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Democratic Primaries

Celerity

(43,497 posts) Tue Mar 3, 2020, 05:01 AM Mar 2020

13

538's self select Super Tuesday overall impact shows Bliden with 1853 to Sanders 1439

1991 is the magic number to win on the first ballot

it is looking like Biden has a fighting shot at hitting 1991

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/super-tuesday/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538's self select Super Tuesday overall impact shows Bliden with 1853 to Sanders 1439 (Original Post) Celerity Mar 2020 OP

K & R SunSeeker Mar 2020 #1

What does the "no one" box mean? BigmanPigman Mar 2020 #2

No one... druidity33 Mar 2020 #3

that's great news!! subana Mar 2020 #4

Keep in mind a "self select" poll is basically for entertainment purposes only. thesquanderer Mar 2020 #6

The options to change are very narrow though. Texas is the main one Celerity Mar 2020 #9

it still makes me feel good subana Mar 2020 #12

This 538 project let's you manipulate results unc70 Mar 2020 #5

Right, this one is an entertainment thing. No scientific validity at all. (n/t) thesquanderer Mar 2020 #7

I know, thus my OP title. I think the main one I chose that may go diffrent Celerity Mar 2020 #8

Actual projection now Biden 1738, Sanders 1363 unc70 Mar 2020 #10

wow!!, and that is their regular, non self-select results!!! Celerity Mar 2020 #11

SunSeeker

(51,694 posts)

1. K & R

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 05:10 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BigmanPigman

(51,627 posts)

2. What does the "no one" box mean?

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 05:20 AM

Mar 2020

Why would Minn go with Bernie if Amy endorsed Joe today?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

druidity33

(6,446 posts)

3. No one...

Reply to BigmanPigman (Reply #2)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 07:25 AM

Mar 2020

means "no one" won a Majority of the delegates (1991) and it will go to the convention...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

subana

(586 posts)

4. that's great news!!

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 07:26 AM

Mar 2020

beautiful!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

thesquanderer

(11,991 posts)

6. Keep in mind a "self select" poll is basically for entertainment purposes only.

Reply to subana (Reply #4)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 09:59 AM

Mar 2020

Last edited Tue Mar 3, 2020, 10:46 AM - Edit history (1)

It has no scientific validity whatsoever.

It's similar to what people used to call an internet poll, until online methodologies came to be scientifically useful, making internet polls no longer something you could assume were scientifically meaningless. In this case, the results are altered by your own gut feelings. Fun, but not scientific.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,497 posts)

9. The options to change are very narrow though. Texas is the main one

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #6)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 10:33 AM

Mar 2020

that my choice (Biden over Bernie) is a bit shakey on.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

subana

(586 posts)

12. it still makes me feel good

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #6)

Wed Mar 4, 2020, 07:07 AM

Mar 2020

even if it's not a scientifically valid poll. It is still important though to know which polls carry more weight.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

unc70

(6,119 posts)

5. This 538 project let's you manipulate results

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 07:33 AM

Mar 2020

Be careful with this.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

thesquanderer

(11,991 posts)

7. Right, this one is an entertainment thing. No scientific validity at all. (n/t)

Reply to unc70 (Reply #5)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 10:00 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,497 posts)

8. I know, thus my OP title. I think the main one I chose that may go diffrent

Reply to unc70 (Reply #5)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 10:31 AM

Mar 2020

is Texas. But I am trying to be an optimist, lolol.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

unc70

(6,119 posts)

10. Actual projection now Biden 1738, Sanders 1363

Reply to Celerity (Original post)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 10:46 AM

Mar 2020

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(43,497 posts)

11. wow!!, and that is their regular, non self-select results!!!

Reply to unc70 (Reply #10)

Tue Mar 3, 2020, 10:50 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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