New IOWA poll showing Biden reclaiming lead, up 8 points from July survey

[highplainsdem]

Biden 25%, Warren 23%, Buttigieg 12%, Sanders 9%, Klobuchar 8%, Harris 5%, Steyer 3%, Booker & Yang 2%, all others 1% or less


This poll was done for Focus On Rural America by David Binder, who did polling for both Obama campaigns.


http://www.focusonruralamerica.com/2019/09/18/september-2019-poll-results/

“The candidates are showing up in rural Iowa and voters are noticing. Most have come out with rural plans and that alone is more than we saw from Democrats in 2016. With Trump picking oil and gas over the rural economy, Democrats have a real opportunity. This poll shows without a doubt that Iowa Democrats want our candidates to talk about this because they recognize rural Iowa is a key component of any path to the White House,” said Jeff Link, Co-Founder of Focus on Rural America.

Voters don’t believe that President Trump allowing year-round E15 is enough to fix his Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) decision to give small refinery waivers to oil refineries, like Exxon and Chevron, and 76 percent believe the Trump Administration actions will hurt Iowa’s farmers and rural economy. An astounding 89 percent of voters believe that it is important Democratic candidates bring up the issue of the Trump oil giveaways and the disastrous effects for Iowa, with 57 percent saying that it is extremely or very important. Additionally, 83 percent of Iowa Democratic voters believe that Democrats should campaign in rural areas and make their case to rural residents.

-snip-

If the caucuses were held today Biden would win, taking 25%, however Warren closely trails with 23%. Continuing to gain momentum, Buttigieg took 12%. Sanders and Klobuchar follow at 9% and 8%.
More than half of voters have ruled out Castro (60%) and Yang (64%), while 46% have decided against Sanders and O’Rourke.

-snip-

Support for a centrist candidate remains. 60% said they believe Democrats need to move to the center to beat Trump. 32% strongly believe beating Trump will take a moderate Democrat.

http://www.focusonruralamerica.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/190914-Iowa-Voter-Survey-memo.pdf

[JI7]

1. Biden and Warren are pretty much tied in this poll

[bluewater]

2. "Results are subject to a margin of error of no greater than 4.4%. "

David Binder Research conducted 500 interviews by cell phone and landline on September 14th – 17th, 2019 with registered voters in Iowa who stated they were likely to participate in the Democratic Presidential caucuses of 2020. All participants were recruited from official Iowa voter lists.

Results are subject to a margin of error of no greater than ±4.4%.

So, yes, statistically tied.

remember:

the polls are what the polls are

[Thekaspervote]

3. Moving to the center... yes, because that's where the heart of America is! Albeit left of center as

All Dems are. But all the drama... it’s like having hot fudge sundaes as a steady diet!!

[bootcamp]

4. Main stream media

refused to accept that and continue with their daily negative coverage of Biden

[Indykatie]

5. I Don't Think Iowa Will Have The Big Time Impact on the 2020 Race That It Has Had in Past Years

I'm a Biden supporter and I still see that as a good thing. A state that uses the caucus system and looks nothing like the Dem party's demographics should not have an out sized role in who wins our nomination.

[emulatorloo]

6. Iowa chose Obama, which is a good thing.

[Gothmog]

7. Sanders has parted ways with his Iowa political director

Link to tweet

[Cha]

9. Wonder if having Sarandon introduce

him at the ice cream social in Iowa and slam EW has anything to do with his current polling?

Thanks, Goth.

[Cha]

8. Thank you, Dem!