Emerson CALIFORNIA primary poll: Biden & Sanders 26%, Warren 20%, Yang 7%, Harris 6%,

[highplainsdem]

O'Rourke 5%, Buttigieg 4%, Gabbard 2%, all others 1% or less

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/california-2020-biden-sanders-warren-in-statistical-tie-in-democratic-primary-harris-struggles-in-home-state


This is a post-debate poll, Sept. 13-16.

The California Democratic Primary will be held on Super Tuesday and Emerson Polling Director Spencer Kimball’s notes that at this point “Senator Kamala Harris is in trouble in her home state. If she is unable to gain momentum in Iowa or New Hampshire, come Super Tuesday she might have a similar fate to Sen. Marco Rubio in 2016, when he was unable to win his home state of Florida and dropped out of the race.”

Driving support for Sanders is younger voters under the age of 50. He leads those voters with 34% of their support, followed by Warren at 18%, Biden at 16% and Yang at 11%. Sanders also has strong support from the Hispanic population of California, leading that group with 36%, followed by Biden with 23%, Warren with 19% and Buttigieg with 7%.

Among voters age 50 or over, Biden leads with 40% support, followed by Warren with 23%, Sanders with 13% and O’Rourke with 8%.

Among white voters, Warren leads with 29%, followed by Sanders with 20%, Biden with 18% and O’Rourke with 9%. Biden has an enormous lead among African-Americans, as he garners 59% support. No other candidate is within 40 points of Biden among that group.

Warren’s support is also disproportionately from voters who have at least some college education, as she only receives 1% support from those who have a high school degree or less.

Sanders and Biden supporters are both more likely to stick with their current choices as 67% and 59% of their respective supporters are planning to definitely vote for their first-choice candidate. Only 31% of Warren voters said they will definitely stick with her.

-snip-

[highplainsdem]

1. Biden with 59% support among black voters. And after the debate. Despite some predictions

I saw from Biden critics that the debate would hurt his support there.

[ritapria]

2. These CA. Polls are all over the place

This morning I read Elizabeth Warren was way ahead in CA.- with 33%of the vote ....., Now we hear Biden and Bernie are on top with 26% of the vote... Elizabeth is in third with 20% of the vote ….. ...This is crazy … The polls should not be this out of whack

[highplainsdem]

3. Yep. I noticed that too, as I was posting this one.

But the poll that has Warren at 33% and Biden and Sanders way behind has been all over the place in its own polling over the past few months.