Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumElizabeth Warren and Bernie share so many of the same policy views,
but her thinking is so much more nuanced, and she has a lightness and a warmth that he just doesn't have.
I don't understand what is making his numbers higher than hers, unless it's just plain old name recognition, combined with some misogyny.
Great quote: "If your ears are stuffed with money it's hard to hear."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,382 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
spooky3
(34,475 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)And she has passion, but not so much anger.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
thesquanderer
(11,991 posts)1. There are over 13 million people who voted for Sanders in the 2016 primaries. That's more than name recognition. that's millions of people who already had--at least at one point--some sense of investment in his candidacy. Related, some of those voters feel that the party machinery stacked the deck against him, and so this is their chance to "make it right." As the OP says, Warren and Sanders are positionally similar... so tell me, what is the motivation for Sanders voters to switch from the choice they already made? Sure, there will be some subset who voted for Sanders because Warren wasn't running, and they're ripe for the picking, but Sanders ran a hard campaign to bring more into his fold, how does Warren, with similar positions, motivate them to switch? It's hard to grab support from people who had already chosen some other candidate, especially if your positions are not that different. Warren is left primarily with a target market of people who only reluctantly voted for Sanders last time, seeing him more as "flawed but better than Hillary" (and this group now has MANY other choices... and if they weren't so thrilled with Sanders last time, there may well be someone they will like better than Warren this time), or people who didn't vote at all in 2016. I think Hillary voters are a tough get for her too... positionally, I think Hillary supporters would more likely choose Biden. Except for those voters who prioritize gender, people who mostly want to see a female president, and may choose Warren as the most likely woman to succeed.
2. Massachusetts is a liberal state, and Massachusetts voters know Warren better than anyone (certainly no name recognition issue there), and they elected her as a woman over male competition (so misogyny isn't keeping her down)... and yet when polled, Massachusetts voters prefer Sanders to Warren. See
https://www.bostonherald.com/2019/04/07/elizabeth-warren-lagging-behind-in-massachusetts-poll/
(Tangentially related, Sanders' approval rating in his state of NH is far stronger than Warren's approval rating in her state of MA. Can we tell anything from the people who know them best know? I don't know...)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,991 posts)3. With Sanders and Warren having similar positions, the preference could come down to who you think could more easily beat Trump in November.
That fear would be borne out by this:
http://emersonpolling.com/2019/04/15/april-national-poll-bernie-takes-lead-for-democratic-nomination-mayor-pete-on-the-move/
Trump beats Warren 52 to 48; Sanders beats Trump 51 to 48.
But it's early.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,836 posts)She seems passionate and excited but not angry. While She and Bernie occupy pretty much the same place on the political spectrum she presents her positions clearly and in detail without looking like she wants to chase some kids off her lawn.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)who also seems to have a flexibility that would allow her to accomplish more, in the real world of working with Congress.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
corbettkroehler
(1,898 posts)I agree that there's a double standard for women with passion. Geraldine Ferraro suffered from this, campaigning with a similar fire as Sanders. Nevertheless, I must differ with you about the effects of Sanders' fire. It is that fire which inspired so many young voters last time and continues this cycle. He even had a question on the topic from a millennial during the CNN town hall last night.
Respectfully submitted for your review...
In conjunction with the CNN Town Hall on Monday, April 22, the Institute will release its Spring Harvard IOP Youth Poll results and key findings on young Americans views toward climate change, economic inequality, gun violence, lowering the voting age, foreign policy, trust in institutions, and the political system. Since 2000, the Harvard IOP Youth Poll has examined the political opinions, voting trends, and views on public service held by 18- to 29-year-olds in America.
https://iop.harvard.edu/about/newsletter-press-release/institute-politics-co-host-cnn-town-hall-featuring-five-democratic
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)During 2016, Bernie ended up being the only alternative for any young person who wanted an alternative to Hillary. Warren didn't run. Buttigieg didn't run. O'Rourke didn't run. Castro didn't run.
Bernie will have lots of competition and there's no way to know what young people will decide after they've seen some debates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
corbettkroehler
(1,898 posts)This is a key distinction. He enjoyed it in 2016. In fact, he freely admits during Q&A sessions that young voters were a big factor in his meteoric rise.
Link to tweet
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)she didn't run last time around.
Things will change this time. She is far more personable than Bernie, is strongly pro-gun control, and is just as progressive in her financial views. Some young misogynists might not like her, but they'll be in the minority, hopefully.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,836 posts)He seems angry, which isn't the same as passionate. He delivers the same rant as he did in 2016, and after all that, he comes across like some grumpy old man yelling at the millionaires and billionaires to get off his lawn.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TCJ70
(4,387 posts)I think wed all be well served this primary to work from the positive. Leave the misogyny talk at the door. It serves nothing. Bernies got big name recognition this time around so he starts with that advantage.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to CentralMass (Reply #12)
pnwmom This message was self-deleted by its author.
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)there will be comparisons.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)I have a photo of my oldest daughter standing shoulder to shoulder with the Senator in her office in D C
Unfortunately I had to relocate out of state in 2015.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,625 posts)voters to be on his staff. Sanders brings this on himself..
B Sanders Taps Jill Stein Supporter to Co-Chair his Campaign for the Democratic Nomination
https://www.democraticunderground.com/12872947
Bernie Sanders Just Hired His Twitter Attack Dog
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/03/sanders-promised-civility-hired-twitter-attack-dog/585259/
Link to tweet
Link to tweet
New Sanders hire, who was critical of Democratic opponents, scrubs internet history
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/03/sanders-promised-civility-hired-twitter-attack-dog/585259/
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)Or because she supports impeaching Trump and he doesn't?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bleacher Creature
(11,257 posts)I've been thinking the exact same thing. She's actually been more progressive than Bernie, she's come up with thoughtful proposals that are complete with details about how to pay for and implement them, AND she's a loyal Democrat.
There's no reason why anyone should support Bernie over her, other than just pure misogyny.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SunSeeker
(51,680 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)and has been a successful consumer financial advocate since 1995.
Misogyny is an easy target, but I suspect Bernie has just been building his support for a lot longer.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)From out here in the west I'd seen a lot more of Elizabeth Warren than of Bernie.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)I can't think of just when he arrived into the Nader/Kucinich state of grace.
What is obvious is that he managed to strike a chord in '15 and was someone a huge number of people took to heart. And still do.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
KPN
(15,649 posts)progressive talk radio, especially Thom Hartmans Friday Lunch with a Bernie which aired every Friday for years -/ maybe a decade? Bernie developed a lot of his following there. Hes been consistent in voicing the same concerns and ideas for probably at least 15 years on talk radio.
I personally think his time has passed, but hes still an influential voice for progressive economics and appreciate his presence in the race. He and Elizabeth both benefit from the others presence.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
KPN
(15,649 posts)of frequent appearances is not a small thing, especially on Thom Hartman.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
pnwmom
(108,991 posts)national profile compared to Elizabeth Warren -- who got lots of national coverage related to the Consumer Protection agency that she fought for.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)and supported tariffs. Not sure about Warren, but Sanders definitely pushed the America First agenda when it came to immigration (those immigrants were taking jobs according to Sanders).
I guess Sanders was so successful in all that, that trump won on a similar campaign when it came to immigration and global trade.
I personally think Warren is a little more savvy in that respect.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JI7
(89,264 posts)from certain countries.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BlueFlorida
(1,532 posts)Anger is a big motivator for a segment of the population
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
I supported Bernie early last time. (Of course I voted for Hillary in the end...) This time around I'm currently leaning Warren as she seems much more likely to enact her agenda. (I wish she'd run last time, honestly...) I'm also a bit concerned that some folks (including those fairly high up) in the Sanders campaign are being more negative about their Democratic competition than I'd like to see (especially this early on).
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,836 posts)I was less than thrilled about that. I supported Bernie last time too, then happily voted for Hillary. I'm not going with Bernie this time, though. There are other candidates who offer the same ideas with more specifics, and who also offer a positive vision and not just ranting anger at the millionaires (of which he is one) and billionaires.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)Mark my words, this will be said aff all the woman fandidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Quixote1818
(28,968 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LexVegas
(6,094 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden