Anyone ever hear of Claster Consulting? Their poll: Biden 22%, Sanders 19%, Warren 14%,

[highplainsdem]

Harris 5%, Buttigieg & Booker 3%, O'Rourke & Yang & Klobuchar 2%, all others 1% or less


Found their new poll at FiveThirtyEight just now:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

https://greenbankus.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Coalition-for-Green-Capital-Aug-2019.pdf


They polled 1,303 people (both Democrats and Republicans) nationally about a week ago, and that group included 752 Democrats (possibly including Democratic leaners). FiveThirtyEight is classifying this as a Likely Voter poll, since the primary preference question was asked of people who said they were "definite" or "probable" participants in Democratic primaries and caucuses.

FiveThirtyEight doesn't rate this poll, which I'd never heard of before.

Biden is doing worse than in most polls, and Sanders is closer to him than usual.

But this is an online poll that also polled about what the government should do about moving the economy to renewable energy. And since one of the questions was specifically about a Sanders plan, that might have skewed the poll toward Sanders supporters, who might have been more likely to respond than supporters of other candidates.

[Fiendish Thingy]

1. Only MOE mentioned is 2.7% for whole sample of all voters

The MOE for the subset of Democratic likely voters is likely much larger.

You also didn't mention that the "Don't Know" responses were 21%, statistically tied with Joe.

Claster appears to be polling focusing on environmental/energy issues.

[Tiggeroshii]

2. Im pretty much down with sanders or warren at this point.

Last edited Mon Sep 9, 2019, 04:40 PM - Edit history (1)

I think it is becoming evident that people are moving towards one of the other two top candidates over biden.

[Green Line]

3. I don't see the evidence at all

[Tiggeroshii]

4. Right. This is only the 3rd or 4th poll showing biden not walloping his

Opponents. There are still a lot showing he is, but as polls like this do exist (and didnt before), it is clear that he has less support now than he did before these polls came out.