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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

UncleNoel

(864 posts)
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 09:27 AM Oct 2019

Where do we stand on state polls -- a selective compendium

Not all states, but a bunch of them. Mostly September; It will be interesting as they are updated.

The Latest State Polls for the Democratic Primary

Pa: Biden 17, Warren 9; Buttigieg 8, Sanders. 6 1
Wis: Biden 28, Warren 22, Sanders 17. 2
SC: Biden 41, Warren 12, Sanders 10. 3
Ohio: Biden 29, Sanders 27, Warren 21 4
Ariz: Biden 15, Warren 35, Sanders 19, Buttigieg 13. 5
Calif: Biden 22, Warren 23, Sanders 21. 6
Iowa: Bidden 20, Warren 22, Sanders 11. 7
N.H.: Biden 25, Warren 27, Sanders 12, B uttigieg 10. 8
Fla.: Biden 43, Warren 26, Sanders 10. 9
Nev: Biden 22, Warren 22, Sanders 18. 10
Texas: Biden , 28, Warren 18, Sanders 12, O’Rourke 12. 11
Wisc. Biden 28, Warren 22, Sanders 17. 12

1 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (C+) 9/30-10/6 (RV)
2 Fox News (A) 9.29-10/2 (LV)
3 Fox News (A) 9.29-10/2 (LV)
4vEmerson College (B+) 9.29-10/2 (LV)
5 Change Research (C+) 9/27-8 (LV)
6 Public Policy Institute of California (A), 9/16-25 (LV)
7 Selzer & Co. (A+) 9/14-18 (LV)
8 Monmouth University (A+) 9/17-21 (LV)
9 Tel. Opinion Research (B) 9/15-18 (LV)
10 CNN/SSRS (A-) 9/22-26 (LV)
11Quinnipiac University (A-) 9/4-9- (RV)
12 Fox News (A) 9/29-10/3 (LV)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

Funtatlaguy

(10,887 posts)
1. Be interesting to see what happens in SC
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 09:35 AM
Oct 2019

if Warren wins the first three.
Her momentum might then flip a lot of people in SC.
I don’t think that Biden and Bernie can afford for Warren to win all of the first three.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Thekaspervote

(32,794 posts)
6. EW has a 1 pt lead in N.H. & a 2 pt lead in IA. Sanders will take a few but delegates will be almost
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 10:34 AM
Oct 2019

Evenly split between Biden & EW. SC polls are a lock for Biden

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

thesquanderer

(11,992 posts)
2. Worth noting: As long as someone gets 15%, no one with
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 09:35 AM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

UncleNoel

(864 posts)
3. Later when updates come in, I'll orgainze it by the early states, then Super Tuesday.
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 09:41 AM
Oct 2019

Actually, one won't "win" Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada, but the top contenders will get a share of delegates. If the race emains close, Biden and Warren might divide up these, but that will not then dent Biden's lead in SC so much.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

ritapria

(1,812 posts)
4. Bernie and Joe are tied at 22% in NV - according to CNN Poll
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 09:44 AM
Oct 2019

Warren in third with 18% You made a small mistake in reporting the results out of NV ...No Big Deal

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

DrFunkenstein

(8,745 posts)
5. Biden's Using His Scant Resources on Super Tuesday For a Reason
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 09:49 AM
Oct 2019

His increase in staffing across 14 states for Super Tuesday come as Biden’s polling figures have steadily declined from above 40% in May while Elizabeth Warren’s numbers have steadily built - particularly in states like Iowa and New Hampshire where she’s heavily invested in field organization.

Biden's funding comes much more from big, maxed-out donors in comparison to Warren's grassroots fundraising, meaning that he A) brought in much less money, B) has much less cash in hand, and C) has to find new sources of big money while Warren can tap these existing sources repeatedly.

Betting on a long, drawn out campaign while your numbers decline steadily and your fundraising is significantly behind your rival hardly seems like a guarantee of safe passage, and more like a long-shot bet.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Thekaspervote

(32,794 posts)
7. Disagree with your opinion!
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 10:35 AM
Oct 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

UncleNoel

(864 posts)
9. Despite the media slant, 15 mollion is not a scant resource
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 11:11 AM
Oct 2019

Not as much as we would like, but a nice pile of cash anyway.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)
11. Scant is a very poor choice of words to use when describing Bidens resources. NT
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 12:10 PM
Oct 2019

It's not even a word that can be used when compared to all of the other candidates. In fact, his is one of the top money draws and it's clear his resources extend way beyond that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
12. What specifically leads you to believe his campaign's resources are 'scant'?
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 02:36 PM
Oct 2019

Or is this simply another variation on the "I don't need evidence to support my premise! I have a right to my opinion that 2+2=22!!" routine?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
8. None of them mean a darn thing.
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 11:06 AM
Oct 2019

We just need to keep working, getting the word out about all of our fine candidates who offer an alternative to the con in chief. Then once we have a candidate, get behind them, work tirelessly to elect them and IGNORE THE POLLS!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TidalWave46

(2,061 posts)
10. Going to be counting delegates well into the process.
Wed Oct 9, 2019, 12:07 PM
Oct 2019

As it stands, we have two of our best leading the field. Gotta feel good about it.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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