Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,133 posts) Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:41 PM Dec 2019

NEW CNN primary polls of CA and TX: Biden leads by 1 point in CA, 20 points in TX

Tweet from CNN's Ryan Nobles:

Link to tweet

NEW: @CNN Polls of Super Tuesday prizes of CA/TX
CA:
Biden: 21%
Sanders: 20%
Warren: 17%

TX:
Biden: 35%
Sanders: 15%
Warren: 13%

CNN article with Harry Enten's analysis:

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/cnn-polls-12-11-2019/index.html

Enten believes that Texas could be a swing state in 2020, that Biden could beat Trump there.

If we get Texas, there are a lot of other states we DON'T have to win to win the EC.

Enten also points out that currently California polling suggests the three top candidates would divide the delegates pretty evenly, and one would have to be well ahead of the others to get a lot more delegates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

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NEW CNN primary polls of CA and TX: Biden leads by 1 point in CA, 20 points in TX (Original Post) highplainsdem Dec 2019 OP

highplainsdem, thank you so much for posting this! Sloumeau Dec 2019 #1

Wow.. Texas and California! Cha Dec 2019 #2

Amazing, VP Biden was doing so poorly in California . . . . Iliyah Dec 2019 #3

That's a big lead in Texas Renato ray Dec 2019 #4

Texas will be a battleground state Gothmog Dec 2019 #5

That means that Biden would build about a 90 delegate margin in Texas alone. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #6

That pretty much confirms my suspicions that most of Beto's supporters TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #7

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)

1. highplainsdem, thank you so much for posting this!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:45 PM

Dec 2019

Woohoo! Biden is now leading in the big time delegate state of California!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(298,114 posts)

2. Wow.. Texas and California!

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:48 PM

Dec 2019

thank you for the poll, hpd!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)

3. Amazing, VP Biden was doing so poorly in California . . . .

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:58 PM

Dec 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Renato ray

(16 posts)

4. That's a big lead in Texas

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 01:59 PM

Dec 2019

Larger than I thought.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Gothmog

(146,005 posts)

5. Texas will be a battleground state

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 02:09 PM

Dec 2019

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TexasTowelie

(112,724 posts)

6. That means that Biden would build about a 90 delegate margin in Texas alone.

Reply to Gothmog (Reply #5)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 03:41 PM

Dec 2019

If there are similar results in the other southern states on Super Tuesday the race could be over.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TexasTowelie

(112,724 posts)

7. That pretty much confirms my suspicions that most of Beto's supporters

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Dec 11, 2019, 04:13 PM

Dec 2019

would move to Biden after Beto withdrew from the race.

And although there is no direct mention in the poll, there is an unstated message to AOC, Our Revolution, and Justice Democrats that candidates supported by their groups aren't going to get much traction in Texas no matter how much money they pour into that primary race. Warren lost some respect in Texas when she endorsed Cisneros over Rep. Cuellar.

I still believe that Biden would be wise to pick Beto as VP to help seal the deal in Texas though.

Waiting for the usual group of naysayers to appear again. 4, 3, 2, 1...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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