland.

https://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/18/poll.2008/index.html

[blm]

77. I've been noticing that, too. The AA vote is just getting to know

Warren, and many of them like her very much. My NC Dem women groups are majority women of color and Warren and Harris top their preferences.

[Bradshaw3]

79. Thanks

She has gotten very warm receptions at AA events. To imply she wouldn't get their votes or they have something against her is absurd.

[blm]

80. Yes. I've been using the word absurd to describe these

recent attack lines targeting Warren, as well. It’s only a handful here, though.

[blm]

83. Here's a typical exchange

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=264399

[SteveDallas]

21. Biden is currently polling worse than Hillary in both 2008 and 2016

As many commentators have said, the AA voters vote pragmatically. If they believe she can win, they will vote for her.

[Demsrule86]

25. No he isn't in a 20 candidate race and it isn't only that they think he can win...what you and

others miss...is that AA voters are not left...they are moderates. I campaign with them. Warren has little appeal for them...and I do not believe that changes. And it doesn't matter is she wins an all white state with very left leaning Democrats...their concern is beating Trump not other Democrats...regardless of Iowa or New Hampshire which she is not leading in at the moment...he sweeps super Tuesday and is on his way to the nomination...this is my prediction. No way Iowa or New Hampshire will determine the nominee in 20. If Warren can't attract AA voters she should not be the nominee...very important constituency. I will vote blue no matter who naturally as I always do..but the fallout for another four years of Trump will be horrible and very difficult to recover from especially as we likely lose the house with a preceived left/socialist candidate...and they (GOP ) will brand her as a socialist whether it is true or not which it isn't.

[SteveDallas]

34. Given his name recognition, he SHOULD be much higher.

And it is NOT a 20 candidate race. 14 of those 20 candidates don't really even exist. There are only 4-6 viable candidates in reality and everyone knows that. Biden is running FAR TOO LOW in the AA vote given where he SHOULD BE running. But, his support is very weak.

If he loses Iowa, he will lose New Hampshire, if he loses those 2, he loses Nevada. If he goes in South Carolina as a 3 time loser, he loses. Which is a good thing, because the ONLY risk of getting another 4 years of Trump is someone like Biden who would depress turnout. With Warren or Sanders or Harris you will see close to 60% nationwide turnout and overwhelming victories. With Biden you will get another 55% turnout and end up losing swing states by small numbers and likely not take back the Senate.

[treestar]

46. Still a lot more than just 2

and one of them just stepped in so she'd have some competition. No one else wanted to run against her.

[SteveDallas]

73. Very weak for a former VP.

Not bad numbers for a Senator running against someone who was a former VP.

[Demsrule86]

70. Total bullshit...I tell you Warren will not be the nominee and that is a good thing as she won't

win a general...we elect presidents via electoral college...she won't carry the states we need...she would have my vote in a general of course.

[SteveDallas]

74. She would win easily.

Biden puts the win in jeopardy, as it will lead to ANOTHER low voter turnout election.

[emmaverybo]

96. Why would it? Biden is one of America's most respected and beloved politicians. His message is

inspiring, his plans do-able, and he is hands down the most job-specific qualified. He had a great track record as VP. He will appeal to swing voters. He makes an authentic emotional connection with audiences. He will draw the widest swath of voters. He is currently running far ahead with
potential, and very likely, AA electorate.

A wing of the Dem party is not enthusiastic.

Hardly adds up to Biden putting a win in jeopardy.

[Thekaspervote]

97. +1000

[Demsrule86]

109. She won't win the states we need.

I like her and would support her in a general...but I don't think she can win.

[blm]

78. J. S. U.

[blm]

102. Who are you to "tell" us this BS. It's our primary vote and

I am quite certain I have followed this nation’s political and governance realities closely enough to not NEED to be told how to vote by someone displaying more ego than sense.

[Demsrule86]

106. It is my opinion. I would never tell you how to vote...or anyone else. I firmly believe we need

Biden to win back the Mid West without which we have no electoral college path. I will support Warren and anyone else in a general...will work my ass off for this person, and will never express any opinion that they might lose said general in any post or on social media either...but this is a primary so I feel I can express my opinion as can you. We can agree to disagree.

[Thekaspervote]

41. See post #36

[emmaverybo]

103. So far then AA voters don't believe she can win.

[Joe941]

24. Lol. Nope.

[LanternWaste]

105. This is troubling for Bernie.

[tblue37]

27. Warren's my choice, yet I hate that if she is elected a Republican governor will

appoint a Republican to her seat.

[Demsrule86]

29. That is another disaster...last time we lost the seat...that alone is reason for her not to

have run...vote blue no matter who.

[tblue37]

33. It is also true that she has been a lion in the senate, especially when questioning Republican

scoundrels.

[Demsrule86]

67. No question ...hell of a senator.

She has indeed.

[Bradshaw3]

42. Another falsehood

As I and many others have pointed out to you, there will be a special election when she is elected and a Dem will win. Right now all you have against Warren are falsehoods and false memes. Doesn't say much for your candidate.

[Thekaspervote]

50. No one is bashing EW..stating one's opinion is not name calling or bashing

[Demsrule86]

55. Scott Brown won the election...special election...so there is no guarantee that we win...and those

who call me a liar when I post that need to do a bit of research.

[Demsrule86]

54. We lost the special election and that is not a lie...Scott Brown won.

Now I suggest you look it up before you call anothe poster a liar...we haved lost a special election in Masssachussets...

[evertonfc]

45. Biden

I relate to Warren politically but Biden is, hands down, a better GE canidate. That said, Biden will win SC. a6nd the South in its entirety. My guess is he will do well in rust belt and on West coast, as well.

[Thekaspervote]

48. Me too... would luv to see a fe prez... but We cannot afford to loose this one

[Thekaspervote]

47. FYI: RCP today Biden holds a 13.5 lead

[emmaverybo]

98. Impressive, and considering the bad press and continual on-air bashing!

[mapol]

52. It would be great to have a woman president,

especially somebody who's as intelligent, knowledgeable and as articulate and concise as Elizabeth Warren. I watched her in one of the Democratic Candidate debates on TV sometime ago, and she seemed like the most intelligent, articulate, and the calmest of the bunch.

[Demsrule86]

110. It would be great to have a Democratic president. While I hope to see a woman president in my

lifetime...I would settle happily for a Democratic president in 20.

[gopiscrap]

117. welcome to DU

[Kurt V.]

61. yay!

[FloridaBlues]

62. If she wins both I expect her to win NH being next door to home state

Unless she gets more support from POC don't see it happening. I wouldn't use outlier polls to make your case.
If she ends up being nominee I will work hard to gotv for her.

[cwydro]

71. Rec.

[redstateblues]

101. Right now Warren is weak in the rust belt. Biden is the only one winning in WI

https://www.cbs58.com/news/biden-leads-trump-by-9-points-in-wisconsin-mu-law-poll

[Demsrule86]

111. And in my opinion based on the EC maps...the race will come down to Wisconsin.

I do not want to lose in 20...Biden has the best chance in this state and other must win states.

[DrFunkenstein]

116. Remember How Weak Obama Was Until He Won Iowa

I wouldn't be counting too many chickens just yet.