Democratic Primaries

crazytown

(7,277 posts) Fri Sep 13, 2019, 09:46 AM Sep 2019

A contested Convention?

On the polls I have seen since the first debate, Biden does not have a lead which will give him 50+1% of the delegates at the convention. Todays RCP average is JB 28.6, BS 17.3, EW 16.8.

We pay a lot of attention to the 1st v 2nd horse race - but it is not enough for Biden to beat Sanders and Warren - he has to beat both of them combined.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A contested Convention? (Original Post) crazytown Sep 2019 OP

on a second ballot all bets are off rampartc Sep 2019 #1

"smoke filled rooms" crazytown Sep 2019 #2

lets move the convention to colorado! rampartc Sep 2019 #6

Perhaps iPhone filled rooms crazytown Sep 2019 #7

You're not taking into account the threshold requirements brooklynite Sep 2019 #3

Both Warren and Sanders clear that bar, crazytown Sep 2019 #5

Like the Fugue for Tinhorns CTyankee Sep 2019 #4

rampartc

(5,403 posts)

1. on a second ballot all bets are off

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 09:50 AM

Sep 2019

the delegates are released from their commitments and the superdelegates enter the count.

with any luck we'll get to party bosses and smoke filled rooms.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

2. "smoke filled rooms"

Reply to rampartc (Reply #1)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 09:53 AM

Sep 2019

LOL. I'm imagining vape filled room.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

rampartc

(5,403 posts)

6. lets move the convention to colorado!

Reply to crazytown (Reply #2)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 10:05 AM

Sep 2019

aren't most hotels "no smoking" these days anyway?

maybe this description of a brokered convention is obsolete.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

7. Perhaps iPhone filled rooms

Reply to rampartc (Reply #6)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 10:09 AM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

brooklynite

(94,502 posts)

3. You're not taking into account the threshold requirements

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 10:00 AM

Sep 2019

Candidates who poll below 15% don’t get delegates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

5. Both Warren and Sanders clear that bar,

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #3)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 10:05 AM

Sep 2019

and have done so since the first debate.

The CBS/YouGov poll projection for delegates Super Tuesday, which factors in 15% threshold in each state was

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

CTyankee

(63,903 posts)

4. Like the Fugue for Tinhorns

Reply to crazytown (Original post)

Fri Sep 13, 2019, 10:01 AM

Sep 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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