The early success of Buttigieg, Beto, and Harris is a warning to Biden and others

[Renew Deal]

I’m hoping that Joe Biden can see the writing on the wall. The country and particularly Democrats are primed to move in a new direction. Biden is from a different era and there is no going back. He should make the best decision for himself and the country and not run. Biden will lose. He will be tarnished by the loss. It’s time to move on.

[GemDigger]

1. With Biden not even into the race and pulling that high...

I wouldn't take that as a warning.

[Renew Deal]

3. People aren't paying attention yet

Early front runners rarely hold up, especially in big fields. If they did, Lieberman and Scott Walker would be President. The front runner won’t be obvious until sometime between December and the NH primary.

[TwilightZone]

2. He's leading in national polls and in several states, without even running yet.

How is that "the writing on the wall"?

[Renew Deal]

6. It's all the movement underneath that.

The support is soft and based off of name recognition.

[TwilightZone]

11. There's little or no evidence of that.

He's also the strongest candidate in head-to-head national polls against Trump.

It's all based on early-poll data, which means little. It's nearly a year to the first primary. Claiming that early trends indicate that there's no reason for him to run is misguided, at best. Never mind that there seems to be little basis for your assertions.

[R B Garr]

15. Real results are that liberal California voted against Bernie

in 2016 and 2018. His group’s attacks on Feinstein backfired in 2018. The candidates you mentioned have backed away from some of “the movement”.

[JI7]

4. Biden is leading without even being in the race

while at this point I think he should maybe not run its misleading to say people are moving away from him.

[Renew Deal]

9. It's not that they're moving away from him yet

It’s the movement amongst the alternatives.

[marylandblue]

5. I think you are right that Biden will lose to the younger generation

But that doesn't mean he shouldn't run. Let the chips fall were they may.

[Renew Deal]

7. I like him a lot as a person

I don’t want to see him hurt.

[marylandblue]

10. He's been through a lot in his life. He'll be fine either way.

[JI7]

12. he has been hurt in far worse ways in his life

[emulatorloo]

17. He's a tough man.

I also think your predictions may not come true should he announce. Polling I have seen shows he has multigenerational support, from millennials on up

[OrlandoDem2]

8. When Biden declares his candidacy it'll totally change the race and the news cycle.

The news cycle will move from the Mueller report to Biden leading the pack and polling higher than Trump.

[Thekaspervote]

13. There Are several things Biden has going for us the campaign and the country

Big name recognition including internationally

The ability to step into the job on day one

Worldwide leaders are begging him to run

He will surround himself with the smartest and the best

No doubt he will bring back many of the Obama era policies

He has the country’s best interest at heart and if he feels the day comes he will not blink and step aside

Having said that, I will happily work and vote for our candidate who ever that might be

[emulatorloo]

18. Undecided yet, but you are correct on all points

[BlueStater]

14. Completely agree.

Enjoy your retirement and just forget it, Joe. I have no idea why anyone would want to be president when they're 80 years old.

[LongtimeAZDem]

16. One of the oldest principles in politics is that early campaigns tend to peak too soon.