* New Poll * Biden extends lead over Warren, Sanders: Biden 31%, Sanders 16%, Warren 14%, Harris 5%

[Skya Rhen]

Former Vice President Joe Biden has extended his lead over progressive rivals Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) in the latest Hill-HarrisX poll released on Monday.

The poll of likely Democratic and independent voters found that 31 percent support Biden for president, a 4-point increase from the last time the poll was conducted in late August.

Sanders came in second with 16 percent, while Warren followed in third place with 14 percent.

Though still within the margin of error, this uptick in support for Biden is a positive for a campaign that is trying to hold off Warren.



https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/462617-biden-extends-lead-over-warren-sanders

[highplainsdem]

1. Good news! K&R. We were posting this poll at the same time, and I just deleted my OP ablout it.

[Skya Rhen]

3. Great minds think alike... Lol

[NurseJackie]

2. The BS campaign continues to build momentum in it's downhill slide.

[George II]

4. It's becoming increasingly evident that Biden is going to get about half the delegates....

...and Warren and Sanders will be divvying up the remainder.

[floppyboo]

6. Agree. Biden will get half, Sanders and Warren will form a coalition

And then it should get interesting!
But I don't think Biden will get half. Maybe 30%. Maybe.

[George II]

16. By the time a coalition could be formed the Super Delegates will be free to vote....

...giving the nomination to Biden.

I seriously doubt that the makeup of the Super Delegates would find many voting for a candidate that drops in for a few months to become a Democrat or someone who has been in elective office for a little more than six years.

[floppyboo]

17. guess that depends if they want people to vote in the general or not.

[George II]

18. Is the implication that perhaps they're not real Democrats?

[floppyboo]

24. There is a pledge here on DU, as you know however

you also know that people at large vote, or stay home, at their own discretion.
I don't think calling people 'not-real Democrats' will help with any inclusiveness. In fact, it probably would be wise to court the Independent voter.

[LakeArenal]

20. Say what?

[Thekaspervote]

28. Agree!!

[George II]

23. The way things are going Biden will win on the first ballot. While Warren and BS are trading....

....second and third place positions, some of those thirds (or even seconds) not even getting to 15%, Biden will be getting 30%+.

In fact as some states are going, Biden will sweep all the delegates.

[riversedge]

5. I am more interested in state polls at this point.

[Demsrule86]

26. Biden is winning the state polls we need to have a victory in the General.

[PhoenixDem]

7. k&r n/t

[oasis]

8. Voters are eager for Joe's leadership.

[LincolnRossiter]

9. If you only followed the MSM you'd assume that Biden's campaign was on the verge of collapse and

that Liz Warren had already made appointments to choose drapes for the Oval Office. Those of us who are Biden supporters know he's no sure thing, but the media-driven narrative and many Warren supporters act as though she's on the verge of sewing this up.

That's simply not the case. Any two-point bump for Warren is treated like a "surge," yet Joe is breaking even in states that should play to Warren's demographic strengths and he's led literally every national poll save one outlier since entering the race.

Also, I'm not a Bernie fan, but if you look at the national polls, Warren and Sanders actually switch positions quite often, yet Sanders is somehow in a death spiral while Warren is inevitable.

That's the power of media with agendas other than informing the public and holding our leaders accountable.

[George II]

19. I can't tell you how many times in the last two days I've heard "Warren is surging"....

It's like that poll last week that was used to say that Biden is collapsing, even though he increased his lead over his closest rival by two points.

[floppyboo]

25. Haha! Sanders death spiral winning NH, NV, CO, CA in latest polls. nt

[Scurrilous]

10. K&R

[JI7]

11. but wouldn't state polls matter more. becsuse after the election people gain or lose support

for future states depending on how they did in earlier states.

but this is still good for Biden.

[Jirel]

12. These polls are largely meaningless.

What matters? Iowa. New Hampshire. Nevada. South Carolina. Super Tuesday states. There, the voters are getting down to brass tacks. It doesn’t matter what a nationwide poll says, when it doesn’t reflect the votes of those who get first crack at the booth or caucus. Booker, another fave of mine, knows that. He considers Iowa, not vague national polling, do or die even for fundraising.

Right now it’s a Biden/Warren race in Iowa, with Bernie a distant third. That’s what matters.

[Fiendish Thingy]

14. Right or wrong, the MSM feeding frenzy will focus intensely on IA, NH, NV, and SC

The media will generate a horse race narrative that could significantly increase (or deplete) a candidate's perceived momentum and perceived electability.

Currently, Biden is only projected to win in the 4th primary in SC; if he loses the first three contests, or worse yet, places below 2nd place in any of them, all bets are off for Super Tuesday...

[Demsrule86]

27. I think Biden will win Iowa and New Hampshire or come close...that being said I consider those state

a complete waste that absolutely should not determine our candidate...small white states...doesn't look like our party.

[Fiendish Thingy]

13. Small Sample size : 440 ; MOE: 4.7%

It still baffles me why poll posters don't take the time to include sample size and MOE in their OP's.

[Skya Rhen]

15. Go, Joe - you are the clear front runner - MOE and all!!!

[LakeArenal]

21. Consistently the front runner.

Then come the posts , “ if Biden wins A, loses C then conquers X, Warren wins!!
If if if. If Warren or Sanders we’re consistently in the lead...
Jayzus.

[Cha]

22. I'll take Positive!

Mahalo, Skya!

[Thekaspervote]

29. Let's hope the upward trajectory continues!

[emmaverybo]

30. Very good news, especially because it is real, not based on bias and wishful thinking. Biden

Last edited Tue Sep 24, 2019, 02:49 AM - Edit history (1)

continues to lead and has picked up a bit of steam. Warren can surge, shine, all manner of magical
and subjective feats, but she is not in the lead at this time, period.