New Harvard-Harris Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 16%, Warren 12%

[LincolnRossiter]

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/HHP_August2019_Crosstabs_RegisteredVoters.pdf

The primary voter breakout is on page 151. Warren was at 24% in the IBD poll and is at 13% in this one. Seems as though she and Bernie seesaw quite a bit depending upon the poll. Biden’s numbers, with few exceptions hover between about 28 and 33%. Much more consistent.

[Kahuna7]

1. Harris is pretty consistent too.

[pnwmom]

2. Another C+ online poll, dressed up with the word "Harvard." n/t

[LincolnRossiter]

3. Is it so out of line with the mean of polls?

?

[pnwmom]

5. I don't understand why anyone pays attention to it, when there are plenty

of better polls out there.

[LincolnRossiter]

7. Simple. It's another [imperfect] data point that informs my understanding of the race as it

stands at this particular point in time.

And Sanders’ and Warren’s numbers jump around quite a bit from any poll to any other poll.

Compare theirs to Biden’s going back a couple of months.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls

[pnwmom]

8. Part of the reason the numbers jump around could be that you're comparing apples to oranges.

Good polls to so-so polls.

[Thekaspervote]

6. I was looking for the poll rating... thx for posting

[LincolnRossiter]

9. I did a riff on pollster ratings some days back that I'll try to find.

The upshot is that pollster ratings have little
to do with their predictive success.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=238230

[Thekaspervote]

10. Thanks..interesting breakdown.. ESP. The Monmouth u poll that admitted they got it so wrong the

Last time. A+ poll.. accurate 80% of the time.

Wonder if this will harm their A+ rating

[Thekaspervote]

4. Thx for posting!! I did see the IBD poll number

Written about in the Hill, they do mention that other national polls are different with Biden at 30-32% EW at 17.4% then went on to point out RCP average has Biden’s lead at 13.5%

[Joe941]

11. Meh. Too early for this to mean much.

[highplainsdem]

12. Good news! K&R! Thanks for posting this!