The crowd at the Warren event in Brooklyn is predominantly White...

[brooklynite]

...the neighborhood is not.

[TCJ70]

1. That only matters if it's a Sanders rally...

...or so it has seemed.

Jokes aside...the whole armchair crowd analyzer routine is pretty worn out.

[Hortensis]

12. This is a first-person report. And it reports a serious

continuing problem for Warren. She should be pulling plenty of locals of all colors at a Brooklyn rally. Frankly, I'm a bit surprised.

Warren and Sanders' numbers in VT and NH polls are only as misleadingly close to Biden as they are because those states are extremely white, IA 4%, LatinX 6.2% and NH AA 1.7% LatinX 3.9%.

Biden's big LatinX and AA support (and all other minorities) in other states doesn't show in IA and NH, and neither does Warren's and Sanders' lack of similarly broad appeal.

[TCJ70]

15. A first-person report? Is the OP in a helicopter counting everyone race?

How about we don’t try and separate people by color and just let a rally happen whenever it does with whoever attends and then everyone can vote when their primary happens?

[Hortensis]

20. Brooklyn: Non-Hispanic white 35.8%, AA 35.8%, Asian 11.3%,

LatinX of any race 19.8%.

Understanding that most Brooklyn LatinX also identify white, not indigenous American, which pushes the white percentage up to 49.5%.

So, half white.

[TwilightZone]

28. The OP is at the rally.

That's the definition of a first-person report.

[vsrazdem]

13. Well, I guess they decided Warren can join the group. It's wierd that a Buttiegieg supporter

is posting this, don't ya think.

[Cha]

36. Analysis? It's an observation and is what it is..

Not to be swept under the rug.

[FreepFryer]

2. Say no to racist wedge politics. (n/t)

[Hortensis]

17. Say yes to informing people about who's supporting whom.

[bluewater]

23. One person eyeballing the crowd is informative?

How many people were latinos? And how would one tell?

How many people were from the middle east? And how would one tell.

How many people are mixed race, and how would one tell?

I'd love to see some actual numbers.

[Hortensis]

24. :) No, I doubt you will. Brooklyn's half white when white

Hispanics are included in the white count instead of with other Hispanics, otherwise a bit over 1/3.
But in this case we should go with half white for obvious reasons. But we'll see what analysts report. Some engaged nonwhites undoubtedly turned out.

[bluewater]

25. lol In NYC there is this thing called mass transit

In NYC there is this thing called mass transit

Subways, buses, even trains.

And there are taxis, Uber. and Lyft.

What a surprise that a rally might represent a broader demographic than just the neighborhood it's held in.

Also, that neighbor hood is predominantly minority, but the next neighborhood over is predominantly white. And that's not just my opinion, the census maps clearly show that.

So, was the crowd the usual makeup we would suspect from Warrens polling statistics? About 10% black and 10% latino?
I would not expect her to out perform that at any rally.

Hey, let us know when Joe has a rally in NYC so we can compare crowd makeup. I am serious. It would be interesting to see what his crowd would be in a racially diverse metropolis. So please, no rally pics from small towns or black churches.

[Hortensis]

27. Of course. I was just keeping it simple.

[FreeState]

18. Unless

its Mayor Pete apparently. (not directed at you)

[elleng]

26. Thanks

[Kurt V.]

3. im wondering if we can transpose any candidate in there and get a different result?

biden possibility but maybe not.

[Gothmog]

4. Who is surprised by this?

[Demsrule86]

5. Not me...last poll I saw that measured the AA vote...don't remember who it was...she was at single

digits...can't win the nomination with numbers like that.

[Bradshaw3]

10. And no one is surprised by Biden's abysmal numbers among young people

[Demsrule86]

29. Well ...you know what they say young and foolish...but I would worry more about the lack of AA

support and older voters who support Biden...they always vote unlike the young who can be a bit erratic.

[TwilightZone]

31. A problem with minority voters and a problem with young voters are two very different things.

Minority voters are a significant chunk of the Democratic base.

While their turnout was certainly better in 2018, young voters generally have yet to prove the same.

[Gothmog]

38. Really?

Link to tweet

[BuffaloJackalope]

6. I seem to remember a saying about stones & glass houses...

[brooklynite]

8. I'm reporting what I see, you can like it or not

[Bradshaw3]

11. Have you reported on Pete's terrible poll numbers among POC?

[brooklynite]

14. I assume everyone reads the same polls I do...

Not everyone gets to go to the political events that I do...

[Demsrule86]

32. You get it from all sides my friend...sorry if I was a bitch to you once or twice.

[brooklynite]

7. The campaign recognizes the relevance: the two opening speeches are by Latino coordinators

[aikoaiko]

9. Did you use a paperbag to make this determination?

[bluewater]

16. BAZINGA!

[SaschaHM]

21. I'm not sure why people are on the defensive.

It's indicative of the problem that Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders are going to face when we start to get to more diverse states and it's a bigger problem for Warren now that Buttigieg and Sanders are overtaking her.

She needs AA voter support if she's going to edge out Biden, Buttigieg, and Sanders in many places, and right now she's a distant third.

For reference, Bernie has a lot of large white crowds in 2016 and he consistently lost AA voters 25% to 75%. That killed him in the delegate rich south, most swing states, and many blue states.

[bluewater]

22. For the record no one knows what the crowd makeup actually was.

All we have is a single report from A DU supporter of Mayor Pete eyeballing the crowd.

Perhaps that person has a knack for distinguishing ethnic groups. Who knows...

Maybe he can tell us how many were latinos, or people from the middle east, both huge demographics in Brooklyn.

[Demsrule86]

33. That is a bit unfair...the OP post all sides...if you look.

Also, it is no secret that Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg have trouble with the AA vote.

[evertonfc]

30. moot point

Warren isn't going to be the nominee. I love her but she will not win this nomination

[Fla Dem]

34. The fact her event is in a non-white neighborhood would make

me think her campaign IS trying to reach out and be inclusive. Why do you think the audience is predominantly white. And does that mean fewer than 50% non-white? Fewer than 25%? Fewer than 10%?

[brooklynite]

35. I'd say it was 10% or less...

[Cha]

37. Apparently we're not suppose

to notice such things.

[BeyondGeography]

39. Pete would kill for Warren's POC numbers

Present and potential.