Three Polls up to 9/26 still have Biden ahead by double digits

[UncleNoel]

Haven't seen this posted Maybe I missed it The three previous polls had Warren up higher, but this is the latest and in line with polls before those three came out.

CP Average 9/13 - 9/24 28.4 21.1 17.1 5.5 5.0 3.3 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 Biden +7.3
Harvard-Harris 9/22 - 9/24 28 17 16 3 6 3 3 2 1 2 1 -- 2 Biden +11

Not posted on CP:

HarrisX C+) from 538 (LV 9/13 - 9/24) has JB 31, EW 20 BS 13 Harris 7...Biden +11

HarrisX C+) from 538 (RV 9/13 - 9/24) has JB 28, EW 15 BS 14 Harris 7...Biden +13

The movement upward in the three polls for Warren is not reflected ion these polls.

[stonecutter357]

1. K&R

[JI7]

2. i think Warren's rise is mostly in the early states which probably counts more

since that's where the campaigns are taking place. and wins in early states can help in later states. while losses could hurt.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

4. Yes, that's what propelled _____ in ____, which led to a ___ ________ in the _____.

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, welcome to the revolution!!!

[UncleNoel]

9. Early states are important as they influence others, but

they reflect a narrow range of potential voters where Biden is stronger.

[PhoenixDem]

12. Early states are only important to newbie candidates n/t

[Thekaspervote]

3. Thx for posting!!

[BeyondGeography]

5. Everything's fine

[UncleNoel]

10. Cute!

But the Biden campaign, according to emails I receive, are aware of this for early states (and California!). They wn't stand idly by to watch her pass their bus.

[DownriverDem]

18. I honestly

believe that Biden is the best candidate to win the Electoral College which means state by state. It's clear trump thinks this too. That is why trump is trying so hard to bring Biden down. If Warren gets the nomination, of course I'll vote for her, but I don't think she can win.

[MiniMe]

6. Are these National polls or state polls?

National polls at this point mean nothing, everything goes State by State.

[UncleNoel]

13. National Polls

[UncleNoel]

15. The National Pollsc reflect a large swathe of voters

Bidens lead has been pervasive and steady. Given the double digit leads, they do indicate that many voter groups prefer him, though Warren is great with the college educated crown and white voters. Still, overall, Biden is in the lead.

It remains to be seen if Iowa and New Hampshire bring about a change in the other states.

Warren is rising, but Biden is still solid.

[LincolnRossiter]

7. Given the fact that Biden led every single poll (except that one outlier) for 8 months straight, I'd

say that Warren pulling even or ahead in 4-5 polls over the past couple of weeks is indicative of a tightening. Biden isn't down that much. She's just up. But I think the stories of her momentum and inevitability are way overblown. If she were really pulling ahead the polls would look more like they do after a candidate gets a good post convention bounce. Or like Kamala did after the first debate. Basically taking a lead in every or nearly every poll. Instead she's pulling close, tying, or going ahead 1-3 points in a few polls while losing in most others--including by double digits in several.

I think she's running a great campaign but am not sold on the fundamental strength of her candidacy. Not close.

[Thekaspervote]

8. Agree! Poll numbers for her still lagging way behind with the AA voters

[UncleNoel]

11. Agree!

Bless her heart, but Biden is my bet.

[ritapria]

14. Zogby Poll published yesterday had Biden way ahead

Biden 31% Warren 17% Bernie 16 %

[UncleNoel]

16. So Harvard/Harris, HarrisX, and Zogby reflect the state of the race as of now.

I would like to see Biden stronger in Iowa and New Hampshire. Will be watching those state polls.

[UncleNoel]

17. Thanks for that. I am usure what polls RCP accepts.

538 gives Zogby a B rating.

[saljr1]

19. When the dust clears

I still believe as I said months ago, Warren will will be nominee and will kick shitler's ass in debates and will win.