Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumIt's now Biden, Warren, Sanders -- and everyone else
The bottom is falling out of the Democratic presidential primary. And the top-tier no longer five candidates, but three is becoming more insurmountable.
In recent weeks, the leading band of candidates has contracted unexpectedly early. Heading into the fall, only three contenders are polling above single digits: Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders. Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg remain at the periphery, while lower-polling candidates have largely failed to muster sustained, upward movement in fundraising or polling.
According to interviews with about two dozen Democratic operatives and consultants, there is little reason to expect any of them will. It was legitimate to say Top 5 for a long time, but youd have to have a strange confluence of events for someone outside those to win, said Philippe Reines, a longtime Hillary Clinton confidant.
For every other candidate, Reines said, Its too late in the game to keep saying its too early. The 2020 Democratic primary, by contrast, has been defined by its relative stability, with two full fundraising periods and two sets of debates now done. The other candidates are SOL, and it has been that way for a couple of months, Democratic strategist Matthew Littman said.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/09/02/democratic-candidates-primary-2020-1479230
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to left-of-center2012 (Original post)
Skittles This message was self-deleted by its author.
Kurt V.
(5,624 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Andy823
(11,495 posts)This race has a long way to, and it's just getting started!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)The dissident left's been busy trying to cast Biden as a pervert, senile, conservative, etc, but the Repubs/Russia have barely gotten started.
My most assumed "normal" change is that someone else will move up into Sanders' place as people pay more attention and get more familiar with the candidates; his floor may be somewhere around his low-end polls, 11-13%. But again, our enemies foreign and domestic may want to keep him in their hands as a wild card.
And Biden's going to wobble up and down, likely into second now and then, maybe worse, as the Repub/Russians/dissident left intensify their attacks on him.
But that's just the easy guesses. Seat belt buckled.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DownriverDem
(6,206 posts)We are talking about winning the Electoral College which is state by state. Biden can beat trump. trump does not want to run against Biden. All that matters is beating trump. Biden running with a strong, progressive, Dem woman would be a winning ticket.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(12,410 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,731 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Liberty Belle
(9,528 posts)but otherwise I agree with you.
The progressives will ultimately have to decide on Warren or Sanders, but I think if the progressive unify Biden may be in trouble. If both stay in for the long run, Biden is more apt to win.
I see Warren as the best choice -- progressive enough to keep the Sanders wing of the party, and willing enough to reach out to mainstream Dems not to alienate Biden supporters if she wins. She grew up in Oklahoma and can speak in a way that resonates with midwestern farm state voters, but also represents Massachusetts, so will keep New England and progressive states in the fold. And as a woman, she'll also keep the Hilary Clinton fans who think we are past due for a woman president.
Biden has zero charisma, commits numerous old man gaffs, and to me is not a safe choice, but a risky one. We don't need one doddering old man running against another one.
I like Sanders but he's old too and his touting of socialism loses some; Elizabeth is progressive enough for me with none of the baggage of the other two front runners. I would also love to see her wipe the floor with Trump in a debate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)No.
His using the "F" word will turn off more than is thought here on DU where it's being celebrated.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
cwydro
(51,308 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
cwydro
(51,308 posts)Kind of rude, if not ageist.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden