New Emerson NH Poll: Sanders 23, Buttigieg 18, Biden 14, Warren 14, Klochubar 10

[HerbChestnut]

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-hampshire-2020-sanders-holds-lead-klobuchar-surges-to-double-digits

All others single digits.

[judeling]

1. New Hampshire 2020: Sanders Holds Lead; Klobuchar Surges to Double Digits

Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling, points out that “there was not much movement among the top four candidates in the last month, but Senator Amy Klobuchar jumped 8 points and is a competitor in New Hampshire.”

Also interesting

When asked if they would definitely vote for their chosen candidate, or if they could change their mind and pick someone else, 47% of all respondents are loyal to their chosen candidate, while 53% might vote for someone else. Within this question, 57% of Klobuchar supporters are committed, compared to 56% of Sanders supporters, 49% of Buttigieg supporters, 45% of Warren supporters and 44% of Biden supporters.

That is the first time I have seen a Depth of support for Klobuchar. Wow that is the best polling news I've seen for her all cycle. With that solid of a base her upside is even better then I thought and I thought it was pretty strong.

[Skya Rhen]

2. The last Emerson NH Poll (Nov 26): Sanders 26%, Buttigieg 22%, Biden 14%, Warren 14%

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/11/27/new-hampshire-2020-sanders-jumps-to-lead-buttigieg-surges-while-warren-and-biden-slip/

[lunasun]

3. Common issues from the poll despite different choice of candidate -

Healthcare was labeled as the single most important issue to Democratic primary voters,
with 25% of people saying it was the most important issue.
The plurality of supporters of Biden (32%), Buttigieg (26%), and Sanders (37%), all said healthcare was the most important issue.
The environment was the second most important issue to Democratic primary voters, with 21% saying it was the single most important issue of the election.
Among 18-29 year old voters, 37% said the environment was the most important issue.

This is good news that so many are focused on some of the same issues in NH, even if their vote is not the same

[Hassin Bin Sober]

4. Oh my!

[amishcountry]

5. Interesting...

It looks like Klobuchar is pulling support away from Biden in some recent polls.

[judeling]

6. Not so much Biden

As Buttigieg and picking up support from those who have dropped.

[NYMinute]

7. A poll that oversamples young voters and thus skews the actual voting totals.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

8. UHHHHH OHHHHH!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join the revolution!!

[Syo]

10. Looks like it will be Sanders vs Trump

Yesterday Sanders took the lead nationally in Ipsos And is way ahead of Biden in New Hampshire.

[bearsfootball516]

11. Iowa and New Hampshire make up a tiny fraction of the total delegates.

And they aren't even states Biden was expected to do particularly well in.

It's like announcing Trump will win the presidency again because he'll carry Montana and North Dakota.

[ehrnst]

12. Yes, I've heard that claim before.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/bernie-sanders-wins-new-hampshire-democratic-primary-defeating-hillary-clinton-1455066190

But you may not want to count your chickens just yet:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/democratic-debate-january-poll/

In terms of raw debate grades — respondents graded candidates on a four-point scale (higher scores are better) — Warren got the highest average score, closely followed by Sanders, Buttigeg and Biden.

.........................................

Unsurprisingly, given her strong debate performance, Warren was also the biggest winner in terms of attracting potential voters. She gained a little over 3 points in the share of respondents who said they were considering voting for her. Buttigieg and Klobuchar also gained roughly 2 points each in potential support. Gains were pretty small for the other candidates, though — less than a point each for Biden and Sanders, and a little over 1 point for Steyer.

.......................................

We also asked likely Democratic primary voters how favorably they felt about each candidate both before and after the debate. And perhaps unsurprisingly, it was the less-well-known candidates who gained the most: Klobuchar and Steyer saw the largest jumps in net favorability (favorable rating minus unfavorable rating) — 5.8 points and 5 points, respectively. Buttigieg and Warren also did well on this metric, however, with Buttigieg picking up 4.7 points and Warren 3.9 points. Sanders and Biden’s net favorability, on the other hand, actually fell a bit — Biden’s dropped by 1.6 points, and Sanders took the biggest hit in this metric, falling by 3.6 points.

[MineralMan]

13. Look again. Really.

New Hampshire doesn't really matter in terms of who the nominee will be. Count delegates, not one set of poll results from one state.