NYT/Sienna College polling analysis: Biden has advantage among swing voters in battleground states

[maximusveritas]

Yahoo News: Meet the Swing Voters Who Might Decide the 2020 Election

Interesting article that makes clear how this election will be decided by a small group of persuadable swing voters in these battleground states and if we want to win this election and put a stop to the madness of Trump, we need to identify who these people are and how best to reach them.

based on an analysis of 569 respondents to recent New York Times Upshot/Siena College surveys in the six closest states carried by the president in the 2016 presidential election.

These potentially persuadable voters are divided on major issues like single-payer health care, immigration and taxes. But they are fairly clear about what they would like from a Democrat. They prefer, by 82% to 11%, one who promises to find common ground over one who promises to fight for a progressive agenda; and they prefer a moderate over a liberal, 75% to 19%.

They support Biden over the president, 38% to 27%, but prefer the president to Warren, 37% to 20%. Sanders is in between, with the president leading him, 34% to 32%. This group voted for Trump by a smaller margin in 2016, 37% to 30%, with the rest casting ballots for minor candidates.

[Chemisse]

1. And this is before there are any GOP attacks on Warren or Sanders.

If one of them is the GE candidate, there will be a whole lot of nasty BS slammed at them with regards to Medicare for All, as well as plenty of personal insults, which could bring their numbers down further.

We either need to stick with a more centrist candidate or come up with a great strategy to deal with this. Pretending it's not a problem is not a good option.

[Thekaspervote]

2. THOSE are some eye popping numbers!!

[evertonfc]

3. Biden is boss

Biden will crush Trump and put Florida, Arizona and Ohio in play. Biden is the person to win in the GE. I'm on board

[Cha]

4. KICKING.. I like polls!

[Thekaspervote]

6. Me too!! I hope everyone keeps posting new polls....

[Cha]

7. To polls, Kasper!

[boomer_wv]

5. Trump is historically unpopular.

There are a lot of people who would support a generic republican, but dont like Trump. They will be willing to vote against him if they had a safe option. They don't want to see wholesale change, they domt want any version of socialism.

They know Biden and they arent scared of him.

[Indykatie]

8. This Poll Raises Red Flags for Me

It claims only 67% voted voted for Trump + Hillary with "the rest casting ballots for minor candidates". I refuse to believe 33% of any sample voted for someone other than Hillary or Trump. There's no way that many people basically threw away their vote.

Also they claim to want a "progressive agenda" but prefer a "moderate" candidate. These people seem to be confused.

[maximusveritas]

9. That's because this is a subset of the overall poll sample reflecting uncommitted swing voters

so it makes sense that you would have a larger percentage who didn't vote for Trump or Hillary.
The question would be how many of these people are capable of being won over or perhaps they will just throw away their vote or not vote again.
On your last point, you misread it. They prefer "one who promises to find common ground over one who promises to fight for a progressive agenda"

[Tarheel_Dem]

10. Clearly these "swing voters" aren't ideologues. We definitely have to reach them as that's where...

elections are won & lost. We cannot afford for them to "swing" to Trump in 2020.