Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumNew ABC/WP poll, narrowed to registered voters: Biden 29%, Sanders 19%, Warren 18%,
Harris 7%, Buttigieg 4%, O'Rourke & Yang 3%, all others 1% or less
This is the poll that's being widely reported as 27% for Biden, 19% for Sanders, and 17% for Warren. Both Biden and Warren do better when it's narrowed to registered voters, but Biden does 2% better and Warren does 1% better. (Registered voters are at least slightly more likely to vote than people surveyed in polls that don't narrow it to those who are already registered. Polls of likely voters, based on past voting history and other factors, tend to show Biden with a wider lead over his rivals than he has in polls of registered voters.)
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/warren-gains-harris-slips-room-movement-vast/story?id=65414558
Biden has support from 27 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents in the national survey, compared with 19 percent for Sanders and 17 percent for Warren. The rest of the field is in the single digits, including 7 percent for Harris, 4 percent for Pete Buttigieg and 3 percent apiece for Beto ORourke and Andrew Yang. All others are at 1 percent or less in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.
Narrowing to registered voters -- although theres plenty of time to register -- shows similar results, with Biden-Sanders-Warren at 29-19-18 percent and Harris again at 7 percent. Two candidates, Tulsi Gabbard and Amy Klobuchar, inch to 2 percent.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
crazytown
(7,277 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(48,921 posts)I wanted to highlight, which is why I'm posting OPs about them.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Joe941
(2,848 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(296,893 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueMississippi
(776 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LincolnRossiter
(560 posts)So much for us just settling until someone new comes along.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Peacetrain
(22,872 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Green Line
(1,123 posts)From the poll:
The only meaningful shifts are +6 points for Warren from her 11 percent support in early July, while Harris has lost a slight 4 points (6 points among those registered to vote). Warren gained, in particular, in the Northeast (where the Massachusetts senator has 28 percent support), in urban areas (22 percent) and among liberals (27 percent), while Harris lost 10 points among seniors, a Biden stronghold.
Increasing her lead in the Northeast is meaningless. She needs to win the rust belt in the general, which I don't think she can do.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(10,825 posts)Like Warren a lot but I just don't see her winning in the places we need to kick Trump to the curb and fully repudiate the Trump humpers. We can't afford another near miss, regardless of reasons. The win needs to be huge and indisputable. Joe Biden is the only candidate IMHO who can do that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,921 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,921 posts)as well as the overall #s for adults polled.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
So I guess they think the distinction important.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(94,384 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,921 posts)voters).
Biden does two points better when the people who aren't registered to vote are dropped out of the results.
Editing to add that ABC News referred to narrowing to registered voters. See the excerpt in the OP.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(94,384 posts)If you're not registered to vote, your preference is meaningless.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,921 posts)still plenty of time to vote. But I'd probably call those people polled who weren't registered the Unlikeliest Voters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden